From Wichita, KS NWS:
FCST SNDGS DON'T MOISTEN SFC-850MB LYR TIL LATE THIS AFTN & POP GAMEPLAN REFLECTS THIS. POP GRADIENT APR'D KOSHER FOR MOST PART W/ ONLY CHG BEING TO LWR POP ACRS CNTRL KS SLGTLY TO 20% DUE LTR ARVL OF MSTR.
ES

From St.Louis NWS:
THE ETA AND THE GFS APPEAR TO HAVE INITIALIZED WELL TONIGHT AND THEY CLOSELY RESEMBLE EACH OTHER OUT TO ABOUT 15 MINUTES... ACTUALLY THEY'RE NOT THAT DISSIMILAR IN THE LARGE SCALE...BUT THE DEVIL WILL BE IN THE DETAILS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
CARNEY

From Louisville, KY NWS:
WE HAVE NOTED THAT THE GFS MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO SAG THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW OFF TO THE SE...WHICH RAISES THE SPECTOR OF MORE FROZEN PCPN...BUT HARD TO SAY. CERTAINLY IF THE HVY PCPN COMES TO FRUITION...MORE FLOODING COULD BE IN THE CARDS.
STUREY

From Upton, NY NWS:
FOLLOWING COORDINATION WITH HPC...WILL TRACK THIS SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE OKX REGION AND LET IT BOMB OFF THE DELMARVA. THIS KEEPS REGION IN NE FLOW WITH THE WARM FRONT STAYING WELL SOUTH. INTENSE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WITH THE TROPICAL CONNECTION...RESULTS IN A LOT OF PCPN. CONCERN IS INCREASING THAT THIS WILL NOT BE A LIQUID EVENT. LOOKING AT SOME GFS SOUNDING NORTH OF US INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR A DEEP ISOTHERMAL 0 DEGREE C LAYER. FOR NOW...WILL START THE PCPN AS A MIXTURE AND GRADUALLY CHANGE IT OVER TO MAINLY RAIN. WITH THE LACK OF A SFC HIGH TO THE NORTH...ICE STORM IS THE MAIN CONCERN HERE WITH HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE NW OF NYC NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
TONGUE

From Burlington, VT NWS:
THE SYS FOR SAT NOW APPEARS TO BE A COASTAL...SO WILL LEAN BACK TOWARDS MORE SOLID PCPN ACRS THE FA THEN...WHO KNOWS.
MURRAY

From Corpus Christi, TX NWS:
SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE/PACKETS OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY/JET DYNAMICS/BOUNDARY LAYER FORCING/SOUTHEAST LOW-LEVEL JET SUPPORTS LIKELY/CATEGORICAL POPS. EVOLVING SCENARIO HAS THE HALLMARKS OF A POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT.
BB

From Brownsville, TX NWS:
FORECAST CONFIDENCE WILL BE LOW THRU FRI PM...AS CWA WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF SOME TIGHT QPF GRADIENTS. ALSO...AM SUSPICIOUS OF LOW QPF VALUES CARRIED BY MOS GUIDANCE THRU FRI PM. MOIST SW FLOW OFF THE GULF...ALONG WITH EJECTING SOUTHERN STREAM VORTS...WILL SUPPORT SOME SHRA AND POSSIBLE TSRA ACTIVITY OVER THE CWA TONIGHT. BELIEVE HIGHEST POPS WILL BE OVER THE NWRN CWA NEAR THE REGRESSING PREFRONTAL TROF. STILL BELIEVE SEVERE WX POSSIBLE OVER THE CWA FRI PM AND EVENING WITH VERY POWERFUL H5 SYS PROGGED TO EMERGE FROM NE MX. PREVIOUS SIMILAR EVENT WAS POORLY HANDLED BY THE MODELS.
62

From Dallas/Fort Worth NWS:
I DID LEAVE COLD TEMPERATURES IN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...PER COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...BUT I PULLED THE POPS. IF THE GFS VERIFIES...WE WILL BE MUCH TOO DRY FOR PRECIP. IF THE ECMWF/NOGAPS VERIFY...WE WILL FACE SOME PRECIP CHANCES BY LATE TUESDAY WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP. OF COURSE...WE WOULD ALSO BE WARMER WITH THE LACK OF AMPLITUDE IN THE FLOW. STAY TUNED!
SS

From Jackson, MS NWS:
HISTORICALLY...IN ORDER TO GET THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY IN THE TEENS...I.E. NEAR RECORD COLD DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR...A CLASSIC...STRONG POSITIVE PNA PATTERN MUST BE IN PLACE WITH A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US AND A DEEP TROUGH IN THE CENTRAL/EASTERN US. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE THIS SIGNAL. IN FACT THE PATTERN PRESENTED BY ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MORE PERTURBED PATTERN.
GAGAN

From Boise, ID NWS:
A VERY INTERESTING ACTIVE COUPLE DAYS OF WEATHER FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTERMOUNTAIN REGION IS ON THE SLATE! A SERIES OF PACIFIC SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BRINGING THE REGION BACK INTO REALITY CHECK MODE ESPECIALLY FOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WHERE HEAVY SNOW IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. TRAJECTORY FLOW WITH THESE WAVES APPEARS TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL LIFT AND HENCE QPF/SNOWFALL. LOCAL OFFICE RESULTS AND STUDIES OF PAST EVENTS SUGGEST HEAVY SNOW WITH THESE INBOUND FEATURES...NEW MRF AND EURO SHOW A WINDY COLD DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND WITH SOME MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MAKING IT'S WAY DOWN OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. ALTHOUGH NOT A FULL DELIVERY OF ARCTIC AIR BY ANY MEANS, IT SHOULD TURN SHARPLY COLDER BY SUNDAY AND LAST THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. IN FACT IF MODELS PROVE CORRECT, WE MAY SEE SOME THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THIS ENTIRE SEASON DESPITE THE FACT OF LONGER DAYS WITH ADDITIONAL SUNSHINE AND SUN ANGLE.
G.SKARI

