Palm Beach, Florida U.S.A.
Thursday October 28, 1999
The 3rd Year.
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Rated the #1 free handicapping site by Horseplayer Magazine. (Sept-Oct 98)
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A Bumpy Ride From California
While it's true that the East coast preps this year were contested under conditions that participants are not likely to face at Gulfstream, there are some telling statistics from the first two runnings of the Breeders' Cup at the South Florida track.
Originally, my gut instinct told me that perhaps the horses shipping in from California would do well in Florida given the same weather conditions, for the most part. But judging from past history, that may not be the case.
In the previous 14 Cup races run at Gulfstream, only Baffert's Thirty Slews was able to post a win after running in California the previous race. Paseana made the trek to Keeneland for the Spinster in her final prep. In 1989 Sunday Silence made his final prep in the Super Derby in Louisiana. That leaves horses that made their final prep run in California a lousy 1 for 14, or just over 7%.
How about in-the-money performances? Not much better. Only 6 of the 42 ITM finishers made their final run in the Golden State. A modest 14%. Evidently, the trip from California to Florida takes more out of the runners than can be made up by sharing similar climates.
Here are the overall numbers: WINS-Belmont 7 (50%), Keeneland 4 (29%), Del Mar, Arlington, and Louisiana Downs with 1 each. ITM-Belmont 15 (36%), Keeneland 5 (11.9%), Santa Anita 4 (9.5%), France 4 (9.5%), Calder 2 (4.7%), Arlington 2 (4.7%), Meadowlands 2 (4.7%). Aqueduct, Del Mar, Hollywood, Laurel, Louisiana Downs, Pimlico,Turfway, and the United Kingdom each sent one ITM performer to Gulfstream.
Whether or not these numbers will hold up this year is anyone's guess. But it's a good bet that they do not inspire confidence in connections making the cross-country trek for the Cup.
The Breeders' Cup Edition has been updated with post times, wagering options, past Gulfstream results, contenders, and the seat views are still there.
Breeders' Cup '99
Contenders listed and seat views still available at
Brad's BIG Race Analysis-Breeders' Cup Edition
"Crushing The Cup"
Jim Mazur turns the Breeders' Cup inside-out in search of the winning edge.
A must-have for serious Cup players!
Quality And Quantity-Jennie Rees and The Louisvilel Courier-Journal
Stop The Confusion-Andy Beyer and The Washington Post
What Kind Of Bird Doesn't Fly?-John Crittenden and The Palm Beach Post
No Singletons This Year-Ralph Siraco and The Las Vegas Sun
Sneak Preview-Richard Eng and The Las Vegas Review-Journal
More columns are archived in The Columnists section.
Lee Tomlinson's Comprehensive Pedigree Guide. Includes ratings
for mud, turf, and distance capabilities. This product is tried and true.
Something no serious horseplayer should be without.
If you need more info or
want to sign up to purchase race cards on-line check out this link.
If you have already signed up and want to download a race card you can go here. NOTE: This is a secure server. If you are accessing through a firewall you might experience problems.
The McChump® Tour begins another year. Check out the past few years and keep track of new adventures at tracks far and wide.
If you're traveling to a new race track and want to get the lowdown on what to expect, this is the place.
The next BIG Race Analysis will be here Thursday, November 4 for...
Breeders' Cup XVI
Appleton Handicap Broward Handicap Holy Bull Stakes Donn Handicap
Gulfstream Park BC Handicap Fountain Of Youth Gulfstream Park Handicap
Santa Anita Handicap Florida Derby Gallery Furniture.com Stakes
Blue Grass Stakes and BIG 3 Bet 3 Kentucky Derby Preakness
Belmont Stakes Stephen Foster Handicap Hollywood Gold Cup
Bowling Green Handicap Coaching Club American Oaks Whitney Handicap
Sword Dancer Invitational Alabama Stakes Travers Stakes
Pacific Classic Ramona Handicap Man O' War Stakes The Woodward
Jockey Club Gold Cup Spinster Stakes
Lee Tomlinson's Comprehensive Pedigree Guide
It didn't take long for Tomlinson to score at Saratoga! Seventh
race on opening day, Wednesday the 28th. The Knight Sky, who had
never run on turf before, was trying the grass for the first time.
The Tomlinson rating? Only the highest in the race at 335. Result:
The Knight Sky won and paid $75.50 to win, and keying a $250
exacta with Gone Fishin'. What about the third ranked turfer? He finished 3rd completing a $2,253.00
trifecta.
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure this one out. What are you waiting for?
Progressive Handicapping, Home of "Crushing The Cup"
Jim Mazur's excellent insights for major meets and The Breeders' Cup.
@Derby pin design by Susan Ladmer
Skip Away walked away with
Horse Of The Year in February.
Here are some recent columns on the Champion.
Time For The Slow Lane-Bill Christine and The Los Angeles Times
Goodbye From Chicago-Ray Hallet
Ray picked the ponies in The Chicago Daily-Herald for 21 years.
Enlisting Mary Poppins-Vic Zeigel and The New York Daily News
A Song For Hialeah-Paul Moran from Newsday
The Power Of Payson Park-Greg Melikov and The Stuart (Fl) News
The Unsung Hero-Jay Hovdey and The Racing Form
Twenty Years From Camelot-John Crittenden and The Palm Beach Post
Remembering Risen Star-Paul Daley and The Lowell (Ma) Sun
DeSpirito Lives-Paul Daley and The Lowell (Ma) Sun
Nijinsky-Paul Daley and The Lowell (Ma) Sun
Old Tropical Park-Greg Melikov and The Stuart (Fl) News
Time Skips Away-Vic Zeigel and The New York Daily News
In Love With A Great Horse-Maryjean Wall and The Lexington Herald-Leader
Baffert And The Buffet Line-Vic Zeigel and The New York Daily News
The Deepest Ever-Clark Spencer from The Miami Herald
Silver Or No, Skippy's #1-Bill Finley and The New York Daily News
Two Statues, Two Winners-Greg Melikov and The Stuart (Fl) News
A Couple Of Stories For Jim-Paul Daley and The Lowell (Ma.) Sun
The Tube
All times Eastern.
11-6 The Breeders' Cup NBC 1:30-6pm
Extended Forecasts For Selected Tracks
The 97 Breeders' Cup Chronicle
My Breeders' Cup weekend adventure. Complete with over 30 pictures.
Forego's Career Past Performances
The file is large so be patient. It's worth the wait!
Thanks to Greg Melikov and The Stuart (Fl.) News for the write-up in the 6/1 Sports, page B3.
My 1930 Kentucky Derby Program
Thanks to the Palm Beach Post for the mention in Sunday 3/30 Sports page 2.
Brad's BIG Race Analysis Del Mar Edition
Pictures From Florida Derby Day 1999
Skip Away @ Hopewell Farm Photo Gallery.
Pictures From Florida Derby Day 1998
Silver Charm's Public Appearance at Churchill
Seattle Slew at Home-July '97
Taken in July 97 near Lexington
Lexington's Thoroughbred Park
Also taken in July 97
The Herald-Leader's 3-way Preakness Finish.
Pulpit's BIG Race Gallery Images from Florida Derby Day 97
Alysheba "Flying in The 87 Derby. Courtesy of the BloodHorse.
NBC wins Triple Crown broadcast rights.
Montjeu wins Arc.
Breeders' Cup to offer 3 guaranteed pick-6's on BC weekend.
Here Are Some Noteworthy Sites
Some you'll recognize, others you won't.
All have something to offer the racing fan.
You are visitor since January 1, 1997
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