Monographs by T P Hutchinson: Rumsby Scientific Publishing
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List of specialist monographs
"Road Accident Statistics"
....Click here
"Continuous Bivariate Distributions, Emphasising Applications"
....Click here
"The Datasets from CBDEA"
....Click here
"The Engineering Statistician's Guide to Continuous Bivariate Distributions"
....Click here
"Ability, Partial Information, Guessing: Statistical Modelling Applied to Multiple-Choice Tests"
....Click here
"Index to Corrections, Addenda, and Comments That Were
Published in Statistics Journals, 1970--1991"
....Click here
"Corrections, Addenda, and Comments Published in Journals of
Statistics and Mathematics Applied to Psychology and Education,
1970--1991: An Index"
....Click here
by T P Hutchinson
A feature of this book is the international coverage --- the U.S.A. and
Canada, Australia and New Zealand, Great Britain and many countries of
continental Europe, Japan, and the developing world are dealt with. It
is both a sourcebook of data and a text on the methods. Though
primarily for specialists in road safety, the book is also useful
background for the many students who conduct projects in this area.
Read what reviewers say about it.
- "First, is there a need for such a book, and second, if there is,
is this particular book successful. I believe that the answer to both
questions is an unequivocal yes... I found the book to be thorough,
scholarly, and complete. I think that it is an extremely valuable
addition to the traffic safety literature. Everyone with a broad
interest in traffic safety will be rendered more effective by having all
the information contained in this volume so logically and neatly packaged
for fingertip convenience." (L Evans, writing in Transportation
Science, 22, 1988, pp 290--291.)
- "A book of numbers in the form of well organized statistics is a
valuable asset in the field of vehicular trauma... The author's crisp
style of writing will be envied by many a medical author... I would highly
recommend this book to those health professionals who are involved with
research in the field of `Automotive Medicine'." (R F Larkin, writing in
American Journal of Emergency Medicine, 7, 1989, pp 117--118.)
- "If you use statistics of any sort this is a useful book filled
with informative and constructive comment on the process of collecting
and analysing data. If you use road accident statistics it is
indispensable both as a source of statistical information and as a guide
to where the vast amount of published material may be found and how it
should be interpreted." (M A Macaulay, writing in International Journal
of Impact Engineering, 7, 1988, p 369.)
- "It is an easy book to read, written in an open, informal and
accessible manner... I think that it will become an essential reference
work for anyone interested in the international dimensions of the road
safety problem." (J P Nicholl, writing in Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society, Series A, 152, 1989, p 263.)
- "This book is extremely valuable... [and] can make an international
contribution to the improvement of the methods and to the formation of
more comparable statistics." (P Verhaegen, writing in Psychologica Belgica,
28, 1988, pp 180--181.)
- "This is an invaluable collection of data on interest not only to the
traffic engineer or police department, but also to those interested
in the factors contributing to the causes of accidents. The transport
geographer can safely be counted among those interested parties...
The catalogue of worldwide injury and death that the publication presents
makes fascinating though sobering reading." (J H Farrington, writing in
Scottish Geographical Magazine, 105, 1989, p 186.)
There are 14 chapters.
- Introduction.
- How many road deaths?
- Collection and processing of data from the police.
- Major deficiencies of police data.
- Special features of developing countries.
- Comparison of six road accident statistical yearbooks.
- A miscellany of data tables.
- Injury classification.
- Data from death statistics.
- Nature of injury, hospital patients.
- Comparison of police and medical data.
- Features of injury coding in individual countries.
- Prospects for matching police and hospital data.
- Insurance data.