From Bimringham, AL NWS:
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS PRESSURE TROF ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA (CAN'T REALLY CALL IT A FRONT...SINCE IT IS CURRENTLY WARMER IN HSV THAN MGM)...ATTACHED TO A LOW VICINITY OF JAN... WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OH VALLEY...MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE SURFACE TROF (IT MAY EVEN REGAIN FRONT STATUS) WILL MOVE BACK NORTH LATER TODAY...ALTHOUGH THAT MAY BE A SLOWER THAN EXPECTED PROCESS...I MAY BE BIASED BY MY MEMORY OF LAST WEEK'S EVENT...WHEN MUCH OF THE PRECIP STAYED TO THE NORTH OF OUR CWA UNTIL RIGHT BEFORE COLD FROPA. BUT I HAVE THIS NAGGING FEELING THAT THE MODELS ARE AGAIN OVERDOING THE EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE AND PRECIP INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA ON FRIDAY...I JUST DON'T SEE THE FORCING THAT WOULD PRODUCE THE LARGE AREA OF 90+ PERCENT MEAN RH AND RESULTANT QPF. I'M THEREFORE GOING TO BACK OFF ON POPS...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE CWA...DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

From State College, PA NWS:
WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES...WEEKEND STORM LOOKS WARMER AND WETTER AGAIN...IT LOOKS LIKE FLOOD THREAT HAS INCREASED ONCE AGAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. RULE OF THUMB FOR SUSQUEHANNA RIVER IS 50000 CFS AT HARRISBURG BREAKS UP ICE. CURRENT FORECAST FROM RFC CALLS FOR 80000 CFS BY MONDAY MORNING. LOOKS LIKE ICE WILL BREAK UP AND MOVE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING ALONG SUSQUEHANNA AND TRIBUTARIES.
DIRIENZO

From Pueblo, CO NWS:
OLD MAN WINTER NOT GIVING UP ACROSS THE AREA...AS CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR DATA HAS POLAR VORTEX SPINNING JUST SOUTH OF HUDSONS BAY...WITH POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY PINWHEELING AROUND LOW...WITH TROUGH AXIS LYING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES... KEEPING WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA
PETERSEN

From Tulsa, OK NWS:
WE DID A GOOD JOB YESTERDAY OF IDENTIFYING THE AREA OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FOR TODAY (ALONG THE OK/KS BORDER)...BUT UNFORTUNATELY WE MISSED THE SNOWFALL TOTALS BY NEARLY A FACTOR OF 2.
18

From St. Louis NWS:
BACK EDGE CONTINUES TO KEEP TIME FRAME OF SNOW EVENT AROUND 6-7 HOURS AND IT LOOKS LIKE THE HVY SNOW PLUME STRETCHED ACROSS SWRN MO WL MOV ENEWD INTO SRN PTN CWA IN WRNG AREA...OUR UNKNOWN SNOW CAPITAL. (BET THAT AREA HAS HAD OVER 40 INCHES OF SNOW THIS YEAR)
PEDIGO

From Jackson, KY NWS:
MOTHER NATURE CONTINUES TO USE EAST KENTUCKY TO DEMONSTRATE HER POWER. A SOMBER AND TRAGIC EVENING AS A PROBABLE TORNADO IN OUR HOST COUNTY HAS CAUSED TWO CONFIRMED DEATHS.
GREIF

From State College, PA NWS:
WAVE LENGTHS BETWEEN 2 SIGNIFICANT STORMS DON'T GET MUCH SHORTER THAN WHAT WE SEE AT PRESENT.
LAMBERT

From Tulsa, OK NWS:
LOOKS LIKE ITS GOING TO BE A VERY MESSY WEEK.
06

From Norman, OK NWS:
THE EXPECTED QPF AMOUNTS DO NOT WARRANT AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER THAT IS NOT TO SAY THAT TRAVEL WILL NOT BE HAMPERED. WITH SUCH COLD TEMPERATURES...IT IS POSSIBLE FOR SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL PROBLEMS TO DEVELOP QUICKLY IF PRECIP CAN FALL HARD OR LONG ENOUGH.
JAMES

From Lubbock, TX NWS:
THE GFS MODEL DID MUCH BETTER WITH THIS ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR...I SHOULD HAVE BELIEVED IT.
TINSLEY

From Austin/San Antonio, TX NWS:
SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THRU TONIGHT. THE LATE FEB 2003 COLD OUTBREAK COMES NEARLY A YEAR AFTER THE LATE FEB 2002 COLD OUTBREAK. THE 2003 EPISODE IS CLOUDIER AND HAS THE CHC OF PCPN.
08/19

From NCEP's short range forecast discussion:
A VERY ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE PERIOD. THE MODELS INDICATED FEW SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES WITH THE UPPER AIR FEATURES...BUT DID SHOW SOME INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE SURFACE FEATURES DURING THE LATER PERIODS. AT THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS...THE CLOSED LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN ARIZONA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE OF AN OPEN TROUGH. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN CONTINUE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY MORNING...AT THE SURFACE...ON DAY ONE...STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST STATES INTO GULF OF MEXICO...AND WIND ACROSS SOUTHWEST. BY DAY TWO...INITIAL SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OFF MID ATLANTIC COAST...WITH ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN GULF MOVING TO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA BY END OF PERIOD.
KOSIER

From Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA NWS:
ALL 00Z MDLS INITILIZED HORRIBLY...AND TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE THE 06Z ETA WAS EVEN MORE WRONG. NOT USING ANY MDL FOR SHORT TERM FORECAST AND WILL BASE ON SATELITE...DAYS SIX AND SEVEN...I LOOKED AT 5 DIFFERENT MDLS AND GOT 5 VERY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS.
RORKE

From Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX NWS:
FIRST...WE WERE RUN OVER BY A QUICK HITTING SYSTEM YESTERDAY. IT EXCEEDED THE MAGNITUDE WE FIRST THOUGHT IT WOULD HAVE.
26

From Little Rock, AR NWS:
TRYING TO DIG OUT THIS MORNING FROM ALL THE SNOW. AROUND FIVE INCHES HERE AT THE OFFICE...WITH AS MUCH TEN INCHES LESS THAN 20 MILES WEST OF HERE.
57/46

From Wakefield, VA NWS:
MDLS HVN'T BEEN ABLE TO GRAB ONTO ANY ONE SYS AND SAY - THIS IS THE ONE FOR A STM - DURG THE PAST FEW DAYS...NOW THEY ARE GENERATING DECENT PCPN OUT OF PURE L/M LVL WAA WED...THERE HV BEEN CASES IN THE PAST OF JUST PURE L/M LVL WAA PRDCG PROLIFIC SNWFALL IN THESE PTS (MID FEB 1989)...WL PLAY IT CAUTIOUSLY RIGHT NOW...W/ CONFIDENCE VRY LO.
25

