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Brad's BIG Race
Analysis
Breeders' Cup Edition
Thoroughbred Memories 1-800-5-ALYDAR
Chris McCarron and Sunday Silence survive the '89 Classic at Gulfstream
The 16th Running--November 6, 1999
Selected Views From Gulfstream's Grandstand
I took these shots a few weeks back. Maybe they'll help a few of you.
WAGERING:
Win, Place, Show, Exacta, and Trifecta on all races. Superfectas Sprint through Classic.
Rolling Pick-3s Distaff through Juvenile. Pick-6 begins with the Mile. Daily Doubles on
the Juvenile Fillies/Mile and Turf/Classic.
The Races
The Distaff
Inside Information 1995 (1 1/8) @ Belmont 1:46
Lady's Secret 1986 (1 1/4) @ Santa Anita 2:01:1
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Bayakoa pressed a moderate pace and took the lead with a half mile
remaining. 1992-Paseana went 4-wide into the first turn and
took the lead while 3-wide into the second turn, winning by 4 over Versailles Treaty.
The BIG Angle:
1:10pm Eastern
Contenders:
A LADY FROM DIXIE-3rd in Spinster; BANSHEE BREEZE-Will
have to bounce back from lackluster Spinster; BEAUTIFUL
PLEASURE-Personal Ensign and Beldame winner; BETTER THAN HONOUR-2nd in the
Acorn; HERITAGE OF GOLD-Diana
and Molly Pitcher Winner; KEEPER HILL-Gift rail trip at Keeneland;
MADISON'S CHARM-Comely winner; MAGICAL ALLURE-2-0-2 at the
distance; MANISTIQUE-What happened in the Apple Blossom?;
MARLEY VALE-Test winner likes Gulfstream; ON A SOAPBOX-Took the
Alabama off, could be dangerous; QUEEN'S WORD-2nd in the
Gazelle; RUBY SURPRISE-G3 win at Turfway; SILVERBULLETDAY-Is she over the top?;
SISTER ACT-Hempstead winner hasn't run since June; SILENT
ESKIMO-Louisville BC Handicap winner; SMOOTH PLAYER-Hollywood
Oaks winner; STROLLING BELLE-No stakes wins; TAP TO
MUSIC-Delaware Handicap winner; VICTORY STRIPES-G2 winner at
Hawthorne; YOLO LADY-2nd to Manistique in the Vanity.
The Juvenile Fillies
Countess Diana 1997 (1 1/16) @ Hollywood 1:42:1
Twilight Ridge 1985 (1 mile) @ Aqueduct 1:35:4
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Go For Wand pressed a moderate pace in the 3-path
and registered an impressive win. 1992-Eliza, while 4-wide into the first turn,
pressed a strong pace and drew off with 1/2 mile to go besting Educated Risk.
The BIG Angle:
1:43pm Eastern
Contenders:
ABBY GIRL-Nice works at HOL; CHILUKKI-A lot of 1's lined up
there; CASH RUN-Lukas runner won maiden by 15+; CECILLIA'S
CROWN-3rd in the Debutante at CD; COVER GAL-Won maiden by 12;
DARLING MY DARLING-Tired in the slop at Belmont; DREAM SUPREME-2
races, 2 wins; FIESTY COUNTESS-Outsider from Delaware; GILDED
DIABLO-3rd in the Astoria; HALLOWED DREAMS-5 for 5 in Cajun
Country; HUMBLE CLERK-Humble; INDEMNIFY-Also humble; KATZ ME IF
YOU CAN-2nd in the Sorority; MARIGALANTE-Allowance winner at Saratoga; MATLACHA
PASS-Won maiden by 8+; MISS WINESHINE-Baffert trainee might not
want this distance; MYCATCANDANCE-Lukas been second-guessing
himself here; PRINCESS MELISSA-Went over the rail in the Del Mar
Debutante; NOVEMBER SLEW-2nd in the Sorrento; REGALLY
APPEALING-Adirondack and KY Cup JuvF winner; SABRE DANCE-2
starts, 2 wins; SCRATCH PAD-2 impressive wins at Calder; SHE'S
CLASSY-2nd in Landaluce S.; SISTER FIONA-Undefeated Sorority
winner; SPAIN-2nd in Del Mar Deb.; SURFSIDE-Dead-game performance in
sloppy Frizette; SQUALL CITY-2nd to Dream Supreme in maiden;
TALK BACK-Allowance winner at Woodbine; TRUMP MY HEART-3rd in
Adirondack.