Published November 1987. A4 format. Casebound (i.e., hard covers).
xxvi + 292 pages. 175 tables. 18 figures. 255 references, plus
bibliography of 247 statistical sources. Index of 2000 entries. Price:
$77 (Australian currency), $55 (U.S. currency),
34 pounds sterling, $70 (Canadian currency),
or the equivalent in any major convertible currency. Please order
from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing, P.O. Box Q355, Q.V.B., Sydney,
N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
Continuous Bivariate Distributions, Emphasising Applications
by T P Hutchinson and C D Lai
Whether one approaches statistics in a data-driven fashion, or by
constructing a mathematical model of reality, distributions are
central to the subject --- in the first case, because of the desire
to describe the data parsimoniously, in the second case, to specify
the behaviour of the random terms in the equations. When a single
variable is thought of, we have univariate distributions; when there
are many, multivariate distributions are of concern. This book is
about the important intermediate case of variables taken two at a time
--- the simplest situation in which the form of the associations between
variables needs to be considered.
Over the last 20 years, an important change has come about in the way
bivariate distributions are viewed. No longer does the form of the
marginals dominate the picture --- monotonic transformations of the
X and Y axes can make these any shape we please. The specifically
bivariate espects of the subject enter when we have decided on
some standard form for the marginals (e.g., uniform, normal, or
exponential).
A feature of the book is the importance given to applications. Some of
the topics are as follows. Air, earth, water, climate --- including
compositions of rocks, river flows and floods, and height and period of
waves. Biology --- including the size and shape of living things, and
bivariate quantal response. Medicine --- including competing risks, injury
severity in accidents, and the multifactorial model of hereditary disease
transmission. Physical and technological sciences --- including destructive
testing, selection procedures, and structural safety. Psychology ---
including signal detection theory, and the modelling of performance in
multiple-choice tests. Reliability --- including failure times, concepts
of ageing, and exposure to a common environment (compounding model).
Sociology, economics, and business --- including bivariate probit
analysis, and handling ordinal-scale variables.
The book is arranged in four parts, with 24 chapters.
- Part I. Background.
- 1. Introduction. 2. Univariate distributions. 3. Overview of
methods of constructing bivariate distributions.
- Part II. Families of continuous bivariate distributions.
- 4. The bivariate normal distribution. 5. Distributions expressed
as copulas. 6. Simple forms for the bivariate density function. 7. Further
distributions related to the bivariate normal. 8. Bivariate distributions
constructed by the conditional approach. 9. Bivariate distributions
arising in reliability contexts. 10. Miscellaneous bivariate
distributions.
- Part III. Mostly theory.
- 11. Measures of correlation. 12. Concepts of stochastic dependence.
13. Rank correlation properties. 14. Diagonal expansion. 15. Variables
in common. 16. Overview of generating random variates. 17. Reliability
models leading to bivariate distributions. 18. Reliability classes:
Concepts of ageing.
- Part IV. Mostly applications.
- 19. Applications of the bivariate normal distribution.
20. Construction of the bivariate Pareto distribution by compounding, with
applications. 21. Joint distributions of injury severity: A bivariate
normal model. 22. Bivariate generalisations of probit analysis. 23. Bivariate
models in signal detection theory. 24. Examples of data.
- This book is included in Library Recommendations for Undergraduate
Mathematics (Mathematical Association of America, 1992).
- "What you cannot tell from a list of contents is that it is an
extremely good reference book. It is not a mere catalogue. There is much
good statistical sense, helpful explanation, convincing motivation and the
occasional smile as an opinion is put in a telling way... The authors are
to be congratulated for this work of scholarship. I would recommend every
statistician to obtain access to it." (M Crowder, writing in Applied
Statistics, 42, 1993, p 236.)
- "The purpose of the work seems to be to provide a compendium of the
various continuous bivariate distributions that have appeared in print.
This end the authors have achieved admirably... What is particularly
of interest to the reviewer is the large number of applications that
have been referenced with each of the distributions. This makes the
book a very worthwhile effort... The index is complete and detailed...
Despite the gaps mentioned [statistical inference, and robustness],
this book would be an excellent addition to any personal or statistical
library... The reviewer found many interesting ideas for further
research. This is exactly what a good research monograph is supposed
to do." (S Kocherlakota, writing in Biometrics, 47, 1991, pp 783--784.)