From Jackson, KY NWS:
ETA SUGGESTS A GOOD DEAL OF QPF...ESPECIALLY SOUTH. I AM A BIT SUSPECT OF THIS CONCERNING THE SHALLOWNESS AND QUICKNESS OF THE WAVE. ALSO...SOME WRAP AROUND MAY PROVIDE SOME SMALL ACCUMULATION IN THE NORTH...BUT AT THIS TIME...IT SEEMS THIS MOISTURE WILL RING OUT AS MAINLY RAIN ON THURSDAY...ONLY A FEW DEGREES AWAY FROM MAJOR SNOW...BUT THATS THE WAY IT GOES.
HEINLEIN

From Key West, FL NWS:
LATEST GFS LOSES WHAT LITTLE INTERGRITY WAS LEFT WITH WEAK FRONT APPROACHING ON THURSDAY...AND NOW SHOULD WASH OUT OVER THE PENINSULA.
JR

From Baltimore/Washington NWS:
HV RECEIVED SVRL QUSTNS CONCERNING WATER LVLS AT WISCONSIN AVE GAGE IN GEORGETOWN. CERTAINLY APPEARS THAT THE WORST IS OVER...AS LAST HIGH TIDE THE WATER CRESTED AT 5.5 FEET WHICH IS JUST BELOW THE LOWEST IMPACT STMT PT. THEY PLAN TO LV THE BARRIERS UP FOR ONE MORE TIDAL CYCLE AND THEN TAKE DOWN - THIS ALLOWS THE RESTAURANTS THERE TO OPEN FOR BIZ.
RDH

From Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN NWS:
FORECAST JET ENERGY SHOWS THE CHARACTERISTIC "COUPLING" THAT DIAGNOSES A STRONG AND VIGOROUS EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS MAY VERY WELL LEAD TO A SPRING SNOWSTORM FOR OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. WE HAVE HIT THE THURSDAY/FRIDAY SYSTEM QUITE HARD.

From Huntsville, AL NWS:
MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM LOOKS TO COME INTO PLAY BY END OF WEEK...APPEARS THAT MARCH WILL GO OUT LIKE A LION.
BRIDENSTINE

From Paducah, KY NWS:
NOW SATURDAY IS QPF-FREE WITH ANY LIGHT MEASURABLE PRECIP HOLDING OFF TIL SATURDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO BE CONFINED TO THE 1000-850MB LAYER. 1000-850MB THICKNESS AROUND 1280 M RANGE...SUGGESTING SNOW. HOWEVER...AVAILABILITY OF ICE CRYSTALS MAY BE LACKING YIELDING MORE OF A SUPERCOOLED DROPLET EVENT WITH DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE BEING THE OUTCOME DEPENDING UPON SURFACE TEMPS.
DFS

From Morristown, TN NWS:
ENOUGH COLD AIR ON THE BACKSIDE TO PRODUCE SNOW FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUNDAY. WILL BE A REAL CHANGE COMPARED TO WHAT WE HAVE BEEN ENJOYING LATELY.
PARKER

From Dallas/Fort Worth NWS:
MID-LEVEL DRY LAYER IDEAL FOR DOWNBURSTS...AND 40-KT SPEED SHEAR WITH PASSING MID-LEVEL JET MAX IN AREA OF HIGH CAPE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. THAT WAS A RUN-ON SENTENCE.
25

From Houston/Galveston NWS:
STILL NO TSTMS...BUT CU FIELD IS BEGINNING TO BLOSSOM...SO CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.
33/45

From Twin Cities, MN NWS:
THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN VERY DIFFICULT TO WORK WITH...IT WILL BE PROBLEMATIC WHEN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ICE UP ROADWAYS.

From Lincoln, IL NWS:
METEORITE BURN-UP WITNESSED ACROSS ILLINOIS JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THIS CAUSED AN UNUSUAL BURST OF PHONE CALLS OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL HAVE NO IMPACT ON EXPECTED WEATHER OVER COMING DAYS.
PLAHMER

From Gaylord, MI NWS:
WE SEE A PROGRESSIVE UPPER RIDGE MOVING IN WED/THURSDAY. MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO...THOUGH THE CANADIAN IS ENOUGH OF AN OUTLIER TO KEEP ME FROM GOING WITH A FULL-BORE WARMING TREND JUST YET.
BAK/ZOLTOWSKI

From Key West, FL NWS:
VERY STRONG CELL OFFSHORE OF OCEAN REEF. THIS CELL IS MOVING INTO THE EAST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND HAS GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THESE FACTORS HAVE PRODUCED A RARE FIND...AN ACTUAL SUPERCELL THAT IS PROBABLY BOUNCING A TORNADIC WATERSPOUT TO THE WATER AT TIMES.
STRAHAN

From Blacksburg, VA NWS:
DYNAMICS COMING TOGETHER NICELY TO PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE 6-8 INCHES ON SOME PEAKS. WARMER GROUND AND LOW WATER TO SNOW RATIO WILL HOLD ACCUMS DOWN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS...RAIN SHUD MIX WITH AND CHG OVER TO SNOW EAST OF THE MTNS TODAY...BUT WILL BE VERY HARD TO GET SIGNIFICANT ACCUMS...RAIN HAS CHANGED OVER TO SNOW IN DAN PAST 30 MIN...SEVERAL REPORTS >6" IN MONTGOMERY...GILES...MERCER... WATAUGA COUNTIES WITH LARGE TRESS LIMBS BREAKING FM THE WEIGHT OF THE WET SNOW.
JJ/JDS

From Greenville/Spartanburg, SC NWS:
CURRENT FEELING IS THAT WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN NC MNTNS WILL BE A CLOSE CALL AT BEST. HOWEVER...FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL BE QUITE STRONG ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH 15Z...WITH BANDING/CONVECTIVE PRECIP POSSIBLE. THIS COULD DUMP A HEAVY AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE. THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN THE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE NC MNTNS...WITH 2-4" IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MNTNS...AND 3-6 NORTH. THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS TWICE THOSE AMOUNTS
LANE