The Mile
Royal Heroine (IRE) 1984 @ Hollywood 1:32:3
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Jose Santos makes a bold move to
the hedge late with Steinlen and wins by 3/4 length in a blanket finish.
1992-Lure hugs the hedge the whole way setting fast fractions.
Longshot closers Sabona and Most Welcome get the place and show.
The BIG Angle:
2:20pm Eastern
Contenders:
ALJABR-Group 1 winner for Godolphin could be tough;
ALMUSHTARAK-Could wake up on firm ground; AMERICAN SPIRIT-2nd
in the West Virginia Derby; BRAVE ACT-Multiple graded winner in
SoCal; BET ON SUNSHINE-3rd in the 97 Sprint; BOMFIM-8-3-1-3 at
the distance; CHORWON-Must turn back; COMIC STRIP-Fourstar Dave
winner will want more ground; CRYPTIC RASCAL-Allowance winner;
CRYSTAL HEARTED-5-2-1-0 at the distance; DELAY OF GAME-4th in
the Widener; DIVIDE AND CONQUER-Late rally for 3rd in the Dixie;
DIXIE DOT COM-Good 2nd in Hollywood Derby; DUBAI MILLENNIUM-Will
he like it firm?; EAGLETON-LaJolla and Will Rogers winner; FIVE
STAR DAY-Not likely placed here; GARBU-2 for 2 on GP grass; GOLD
AWAY-Woke up at Longchamps last time; HAWKSLEY HILL-22-7-8-2 at
distance; INKATHA-Red Bank winner; JIM AND TONIC-Hasn't won since
6-98; JOE WHO-Will fire well fresh; LADIES DIN-7-4-2-1 at the
distance; LORD SMITH-Questionable form of late; MIDDLESEX
DRIVE-Impressive this year; POTEEN-5-wide rally in Atto; QUIET
RESOLVE-2nd in Atto; ROB 'N GIN-Poker winner is 9-2-3-2 at
distance; ROBYNHOOD-3-1-1-1 at distance; SILIC-Best in the West?; SOVIET
LINE-Distance specialist 0 for 2 at GP; TAKARIAN-Downhill after
the American at Hollywood; TUZLA-6-5-0-1 at the distance;
The Sprint
Elmhurst 1997 @ Hollywood 1:08
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Cordero gets the fast
closing Dancing Spree up by a neck after Safely Kept sets some
tremendous fractions. 1992-Baffert's Thirty Slews presses
the whole trip in the 2-3 path and just gets up by a neck over
Meafara completing $621 exacta.
The BIG Angle:
2:53pm Eastern
Contenders:
A.P. ASSAY-My choice last year(4th @ 14-1); AFFIRMED
SUCCESS-Coming around nicely; ARTAX-Bounce candidate;
BIG JAG-11-6-1-1 at the distance; CAT THIEF-Would he?;
CHRISTMAS BOY-1:08 in the Bing Crosby; CRAFTY FRIEND-0 for 3
at distance; ENJOY THE MOMENT-Graded win at this distance;
FORESTRY-6f in 1:07:3 in Kings Bishop; FURLOUGH-Only 1 of 6
at distance; HARPIA-3 for 3 at GP; INTIDAB-A Phenomenon winner;
KONA GOLD-3rd last year; LEXICON-7-2-1-2 at distance; LOADED
GUN-In the money 16 of 19 at distance; MEN'S EXCLUSIVE-6th last
year; PROSPECTOR'S SONG-No graded wins showing; REGAL THUNDER-0
for 2 at distance; ROCK AND ROLL-Don't count Mott out; RUN
JOHNNY-Not really suited for this; SILVER SEASON-3rd in Riva
Ridge; SON OF A PISTOL-Los Angeles winner 7-4-2-0 at distance;
STRAVINSKY-Group 1 sprint winner in England; SUCCESSFUL
APPEAL-Might have found a niche; THE TRADER'S ECHO-No graded
wins at distance; VICAR-2 for 3 at GP, Impressive in Phoenix form
off the pace; YES IT'S TRUE-Wheels came off in King's Bishop.