- "Filled with facts, references, and examples. The writing style is
concise, but scattered throughout are bits of helpful advice, personal
opinions, and humorous comments... Such specialised monographs will
become indispensable as sources of information, examples, and
references for applied statisticians seeking the latest results... The
authors are to be congratulated for their efforts." (W I Notz, writing
in Technometrics, 34, 1992, p 236.)
- "Generally I enjoyed the style and I think most readers will.
There are very few obscurities and very few typographical errors...
This is an important scholarly (but not stiff) contribution." (B C
Arnold, writing in Mathematical Reviews, 92e:62097, 1992.)
- This fascinating and useful monograph... ...will benefit
students as well as researchers in the fields of statistical
modelling and characterizations of statistical distributions... It is a
valuable piece of work... and is essential for those interested in the
applications of distributions." (W Y Wong, writing in Bulletin of the
Malaysian Mathematical Society, 14, 1991, pp 55--56.)
- "An excellent reference volume which may serve for many years to come.
It will be a welcome addition to any library collection supplementing the
older standard texts covering the area." (A Chatterjee, writing in
Calcutta Statistical Association Bulletin, 41, 1991, pp 211--212.)
Published January 1990. A4 format. Casebound (i.e., hard covers).
xxxii + 412 pages. 1600 references. Index of 900 entries.
Price: $98 (Australian currency), $73 (U.S. currency),
44 pounds sterling, $89 (Canadian
currency), or the equivalent in any major convertible currency.
Please order from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing, P.O. Box Q355,
Q.V.B., Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
The Datasets from CBDEA
by T P Hutchinson and C D Lai
This document consists of a reproduction of Chapter 24 of
Continuous Bivariate Distributions, Emphasising Applications,
along with the appropriate references. There may be a number of people,
particularly teachers of statistics, who will appreciate having the
tables of data, without the rest of the book.
- "A nice structure to the presentation [that] should enable the
reader to find easily suitable data sets for his various but specific
purposes. The wide range of examples covers some interesting but
non-standard types of data where quirks of various kinds lead to a need
for imagination in developing suitable analysis procedures. In these
senses this is a useful and interesting reference text that should
command wide use." (A Fielding, writing in The Statistician, 44, 1995,
pp 288-289.)
Published September 1993. A5 format. Paperback. iv + 76 pages.
Price: $14 (Australian currency), $10 (U.S. currency),
6 pounds sterling, $12 (Canadian currency), or the equivalent in any major
convertible currency. Please order from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing,
P.O. Box Q355, Q.V.B., Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
The Engineering Statistician's Guide to Continuous Bivariate Distributions
by T P Hutchinson and C D Lai
Statistical methods pervade all fields of engineering. And increasingly
the nature of the dependence between variables is of concern. Here are
some areas of application covered in this book: Geology --- composition
of rocks. Geotechnics --- slope stability, two interdependent forces
acting. Reliability --- association between the failure times of two
components; changes of failure rate with ageing. Selection procedures ---
effectiveness when based on a variable imperfectly correlated with the
criterion. Structures --- probability of failure when load and
resistance are not independent. Water --- rainfall, river flow, or sea
level at two points separated in space or time.
There are 15 chapters.
- Introduction.
- Elementary matters.
- How to invent a bivariate distribution.
- Reliability: Bivariate distributions arising from models for
failures of components.
- Notions of ageing, and notions of dependence.
- The conditional approach in modelling bivariate distributions.
- Compounding: The bivariate Pareto distribution, and variants.
- Extreme-value models.
- Compositional data.
- Distributions expressed as copulas.
- The bivariate normal distribution.
- Miscellaneous bivariate distributions.
- Measuring correlation.
- Bivariate distributions as part of a simulation.
- How to understand bivariate data.