From Wakefield, VA NWS:
WINTER'S LAST GASP? LET'S HOPE SO...AS MAR ABT READY TO WIND DN...AND APR ON THE WAY.
25

From Jacksonville, FL NWS:
THICKNESS VALUES PRETTY DARN LOW AT 1320 M OR LESS AND 850 TEMPS ARE BELOW 0C ! WILL GO BELOW GUIDANCE BUT GIVEN STRONG INSOLATION FOR BEING ALMOST APRIL WON'T GO TOO FAR BELOW IT. CALM WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW DECOUPLING AND MAY SEE FREEZING TEMPS FOR SOME AREAS IN NE FL AND SE GA. NO, THIS IS NOT NOT AN APRIL FOOLS JOKE! HIGH PRES CENTER PROGGED TO BE NEAR SRN COUNTIES 12Z TUE. DON'T THINK JAX WILL SEE FREEZE TEMPS BUT INTERESTING TO NOTE LATEST FREEZE FOR THE AREA WAS MARCH 31, 1964.
SHASHY

From Portland, OR NWS:
FRONT SLAMS INTO COAST LATE TUE AND MOVES ACROSS AREA TUE NIGHT WITH STRONG OROGRAPHIC COMPONENT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY CASCADES. LOWEST SNOW LEVELS TUE NIGHT AND WED MORNING WILL GIVE REAL THREAT OF STICKING SNOW TO LOWER FOOTHILLS AND COAST MOUNTAINS.
KOSOVITZ

From Seattle, WA NWS:
MODELS SHOW A DEFINITE LACK OF CONSISTENCY BETWEEN EACH OTHER AND FROM RUN-TO-RUN FROM SATURDAY ON...SUNDAY COULD BE A LOT LIKE SATURDAY...SO FOR THE SAKE OF SIMPLICITY WILL LUMP THE TWO TOGETHER.
KAM

From Albuquerque, NM NWS:
TO SUM UP...A LOT OF WEATHER FEATURES TO TALK ABOUT NEXT 7 DAYS BUT NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP.
JWS

From Marquette, MI NWS:
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS SNOW POTENTIAL LATE TNGT AND WED...AND THAT'S NO JOKE.
JKL

From Key West, FL NWS:
MARCH 2003 WENT OUT LIKE A LION...WITH A GOOD NORTHERLY BLOW AND RECORD COOL TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...THE MONTH WAS STILL THE SECOND WARMEST EVER
K. KASPER

From Huntsville, AL NWS:
I'LL REITERATE WHAT I SAID YESTERDAY, "THIS IS ABOUT AS INNOCUOUS A 4 DAY PERIOD AS YOU WILL EVER SEE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY IN SEVERE WX SEASON."
JDG

From Quad Cities, IA IL NWS:
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND WITH STRONG DYNAMICS AND STEEP H7-H5 LAPSE RATES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80...COULD SEE SOME THUNDERSNOW...BUT WILL NOT BURDEN ZONES WITH WORDING AT THIS TIME.
DLS

From Chicago, IL NWS:
HEAVY SNOW A TOUGH CALL. THINGS THAT WOULD FAVOR HEAVY SNOW INCLUDE VERY STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING...STRONG VV THROUGH SATURATED LAYER AT -15C...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION. LIMITING FACTORS WOULD BE INITIAL DRY AIR IN LOW LEVELS THAT WILL DELAY ONSET OF SNOW...WARM GROUND MAY CAUSE SOME MELTING...AND POSSIBILITY FOR SOME MIXED PRECIP.
ALLSOPP

From Lake Charles, LA NWS:
AS HOUSTON INDICATED IN THEIR DISCUSSION...ALSO CONFIDENT THAT I'M NOT AT ALL CONFIDENT THAT SEVERE WEATHER ON ANY SCALE OTHER THAN ISOLATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON. NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR NO SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDE...NO LOW LEVEL FORCING MECHANISM...VAPOR IMAGERY AND MODELS DON'T SUPPORT ANY MAJOR UPSTREAM ENERGY FOR THIS AFTERNOON COMING IN OUR CWA.

From Birmingham, AL NWS:
WHEN'S IT GOING TO END? I MENTIONED YESTERDAY THE FRONT ON MONDAY WOULD GO THRU RATHER HARMLESSLY...THINGS HAVE CHANGED. IT NOW LOOKS AS THOUGH THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE WITH SEVERAL FORCING DYNAMICS ROLLING BY OVERHEAD. THIS WILL PROLONG THE STRONG TO SEVERE POTENTIAL THRU PROBABLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. I'M JUST THE MESSENGER FOLKS.
JONES

From Upton, NY NWS:
I WOULD EXPECT AN AVERAGE OF AT LEAST 6 INCHES EVERYWHERE...WITH UP TO 1 FOOT...WHERE MESOSCALE BANDING DEVELOPS AND WHERE SLEET DOESN'T HOLD DOWN THE AMOUNTS SLIGHTLY. I WILL THEREFORE UPGRADE THE WINTER STORM WATCHES TO WARNINGS ACROSS OUR ENTIRE CWA. AS NE WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR.
GC

From Buffalo, NY NWS:
FINALLY...RIDGING BRINGS MORE SEASONABLE WX NEXT SUN/MON...COULD THIS BE IT? SPRING? FINALLY??
MCLAUGHLIN

From Upton, NY NWS:
DRY PUNCH SEEN ON WTR VPR STLT IMAGERY WELL UPSTREAM ALSO SUGGESTS THAT DRYING WL BE MOVING INTO RGN RIGHT BHND HVST PCPN AND WE'VE CERTAINLY SEEN THIS A FEW TIMES IN THE PAST...BRIEF OCCURRENCE AT END OF PRESIDENT'S DAY STORM CIRCA 2003. THUS...WL CUT DOWN TNGT'S SNOWFALL AMTS EVER SO SLGTLY SLGTLY AND MENT PSBL ENDING AS BRIEF PD OF FZDZ ALL ZNS.
REYNOLDS

From Huntsville, AL NWS:
AN UPPER LOW MEANDERS AROUND THE DEEP SOUTH FOR A FEW DAYS. TO ME...THIS SCENARIO MEANS A LOT OF CLOUD COVER...COLD TEMPERATURES...AND THE PROSPECT FOR SOME INSTABILITY TYPE SHOWERS. ALL TOLD...THE CHANCES DO NOT LOOK THAT GREAT...AND I CAN'T PINPOINT WITH ANY CERTAINTY WHO MIGHT GET WHAT WHEN. SO WILL BROADBRUSH SLIGHT CHANCES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
JE