The Filly and Mare Turf
Initial running.
3:24pm Eastern
Contenders:
ANGUILLA-Black Helen winner; ANTOINETTE-Calumet runner
overmatched; BLENDING ELEMENT-Grade 3 winner at distance;
CORETTA-2nd in Flower Bowl after pressing snail-like pace;
CYRILLIC-Not a lot to go on; DELILAH-Graded win at distance and track; FIJI-Next to last
in Yellow Ribbon; FORMAL TANGO-Grade 3 winner at Monmouth;
HAPPYANDUNOIT-Peaking at right time; IDLE RICH-Graded win at
distance at Saratoga; INTRIGUED-Not at this level; ISLE DE
FRANCE-Group 3 winner in France; LOVERS KNOT-3-1-1-0 at GP;
MIDNIGHT LINE-Hasn't broken through to this level;
MOSSFLOWER-3rd in Flower Bowl; MUMTAZ-Probably prefers
shorter; NATALIE TOO-0 for 2 at distance an GP; PERFECT
STING-Won't get soft going at Gulfstream; PICO TENERIFFE-2
for 2 at GP; PLEASANT TEMPER-She'll have to stretch out; QUE
BELLE-Bad start in Ramona beaten just a 1/2; SMOOTH PLAYER-Might
like distance increase; SOARING SOFTLY-Ultra impressive in
Flower Bowl; SPANISH FERN-Good prep in the Yellow Ribbon;
SWEET LUDY-Trailed off lately; TAMPICO-5-1-0-2 at Gulfstream;
TOUT CHARMONT-Del Mar Oaks winner; TRANQUILITY LAKE-Yellow
Ribbon effort troubling; VIRGINIE-Could be a monster;
WINFAMA-6-1-0-1 at GP; ZAHRAT DUBAI-Guess who?; ZOMARADAH-Won
EP Taylor last year.
The Juvenile
Favorite Trick 1997 (1 1/16) @ Hollywood 1:41:2
Success Express 1987 (1 mile) @ Hollywood 1:35:1
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Craig Perret takes Rhythm
down to the rail into the final turn and he draws away for 2 length
victory over Grand Canyon and Slavic. 1992-Undefeated Gilded Time runs 5th inside on the first
turn, then McCarron swings him 4-wide entering the final turn and
he strides forward to win by 3/4 length.
The BIG Angle:
3:57pm Eastern
Contenders:
AFTERNOON AFFAIR-Going the wrong way; ALWAYS GAME-Still too
early; CALLER ONE-Plastered in the Best Pal; CANFIELD-Have to
respect Pletcher; CAPTAIN STEVE-Coming along nicely. Winner in
Keeneland Furuity; CHIEF SEATTLE-Good 2nd in Champagne;
DEPUTY WARLOCK-2nd in Ky Cup Juvy; DIABLO'S ADDITION-Took More
Than Ready to the threshold; DITKA-Wearing dread locks; DIXIE
UNION-Mandella can teach him to rate; DON'T TELL THE
KIDS-Sapling winner; EXCHANGE RATE-Lukas might have something
here; EXCITING STORY-8 back in the Hopeful; FASILYEV-5 for 5 in
Europe, 2 Group 1's; FOREST CAMP-Baffert's real deal; GIANT'S
CAUSEWAY-Group 3 winner; GREENWOOD LAKE-Champagne winner looking
tough; HIGH YIELD-Impressive in Hopeful; HOUSE
BURNER-3rd in Sapling; JOOPY DOOPY-Nopey; KLEOFUS-Hasn't shown
enough; LAC GRAND-4th in Sapling; MILLENCOLIN-Ky Cup Juvy
winner; NUNZIO-Impressive debut for son of Holy Bull; OUTRIGGER-2nd in
Sapling; PERSONAL FIRST-Will need improvement; PICTURE
I.D.-Don't know if he'll handle stretch-out; POLISH
MINER-Likely to be over-bet; SETTLEMENT-Will like extra
distance; SIGNIFICANT-Not much to go on; SINNDAR-Group 1 winner
at a mile; SNUCK IN-2 for 2 in South Florida; SKY
DWELLER-Capable of stretching out nicely; STORMY JACK-Baffert
at the helm; SYKES ALIVE-Lukas second-stringer.