- "The final impression of this postgraduate level text is that it
deserves a place in every statistical library, and on the bookcase of
every engineering statistician, and of anyone modelling continuous
bivariate data. A list of apposite adjectives without exaggeration
would include comprehensive, elegant, scholarly, readable, structured
and applicable... Even at its Rand price this book is a gift."
(T T Dunne, writing in South African Statistical Association Newsletter,
June 1991, p 20.)
- "User-friendly... The presentation is cheerful and encouraging, the
authors obviously enjoying their mastery and anxious to pass on the
good news." (Earth Science and Related Information: Selected Annotated
Titles, 20(7), 1992.)
- "Anyone working with bivariate data in an engineering context
will find this book to be an excellent source of information and a
useful reference." (W I Notz, writing in Technometrics, 34, 1992, p 489.)
- "The authors have made an excellent effort in collecting and
consolidating the research work... Organised in a very systematic
manner... Strongly recommended for researchers in applied sciences."
(A Kumar, writing in Opsearch, June 1992, pp 151-152.)
- "An outstanding monograph... Short and adequate examples illustrate
the chapters in a large amount of engineering problems... Well-written."
(A Mebarki, writing in European Journal of Mechanics, A/Solids, 11, 1992,
p 420.)
- "A very smooth text that presents an abundance of information and
still allows the reader to choose what is personally important." (K S Booksh,
writing in Process Control and Quality, 2, 1992, pp 300-301.)
- "Will undoubtedly prove useful to many individuals seeking information
on bivariate distributions." (J C Helton, writing in Reliability
Engineering and System Safety, 40, 1993, pp 97-98.)
Published March 1991. A5 format. Paperback. xxii + 346 pages.
700 references. Index of 900 entries. Price: $44 (Australian currency),
$32 (U.S. currency), 19 pounds sterling,
$40 (Canadian currency), or the equivalent in any
major convertible currency. Please order from: Rumsby Scientific
Publishing, P.O. Box Q355, Q.V.B., Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
Ability, Partial Information, Guessing: Statistical
Modelling Applied to Multiple-Choice Tests
by T P Hutchinson
From pre-school to postgraduate medicine, multiple-choice tests
are a pervasive feature of education. Yet the statistical models
of the psychological processes involved in answering the items have
been surprisingly primitive. And the contributions of cognitive
psychology have generally been too specialised to be of real use in
educational practice. This book puts forward an approach, the mismatch
theory, which helps overcome these problems. In addition, there is
much in the book of value without any particular commitment to mismatch
theory --- about item response theory, about empirical studies of
variant formats of multiple-choice test, and about the nature of
partial information that the subject may have available in attempting
an item.
There are 11 chapters.
- Outline of this book.
- Item response theory.
- The mismatch theory.
- Finite-state theories.
- Variant formats of multiple-choice test.
- Answer-until-correct tests: Analysis of some data.
- Guessing on nonsense items: Analysis of some data.
- Criticisms of the mismatch theory.
- Melding the mismatch theory and item response theory.
- Ideas for the future.
- Some student assignments.
- "My overall impression of the book was that it represents an
important development in psychometrics... Hutchinson shows clear
evidence of having read widely and deeply in the test literature: the
book is very thorough in its coverage of what is now known and what the
controversies and various opinions are about many contentious issues.
I would comment the author on his thorough and balanced integration
of the literature in every step of the development and empirical
testing of his theory." (R W Cooksey, writing in Australian Educational
Researcher, 19, 1992, pp 74--76.)
- "The book begins by pointing out that conventional theories of
performance in multiple-choice tests are conceptually deficient and goes
on to describe the author's theory in detail... I found this an
informative and clearly written volume." (D J Hand, writing in
Short Book Reviews (International Statistical Institute), 12, 1992,
p 2.)
- "Discussions on guessing in MCQ... have never satisfied me by their
rigour. Now I know why... The main thesis is very thoroughly explored, and
is fairly set within an equally thorough context of competing theories."