From Jacksonville, FL NWS:
TODAY...SOUTHERN STREAM HAS BECOME ACTIVE AGAIN. MODELS HISTORICALLY DO NOT HANDLE THIS WELL DUE TO LACK OF UPSTREAM DATA FOR OUR AREA. SO WON'T BE TOO DETAILED...BUT WE ARE IN FOR A ROUGH AFTERNOON. ..ANY OUTFLOW COLLISION WILL KICK OFF SOME CONVECTION TODAY AS ATMOSPHERE IS IMPRESSIVELY UNSTABLE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
WELSH/CARROLL

From New Orleans, LA NWS:
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE... ...TODAY'S SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTBREAK IS LIKELY TO BE THE WORST THIS CALENDAR YEAR...MESOCYCLONE AND TORNADO VORTEX SIGNATURES ON RADAR HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE AT TIMES...BUT THERE HAVE BEEN NO CONFIRMED REPORTS OF TORNADOES. WITH THE SOUTHWARD PROPAGATION OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND THE 30 KNOT MOVEMENT OF INDIVIDUAL CELLS...THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING AS OF YET.
22

From Quad Cities IA IL NWS:
THERE IS AN OLD ADAGE THAT SAYS BEWARE OF EASTERLY FLOW. SUCH WAS THE CASE WITH THIS SYSTEM. FIRST...IT TOOK LONGER TO SATURATE THE LOWER LEVELS WHICH CUT DOWN OF THE SNOW AMOUNTS. SECOND...FOR ONCE THE AVN WAS CORRECT WITH ITS MUCH FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION THAN THE UKMET...WHICH NORMALLY IS MORE SKILLFUL THAN THE AVN. LASTLY...WE ARE IN MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT AND NATURE OBVIOUSLY WANTS TO CONTINUE THAT TREND.
SF

From Tallahassee, FL NWS:
MODELS AGREE THAT 500 MB TEMPS IN THE -20 TO -25 DEGREE C RANGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA. WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS WILL DROP BELOW 11 KFT AT TLH BY WED AFTERNOON AND BELOW 9 KFT AT DHN. THE ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY WILL ENAHANCE LIFT FOR SHOWERS IF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE CAN WRAP AROUND THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. AT THIS TIME, IT LOOKS LIKE THIS WILL BE THE CASE WITH HAIL A THREAT IN ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM.

From Birmingham, AL NWS:
THE GFS HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH PRINTING OUT WIDE SPREAD SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE THICKNESS VALUES DO NOT SUPPORT THIS.
80

From State College, PA NWS:
...YET ANOTHER COMPLEX WINTRY SCENARIO ABOUT TO UNFOLD... COULD BE 0.10-0.20 OF ICE ACCRETION IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY ON TREES. AGAIN...AS WITH LAST EVENT...ROADWAYS MAY ESCAPE WITH MERE WETNESS RATHER THAN ICE...SO DESPITE WINTRY PRECIP...MANY MAIN ROADS MAY BE JUST FINE. SECONDARY...LESS TRAVELED ROADS COULD BE MORE OF A PROB FOR WED AM.
KL

From Taunton, MA NWS:
MQE IS NOW UP TO 3RD HEAVIEST WINTER SNOW ACC WITH THEIR 112.3 (2.6 LAST NIGHT). WE HAVE A COUPLE OF SPOTS ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS SITTING NEAR 80". AFTER THIS WEEK WE HOPE THAT THIS DOES IT THO SUCH A WINTER...WOULDNT RULE OUT IP OR A ROBINS SNOW INTERIOR "AFTER" 4/13. IN OTHER WORDS...WE'RE COUNTING ON MORE ICE..IF NOT SNOW THIS CURRENT WEEK.
DRAG

From Spokane, WA NWS:
TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR CLIMATOLOGY WITH SUNBREAKS PROBABLE MOST LOCATIONS EACH DAY BUT FUNDAMENTALLY UNSETTLED SPRING TIME REGIME.
FUGAZZI

From Los Angeles, CA NWS:
LOOKS LIKE A VERY COOL WEEK FOR MID APRIL IN SRN CA.
DANIELSON

From Sacramento, CA NWS:
COOL AIR ADVECTION LOWERED SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO NEAR 3000 FEET OVER NORCAL AND THIS SHOULD PERSIST TODAY AS -7 TO -10C H7 TEMPS REMAIN OVER THE REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. WET BULB ZERO FORECAST TO HOVER NEAR 4000 FEET AND EVEN SHOWN TO LOWER IN HEAVY PRECIP TODAY DUE TO LATENT HEAT EFFECTS...POST FRONTAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE GREATER THREAT OF ROTATION AND HAIL PRODUCTION IN THE SAC VALLEY...HAPPY SPRING WEATHER AND POWDER HEAVEN.
TARDY

From Bismarck, ND NWS:
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN FALLING LIKE FRENCH HEAVYWEIGHTS.
HW

From Huntsville, AL NWS:
PRECIP WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY...BUT THE MORE I LOOK AT THINGS THE MORE I AM FEELING LIKE TONIGHT MAY BE THE BULK OF THE PRECIP. WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS THOUGH...WITH LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES AND OTHER ASSORTED INFLUENCES...PLUS COPIOUS MOISTURE.
JE/23

From Birmingham, AL NWS:
AT 18Z...A STRONG MCS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHERN MISSOURI...AND WESTERN TENNESSEE. IF YOU USE THE DISTANCE SPEED TOOL AND PLACE IT OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MCS...IT HAS IT MOVING INTO MY COUNTY WARNING AREA BY 2245Z...ACCORDING TO A QUICK AND DIRTY MSAS ANALYSIS...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NY/PA THROUGH IN...IL...AR...AND INTO SOUTHEAST TX.
80

From El Paso-Santa Teresa, NM NWS:
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL MEAN DEEP MIXING THUS ALLOWING THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND COMPLIMENTARY GRADIENTS AT LOW LEVELS TO COMBINE FOR A VERY WINDY DAY. DRY CONDITIONS AND THE DEEP MIXING, COMBINED WITH THE SW TRAJECTORY SHOULD LIFT AND RELOCATE MUCH DESERT REAL ESTATE...AKA BLOWING DUST.
14/BIRD