The Turf
Chief Bearhart 1997 @ Hollywood 2:23:4
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-Delahoussaye gets Prized up
by a head in a blanket finish over 25-1 shot Sierra Roberta.
1992-14-1 Fraise lopes along last most of the trip improving position slightly entering the final turn.
Valenzuela slips him through to the hedge and he charges through to nip
favored Sky Classic with inches to go.
The BIG Angle:
4:30pm Eastern
Contenders:
ASTARABAD-Escondido winner; BONAPARTISTE-9th last year, one race this year;
BRAVE ACT-Just missed in the 12f San Luis Obispo; BUCK'S BOY-Last year's
winner has had only 2 starts this year; DAWSON'S LEGACY-2nd in 97 Juvenile;
DAYLAMI-Won't have to worry about bogging down here; DREAM WELL-Solid
performer in Europe; FAHRIS-Ky Cup Trf winner; FEDERAL
TRIAL-Always right there, 2 for 2 at GP; FRUITS OF LOVE-3rd
behind Daylami in the King George; GRITTY SANDIE-Won Lawrence
Realization at 12f; HIGH-RISE-He'll like it firm; HONOR
GLIDE-Was it the soft going that caused Man O' War
debacle?; HURRAHY-9-4-1-1 at Gulfstream; JAZZ CLUB-Not
likely; LADIES DIN-Hasn't won since 11/98; LAZY LODE-6-1-1-3
at distance; LEGGERA-Now that she's 4 can she be considered?;
MAJORIEN-Lots of breaks in those pp; PHI BETA DOC-Saranac winner; PLICCK-G2
Sunset winner at 12f; ROYAL ANTHEM-5-2-1-1 at distance; ROYAL
STRAND-3-1-1-1 at Gulfstream; SAYARSHAN-Del Mar handicap
winner; SINGLE EMPIRE-Firm going will be his friend;
TANAASA-Group 3 winner 2 years ago; UNITE'S BIG RED-5-2-1-2
at GP including a win in the 12f Pan American; VAL'S
PRINCE-Can Bond keep him right?; YAGLI-Winless in 5 tries at 12f.
The Classic
Skip Away 1997 @ Hollywood 1:59
Previously @ Gulfstream:
1989-"A Racing Epic", as Tom Durkin
describes it. Sunday Silence and McCarron stay in close attendance
to the pace making their move entering the final turn. Easy Goer sits
chilly most of the way making a late charge but failing by less than
1/2 length. 1992-Delahoussaye gets AP Indy out early and settles in 4th
entering first turn. Racing strongly entering the final turn he moves
inside, puts his head down in his unforgettable style, and draws off
to win by 2.
The BIG Angle:
5:10pm Eastern
Contenders:
ALMUTAWAKEL-Wakes up on dirt, good 3rd in JCGC; BEHRENS-Tough to get past;
BUDROYALE-Mighty performance in Goodwood; CAT THIEF-12th start this
year; CATIENUS- 2nd in the Suburban; DA DEVIL-Surprise winner
at Turfway; ECTON PARK-Just 1/10 off track record in Super Derby;
GENERAL CHALLENGE-Pacific Classic winner is winless outside California; GOLDEN MISSILE-3rd
in SAR BC H'cap; HOLLYCOMBE-1 length from 5 for 6; LEMON DROP
KID-Lights came on at Belmont; OLD TRIESTE-Fragile and might be beyond his scope; PINEAFF-Has won
in Florida; PRECOCITY-3rd in Oaklawn Handicap; PRIME
TIMBER-Searching for answers; RIVER KEEN-Career best in
JCGC, tender feet though; ROYAL ANTHEM-Group 1 winner; STEPHEN GOT EVEN-Seems
to attract more than his fair share of attention; VISION AND
VERSE-Capable of winning with connections.
Brad'sBIG
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