(M Buckley-Sharp, writing in Medical Education, 26, 1992, p 343.)
- "This is an interesting book which raises important points for
those who set, use and analyse multiple-choice tests." (A Kimber, writing
in International Journal of Nursing Studies, 30, 1993, pp 549-550.)
- "The book discusses many interesting ideas concerning the
philosophy and format of multiple-choice questions, and should be
on the bookshelf of any student who is seriously researching the
subject." (J H Koeslag, writing in South African Medical Journal,
81, 1992, p 488.)
- "A clearly written, useful contribution." (L Wood, writing in
Journal of College Science Teaching, 23, 1994, pp 244-245.)
Published June 1991. A5 format. Paperback.
xiv + 266 pages. Price: $33
(Australian currency), $24 (U.S. currency),
14 pounds sterling, $30 (Canadian currency),
or the equivalent in any major convertible currency. Please
order from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing, P.O. Box Q355, Q.V.B.,
Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
Index to Corrections, Addenda, and Comments
That Were Published in Statistics Journals, 1970--1991
by T P Hutchinson and Y Ke
- "A good idea... Ought to be available in any library with a good
collection of statistical journals." (C A Toase, writing in Refer,
9(1), 1993, p 8.)
Mistakes occurring in scholarly journals are often corrected by a
notice in a later issue of the journal. This book provides a means of
discovering whether a given article has had any corrections or addenda
to it, or comments on it, published. All the major English-language
journals of statistics (numbering 78) for the years 1970--1991 have
been searched, and the published corrections, addenda, and comments
have been listed, each under the name of the author of the original
article and its bibliographical details. There are over 3200 entries,
and an index is provided of authors of comments and of coauthors of
the original articles.
Those chiefly interested in biometrics and medical statistics will
wish to know that among the journals searched were the following:
Biometrical Journal, Biometrics, Biometrie-Praximetrie, Journal of the
Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics, and Statistics in Medicine.
Engineering statisticians will wish to know that among the journals
searched were the following: IEEE Transactions on Reliability; Journal
of Quality Technology; Naval Research Logistics; Probabilistic
Engineering Mechanics; Probability in the Engineering and Informational
Sciences; Reliability Engineering and System Safety; Reports of
Statistical Application Research, Union of Japanese Scientists and
Engineers; Technometrics.
Published June 1992. A5 format. Paperback. x + 296 pages.
Index of coathors and of authors of comments. Price: $55 (Australian
currency), $40 (U.S. currency), 25 pounds sterling, $50 (Canadian
currency), or the equivalent in any major convertible currency.
Please order from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing, P.O. Box Q355,
Q.V.B., Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
Corrections, Addenda, and Comments Published in
Journals of Statistics and Mathematics Applied to Psychology and
Education, 1970--1991: An Index
by T P Hutchinson and Y Ke
The major English-language journals of statistical psychology for the
years 1970--1991 have been searched, and the published corrections,
addenda, and comments have been listed, each under the name of the
author of the original article and its bibliographical details. There
are 276 entries, and an index is provided of authors of comments and of
coauthors of the original articles.
The journals searched were: Applied Psychological Measurement; British
Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology; Educational and
Psychological Measurement; Journal of Educational Measurement;
Journal of Educational Statistics; Journal of Mathematical Psychology;
Language Testing; Multivariate Behavioral Research; Psychometrika.
Published July 1992. A5 format. Paperback booklet of ii + 29
pages. Index of coauthors and of authors of comments. Price: $11
(Australian currency), $9 (U.S. currency), 5 pounds sterling, $10
(Canadian currency), or the equivalent in any major convertible
currency. Please order from: Rumsby Scientific Publishing, P.O. Box
Q355, Q.V.B., Sydney, N.S.W. 2000, Australia.
T P Hutchinson
phutchin@bunyip.bhs.mq.edu.au
6.Mch.96