From Austin/San Antonio, TX NWS:
OUR WEATHER PATTERN HAS BEEN SO DRY RECENTLY THAT WE MAY BE GETTING TO THE POINT THAT GROUND MOISTURE BECOMES SO SPARSE AS TO PROVIDE A NEGATIVE FEEDBACK TO PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT. THIS RESULTS IN EVEN DECENT ATMOSPHERIC PERTURBATIONS PRODUCING LITTLE OR NO RAIN AND EVENTUALLY MAKES THE ATMOSPHERE WARM MORE EFFICIENTLY.
02/18

From Buffalo, NY NWS:
CLIMO...APRIL STATS ARE IN...AND BUF HAS HAD DRIEST APRIL IN 68 YRS WITH JUST 0.9 INCH...TALK ABOUT TIMING...WE MAY SEE THAT IN NEXT 24 HOURS!
MCLAUGHLIN

From Wichita, KS NWS:
GIVEN COMBO OF LARGE CAPES, IMPRESSIVE CAPE BLO 3KM AND DEEP SHEAR VALUES, LLVL STRETCHING WL BE SUFFICENT FOR TORNADOGENESIS ABT ANYWHERE STORMS FIRE. LARGE CAPES ALSO SUG RAPID DVLPMT AND INTENSIFICATION, AND ANTICIPATE STORMS WL RAPIDLY BECOME SVR ONCE THEY DVLP.
HOWERTON

From Tulsa, OK NWS:
THE CELL MODE WILL BE HARD TO CALL AS THE FASTER MID-LEVEL SPEEDS WILL BE OFFSET BY THE NATURAL SEEDING FROM THE ANVILS. RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST A POSSIBLE HP EVENT DEVELOPING WITH THESE STORMS.
8

From Fort Worth, TX NWS:
ROUND 2...3...4? COULD BE AS S/SELY WINDS RESUME AND REPLENISH LOW LVL MSTR OVER N TX. THIS SYSTEM (SIMILAR TO CURRENT ONE) EJECTS TOWARDS MID MS VALLEY LATE THURS INTO FRI WITH DRYLINE DRAGGING CLOSE AGAIN BY THIS TIME AND YET ANOTHER SHOT...AS DEEP MID LVL TROUGH DIGS OVER THE ID/NV/CA. IT IS MAY...SO STAY TUNED.
05

From Grand Rapids, MI NWS:
THIS THE MOST UNFAVORABLE TIME OF DAY FOR TORNADOES AND CLIMATOLOGICALLY SPEAKING NIGHTTIME TORNADOES IN MI ARE EXTREMELY RARE.
LAURENS

From Sacramento, CA NWS:
MODELS ARE NATURALLY PROGRAMMED TO DRY THINGS OUT THIS TIME OF YEAR SO IT MAY BE A STRUGGLE BETWEEN INITIAL CONDITIONS AND CLIMATOLOGY. SAC NEEDS ANOTHER FOUR INCHES TO REACH "NORMAL" RAINFALL FOR THE WATER YEAR...

From State College, PA NWS:
INITIAL THOUGHTS ARE THAT THE ABSCENCE OF ACTIVITY OVER MOST OF OH YESTDY WILL BE A HARBINGER OF WHAT MAY HAPPEN OV OUR CWA TODAY. NOT ONLY ARE WE IN THE DYNAMICALLY POOR REGION OF THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION...BUT WE HAVE THE ADDED "BENEFIT" OF BEING COLD AIR DAMMED...THIS SW/WRLY FLOW ALOFT CERTAINLY IS A PATTERN THAT WL KEEP US FROM THINKING ABOUT DROUGHT FOR A FOURTH OR FIFTH STRAIGHT YEAR - AT LEAST FOR A LITTLE WHILE.
DANGELO

From Charleston, SC NWS:
UNTAPPED POTENTIAL CONTINUES ACROSS THE CWA. THIS HAS BEEN THE STORY OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...WITH LACK OF SIGNIFICANT TRIGGER KEEPING CONVECTION AT A MINIMUM...S/W TROFS...AMPLE MOISTURE...SW UPPER JET...AND NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES HAVE ALL LED TO THIS LONG WEATHER EVENT.
PY/JH

From Mobile, AL NWS:
MORNING RAOB FOR NEW ORLEANS INDICATED A LOADED GUN APPEARANCE AND THE VERDICT HERE WAS THAT WITH ANY KIND OF VERTICAL MOTION THINGS COULD LIGHT UP IN A HURRY. THE MODELS WERE MIXED ON THAT IMPETUS EARLY ON IN THE FORECAST...WE WERE WRINGING HANDS FOR A FEW HOURS BUT IN SPITE OF THE INSOLATION...THINGS NEVER DID QUITE COOK OFF.
77

From Shreveport, LA NWS:
WELL...NEW DAY NEW WATCH...FORTUNATELY IT SEEMS TONIGHT IS THE LAST BIG STAND OF THREATENING WEATHER.
17

From Wichita, KS NWS:
TO SAY THE WX PTRN IS ACTIVE MAY BE AN UNDERSTATEMENT.
13/DARMOFAL

From Norman, OK NWS:
...POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES ACROSS THE CENTRAL THIRD OF OKLAHOMA DURING THE NEXT 3-9 HOURS...
MILLER

From Wichita, KS NWS:
BY 06Z FRI, MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHUD BE EXITING THE AREA AND MOVING INTO WESTERN MO, WHO NEEDLESS TO SAY DOEN'T NEED ANY MORE SVR WX.
KETCHAM

From Omaha, NE NWS:
TEMPS WERE IN THE LOWER 90S WEST OF THE DRYLINE AND DEWPOINTS WERE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE...WOW.
MILLER

From Glasgow, MT NWS:
TILT-A-WHIRL UPPER PATTER WITH MASSIVE UPPER LOW/TROF OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA AND INBEDDED LOWS CIRCULATING AROUND IT.
CB

From Blacksburg, VA NWS:
FINALLY A LITTLE SUN. AFTER DAYS OF DEBRIS CLOUD WE GET TO PARTAKE IN SOME INSOLATION.
11

From Austin/San Antonio, TX NWS:
WEAK SYSTEMS BOTHER ME WITH THE FRONT HANGING AROUND THE AREA MEMORIAL DAY. WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY JET OF 40 TO 50 KTS EXPECTED...THESE WEAK IMPULSES MOVING ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE COULD DEVELOP HEAVY RAINS IN LOCALIZED AREAS. I'LL NOT MENTION HEAVY RAINS ON MEMORIAL DAY NOW...BUT THIS BEARS WATCH.
02/09

