Exchange Rates, International Balances, and International
Finance
Open economies cannot conduct economic policies as though they were
closed to international trade and capital movements. What the
rest of the world does affects the economy of a country.
The money of one country is exchanged for the money of another country in
foreign exchange markets. These markets are needed in
international trade because people wish to be paid in the money
of their own country.
The intersection of the demand curve and the supply curve in the foreign
exchange market indicates the equilibrium foreign exchange value
of a nation's money. Purchasing power parity exists when the
buying power of a country's money for traded goods and services
is the same at home as abroad. Transactions on the capital
account involve the concept of rate-of-return parity, where the
rate of return on a dollar invested at home is the same as it
would be if that dollar were exchanged for the foreign money and
invested there.
Countries may try to raise the exchange value of their money by using
their gold and foreign exchange reserves to supplement the
demand for their money. They may lower its exchange value by
selling their own money in the foreign exchange market.
The argument for flexible exchange rates is that they do a more efficient
job of pricing goods and allocating resources than do
government- controlled rates. Moreover, government attempts to
control rates often break down and cause serious problems.
The argument for fixed exchange rates is that they reduce uncertainty and
thus help international trade and investment. Moreover, since
governments usually influence exchange rates anyway, it is
better that it be done openly.
Under the gold standard, monies are linked to each other because each is
guaranteed to be ex changeable for a stated amount of gold.
Under this system, gold and trade flows tend to force the price
levels in gold-standard countries into fixed relationships,
corresponding inversely to the gold backing of their monies. The
gold-standard system collapsed in the unstable economic
conditions following World War 1.
The International Monetary Fund was set up near the end of World War 11
to make loans to countries to help them hold the exchange value
of their monies in line with fixed exchange rates ap proved by
the IMF directors. This fixed-exchange-rate system broke down in
19 71 when the United States refused to continue to exchange
gold for dollars, thus letting the reserve money itself float in
foreign exchange value.
Eurocurrencies are deposits of a country's money in banks in a foreign
country. These deposits are free from their issuing government's
controls over reserve ratios, interest rates, and the quality of
loans. The advantages of this freedom from control have led to a
great expansion of Eurocurrency accounts.
Balance of payments accounts record transactions that involve demands
(credit entries) and supplies (debit entries) for a nation':
money in international payments. Widely recognized concepts of
balance are (a) the balance of trade, (b) the balance on
investment income, (c) the balance on current account, (d) the
balance on capital account, and (e) the official settlements
balance of payments.
If the sum of a country's current and capital accounts is positive, the
country's balance of payments is in surplus. If the sum is
negative, its balance of payments is in deficit.
It is sometimes suggested that countries move through several balance of
payments stages in the course of economic development. They
start as immature debtors and end as mature creditors, living
off dividends and interest from previous investments abroad.
Following mercantilist views, a positive payments balance usually is
considered favorable and a negative balance is unfavorable.
However, in terms of macroeconomic policy, these judgments
depend on whether the goal is to expand the economy or to fight
inflation.
A country has a primary payments problem if its international reserves of
gold and convertible foreign monies are low and its balance of
payments is usually negative.
A country has a secondary payments problem (1) if its current account is
in deficit but its payments are balanced by undesired capital
imports, or (2) if its capital account deficit, or capital
flight, is absorbing a large portion of the export surplus the
country had hoped to use for other purposes.
Remedies for payments problems, either primary or secondary, include
price deflation-the so-called "classical medicine" of
laissez faire-currency devaluation or depreciation,
international aid or lending, trade protection, exchange
controls, and countertrade.