From Huntsville, AL NWS:
WITH NWLY FLOW ALOFT...I CAN'T GIVE IT THE "NOT GOING TO RAIN" STAMP...BUT POPS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
JE/23

From Wakefield, VA NWS:
A LOOK BACK AT PAST MEMORIAL DAY WEEKENDS SINCE THE MID 1990S SHOWS THE LAST WK OF MAY CAN BE QUITE COOL AND RAINY...WTH MOST YEARS SHOWING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL DURING THE LAST WEEK OF MAY. COINCIDENCE? PROBABLY...SINCE THERE WERE A COUPLE OF YEARS WHEN THE TEMPERATURES WERE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL AND RELATIVELY LTL RAIN. MIGHT BE WORTH RESEARCHING...DURING LESS BUSY TIMES.
NS

From Albany, NY NWS:
THE LATEST RUNS OF THE NUMERICAL FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE END OF THE MEMORIAL HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL BE AN UGLY ONE. IT LOOKS LIKE A TOTAL WASHOUT IN MOST, IF NOT ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA.
HEMMERICH

From Riverton, WY NWS:
THETA-E/CAPE TO BE CONCENTRATED ALONG AND EAST OF TROUGH AXIS WITH DRIER MORE STABLE WESTERLY FLOW/DEWPOINTS LOWERING INTO THE 30S TO THE WEST. STEPPING AWAY FROM COMPUTER SCREENS WITH A 1:SEVERAL MILLION SCALE REPRESENTATION...CELESTIAL DOME VIEW SHOWS SOME METHOD TO THIS MADNESS WITH WELL-DEFINED TCU/CB TO THE NORTH AND EAST...CONVECTION BEING ENTRAINED AND LESS ORGANIZED TO THE SOUTH AND WEST.
C.BAKER

From State College, PA NWS:
MORE OF THE (EXACT?) SAME TMRW...AND TMRW..AND TMRW...HEAVY RAIN ONLY IN PATCHY SPOTS TONIGHT...BUT GOT A FEW REPORTS OF NUISANCE FLOODING (BIG PUDDLES)...THE LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL...OR IS THAT THE SUN...COULD ARRIVE BY DAY 7 AS THE LONGER RANGE MODELS BEGINNING TO INDICATE THE TRACK OF UPPER LOWS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHWARD AND FINALLY ALLOW US TO START THE SUMMER.
DANGELO/RXR

From Mt. Holly, NJ NWS:
THERE MAY BE A BREAK AFTER THE SUN FROPA...IF THIS PARTICULAR CUTOFF STAYS FAR ENOUGH TO OUR W AND THEN N PER THE MRF...BUT MY GUT FEELING IS THAT THE OPTIMISTIC FORECAST FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK IS JUST THAT...BY THE WAY...THE OLD JOKE AS APPLIED TO THIS WEATHER PATTERN WOULD BE...IT MAKES ME VERY HAPPY TO SAY THAT WE ARE FINALLY GOING TO SEE SOME SUNNY LATE SPRING WEATHER. IT'S NOT TRUE...BUT IT MAKES ME VERY HAPPY TO SAY IT.
45

From Miami, FL NWS:
IF I CAN JUST MAKE IT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, FORECAST MIGHT NOT BE TOO DIFFICULT.

From Phoenix, AZ NWS:
WE ALREADY SAW SOME MOISTURE INCREASE TUESDAY ON THE FLAGSTAFF AND TUCSON SOUNDINGS ...WITH A LITTLE MORE HIGH BASED CONVECTION NOTED OVER EAST CENTRAL AZ TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE 54 MPH DOWNBURST WIND AT SAFFORD AZ WAS A REMINDER OF HOW STRONG THESE EARLY SEASON HIGH BASED STORMS CAN BECOME.
VASQUEZ

From Lake Charles, LA NWS:
PLACES AROUND THE BEAUMONT AREA UNFORTUNATELY MISSED OUT ON THE RAINS FROM YESTERDAY. THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS REGIONAL AIRPORT RECORDED JUST A TRACE OF RAINFALL. IF THE CURRENT DRY FORECAST HOLDS THROUGH SATURDAY...THE BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR AREA WILL HAVE THE DRIEST MAY ON RECORD WITH JUST 0.01 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
07-RUA/MCNATT

From Newport/Morehead City, NC NWS:
A TALE OF 2 SHORT WAVES AND THEIR ASSOCIATED COLD FRONTS TO COME AND GO IN RAPID FIRE ORDER OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
COLLINS/CHIELLINI

From State College, PA NWS:
DEPRESSINGLY BORING PATTERN CONTINUES OVER THE NE WITH DRAB OCCASIONALLY SHOWERY CONDITIONS WHICH DOMINATE THE WORDING RIGHT INTO SUNDAY...IT GOES DOWNHILL ONCE AGAIN COURTESY OF THE SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ASHORE IN THE PACIFIC NW. MREF THEN GOES ON TO SHOW BELOW NORMAL HGHTS OVER ERN US THRU AT LEAST DAY 6...SIGH. THE ONLY POSSIBLE LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL IS THE HINT OF A BERMUDA RIDGE BEING MADE IN THE OPERATIONAL MRF AS WELL AT THE MREF GUIDANCE.
LA CORTE

From Albany, NY NWS:
THE SCENARIO LOOKS WINTRY...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE GFS IS INDICATING H850 TEMPS TO DROP BELOW 0C BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY! 1000-850 THICKNESSES DROP TO 1320. THE SCARIEST PART IS WE ARE ABOUT TO START JUNE BY SUNDAY.

From Goodland, KS NWS:
THE HEAT MACHINE IS ROARING INTO ACTION.
RJC

From State College, PA NWS:
LONGER RANGE...SIGNIFICANT TROUGHING ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL HAVE THE DOWNSTREAM EFFECT OF PUMPING HEIGHTS HERE ABOVE NORMAL FOR NEXT WEEKEND. COULD WE FINALLY SEE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND A RAINFREE WEEKEND? ABOUT THE ONLY QUESTION FOR US WOULD BE THE OCCURRENCE AND PROXIMITY OF ANY "BACK DOOR" COOL FRONT.
LAMBERT

From Albany, NY NWS:
STUBBORN CLOUDS HUNG ON ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CWA WHILE NORTHWEST PORTIONS HAD PARTIAL SUNSHINE. I SHOULD HAVE LEARNED THAT GIVEN THE PATTERN OF THE PAST MONTH OR TWO...BE PESSIMISTIC. AT LEAST NO RAIN TODAY.

From Albuquerque, NM NWS:
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGE QUITE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTH UP THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DEWPOINT STILL IN THE MID 40S IN ABQ AS OF 100 PM. WILL KEEP CHC OF TSTMS IN RGV TONIGHT. IN FACT IT MAY VERY WELL BE LATE TONIGHT BEFORE RESIDENTS OF ABQ HEAR A CLAP OF THUNDER.
JWS

From Las Vegas, NV NWS:
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING MUCH STRONGER UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTH INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. PATTERN WILL KEEP A DRY SOUTHWEST OR WEST FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. IN FACT...GFS GUIDANCE SHOWS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE LAST DATE THAT LAS VEGAS EXPERIENCED A HIGH TEMPERATURE THAT WAS NORMAL WAS MAY 19.
SALMEN/PIERCE

From Austin/San Antonio, TX NWS:
NO MAJOR UPPER LEVEL FORCING MECHANISMS TO DEAL WITH TONIGHT AND NO ORGANIZED ACTIVITY. ONLY A LONE STORM WHICH ROUTINELY FORMS (WE CALL IT "OLD FAITHFUL") NEAR THE HIGHEST PEAK OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS ABOUT 65 MILES WEST OF DEL RIO...MOVING LITTLE AND WEAKENING. WILL NOT MAKE IT INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.

From San Angelo, TX NWS:
.CURRENT...ATMOSPHERE RELOADED. CLOUD FREE SKIES HAVE ALLOWED FOR MAXIMUM SOLAR HEATING...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS COMPACT SHORTWAVE OVER THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...WHERE HIGH TERRAIN CONVECTION UNDERWAY. LOOKS LIKE TURKEY TOWERS OVER THE DAVIS MTS ARE READY TO BLOSSOM...IN VICINITY OF LOW PRESSURE SURFACE TROUGH.
27/BRAZZELL/17

From Memphis, TN NWS:
TEMPS HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 80S WITH A FEW 90 DEGREE READINGS AROUND THE FA. THE FIRST OFFICIAL 90 DEGREE DAY AT MEM FOR THE SUMMER.

From Upton, NY NWS:
IT LOOKS LIKE THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SINK FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE REGION TO ALLOW HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH TO BUILD IN FROM CANADA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND THE START OF NEXT WEEK. YES...THIS MEANS WE MAY ACTUALLY GET A LOOK AT THE SUN THIS COMING WEEKEND.
JK

From San Angelo, TX NWS:
...CLAUDETTE STILL A PLAYER...OF NOTE...THESE TROPICAL SYSTEMS TEND TO BREATH OUT (EXPAND) BY DAY...THEN BREATH IN (CONTRACT) BY NIGHT...SO POPS MAY NEED TO ADJUSTED.
17

From El Paso, TX NWS:
THE MODELS ARE TRYING TO FIGURE OUT WHAT TO DO WITH THE REMNANTS OF CLAUDETTE. THE AVN SCORES A DIRECT BULL'S EYE ON EL PASO ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE THE CANADIAN MODELS HAS IT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH AND THE ETA MODEL KEEPS ALL THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH OF US. RIGHT NOW I'LL GO WITH THE CANADIAN MODEL AND REEVALUATE TOMORROW.
15 BRICE

From New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA NWS:
NOW IS THE TIME TO REAP THE BENEFITS OF CLAUDETTE...NOW A MINIMAL HURRICANE THREATENING THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST. PERIPHERAL SUBSIDENCE AND A GENERAL MOISURE FLUX DIVERGENCE PATTERN IN THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD ALLOW FOR A LOW PROBABILITY DAY AND RELATIVELY COOLER NIGHT TONIGHT.
24

From Glasgow, MT NWS:
TILT-A-WHIRL UPPER PATTER WITH MASSIVE UPPER LOW/TROF OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA AND INBEDDED LOWS CIRCULATING AROUND IT.
CB

From Blacksburg, VA NWS:
FINALLY A LITTLE SUN. AFTER DAYS OF DEBRIS CLOUD WE GET TO PARTAKE IN SOME INSOLATION.
11

From Greenville/Spartanburg, SC NWS:
WL HAVE RATHER LOW POPS TUE NGHT AND WED. THE GFS DOES DEVELOP DEEP ELY FLOW...W/GOOD UPSLOPE BECOMING ESTABLISHED INTO THE MTNS WED. TALKED THIS OVER W/HPC...AND THEY FEEL THAT THE UPGLIDE AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER LOW MAY RESULT IN A SECONDARY QPF MAXIMA ALONG THE ESCARPMENT ON WED. THEY DON/T...HOWEVER...BUY THE ETA W/ITS LARGE AREA OF OVER 1 INCH. I STILL THINK THEIR QPF IS A BIT OVER DONE...BUT I LIKE THE REASONING.
MCAVOY

From Corpus Christi, TX NWS:
GFS/MRF HAS BEEN FICKLE WITH ADVERTISING FRONTS THIS YEAR...GOING FOR IT ON ONE MODEL RUN THEN RENEGING ON IT 24 HOURS LATER.
86/GW

From Denver, CO NWS:
AUTUMN WEATHER DOLDRUMS WILL CONTINUE WITH NO SIGN OF PRECIPITATION AT LEAST THROUGH TONIGHT.
BAKER

From Chicago, IL NWS:
A GOLD STAR TO MOTHER NATURE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE OLD "INDIAN SUMMER" PATTERN TAKES HOLD AFTER OUR RECENT FROSTY NIGHTS.
AF

From Binghamton, NY NWS:
I FEEL IT MAKES SENSE TO STAY ON THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE WITH THE MAXES. LATEST MAVMOS IS FORECASTING LOWER 70S...WHILE FWC AND ETA GUIDANCE IS STARTING TO PUSH UPPER 70S. SO WHO IS RIGHT? THE BOTTOM LINE FOR ME IS YOU HAVE TO TRAVEL PRETTY DARN FAR SOUTH TO FIND OBSERVED MAXES IN THE MIDDLE 70S FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON.
PADAVONA