A
brief timeline:
2005AD
- 2105AD
Asia
and the Pacific, 2005: a brave new century –the Pacific War
The
Pacific War, which began in June 2, 2005, with a missile attack against Malayan
naval forces near Singapore by Indonesian Navy units, was the natural outcome
of the growing tension between a Japan eager
to keep its pre-eminent position in South
East Asia and a United States
jealous of that position, although its most immediate cause was the
Thai-Indonesian alliance to press their territorial claims against Malaysia. The
war rapidly escalated, with United States Navy, Royal Navy and Imperial Japanese Navy units first engaged
in combat in Southeast Asia, and
latter in the vast expanses of the Pacific
Ocean. Fortunately the war was brief -just
seven weeks- but it changed the geopolitical landscape of Asia and
the Pacific forever.
Even
when there were ground combats, mainly in Borneo and New Guinea, the seven-week
war was mainly a naval war: the IJN main surface units were destroyed, and the
only thing that prevented the U.S. to conquer the entire central Pacific was
the tremendous resistance of the IJNI and the IJAD, and the successful use for the first
time of EMP weapons by the IJAA, which resulted in tremendous losses in
life and material suffered by the U.S. forces, especially when the USN Ticonderoga
and USN Guam nuclear carriers were sunk during the bloody conquest of
the Marshall islands. At the end of the seven weeks conflict, the great navies
of both powers were crippled, and an exhaustion peace followed.
According
with the terms of the Paris Peace Treaty, Japan
acceded to cede the Marshall
Islands to
the United States in
exchange of Guam; Britain ceded
control of Singapore and
the Nicobar and Andaman islands to Japan, and
ceded the Crown Colony of Brunei to Indonesia. Malaysia ceded
its territories in Borneo to Indonesia, and
the northern districts of the Malayan peninsula to Thailand. The Philippines were
forced to renounce to its military alliance with the U.S. and
to include an article of “perpetual neutrality” in its Constitution. Due to
Indonesian pressures, Australia
accepted to dismantle all U.S. military
facilities in its territory and also was forced to renounce to any military
alliance outside Oceania. This
condition imposed onto the Australians would have tremendous repercussions in
the near future.
East
Asia, 2008: A false “Asian Dawn”
–the Concert of Asia.
The Pacific War was the catalyst for the
formation of the ‘Concert of Asia’, a coercive
diplomatic-security institution in which Japan and China, and later other
countries managed the East Asian order in a manner consistent with their
perceived interests in upholding the internal stability and territorial
integrity of the regional state system.
The disappearance of the disruptive
influence of the U.S. in the region, after the
victory over its regional allies (Malaysia and the Philippines) created a propitious
atmosphere for the organization of such institution. The first councils of
Asian diplomats were celebrated in Osaka and Shanghai between 2006 and 2008, but in
that year was decided that the city-state of Singapore (still occupied by Japanese
troops) was the ideal place to maintain a permanent Assembly, the East Asian
Cooperation Organization (EACO), akin to that of the League of Nations. After the inaugural
assembly, the main concern of the Concert was the liquidation of the
territorial disputes in the South China Sea and the future of rump Malaysia.
One of the causes of discord between the
regional powers was the claims over the South China Sea, due to the superposition of
competing territorial reivindication borders and maritime reinvindication
borders in the area, especially around the Spratley islands. After lengthy
deliberations, the EACO decided to grant the Paracel Islands to China, while Vietnam kept for itself the Dai Hung
and Thanh Long islands with the rest of the South China Sea; while the Spratley Islands were divided between Indonesia (who gained the lion’s share)
and the Philippines.
The deliberation regarding the fate of Malaysia was more complicated: Indonesia claimed the country (reduced
to the southern tip of the Malayan peninsula) while China and Vietnam wanted to neutralize the
country, fearing an Indonesian-Japanese alliance controlling the strategic Malacca Strait. At the end it was decided to
hold a referendum in 2018, allowing the Malayan population to decide their
future. Until then, the EACO will keep a multinational force in Malaysia, to secure order.
The Concert of Asia, embodied in the EACO,
proved to be an effective system, able to contain rivalry, maintain order, and
preserve the peace, which lasted for the next 30 years, at least among the
member nations. However, nobody in 2008 was able to foresee the fading of China’s power and the Indonesian
ascension to a position where it felt strong enough to try to dictate the
Asiatic agenda for the rest of twenty-first century.
Europe
and Asia, 2010: Warfare and famine –the end of the Soviet
Union.
The long decomposition of the Soviet Union finally came to an end in
January 2010, when food riots in Moscow and other cities in European
Russia signalled the end of the Soviet state, and the beginning of the chaotic
years of the Second Civil War. After two years of combats, the Soviet
leadership and the remaining Red Army forces found refuge in loyal Siberia, where many years before they
had concealed most of the Soviet nuclear arsenal.
However, the chaos which engulfed the rest
of the USSR in the following years made heinously common the news about
atrocities committed by the innumerable factions fighting for supremacy in the
dying carcase of the USSR: one of the best known examples is the mass extermination of the entire Tatar people by
ethnic Russian forces using bio-chemical weaponry (this would prove to be only
the first of several near-genocides of ethnic minorities within the former
Soviet Union); but the
most dramatic example of the genocidal nature of the Second Civil War was the
use of a 35 kt nuclear weapon against the city of Belomorsk (in the White Sea
coast) by the Arkhangelsk warlord.
The destruction of Belomorsk finally
impelled the European Security Accord (ESA) to take some
action: the timid deployment of Polish, Lithuanian, Romanian and Bulgarian
forces along the former Soviet border was followed -after Belomorks- by the
full occupation of vast swathes of land in Ukraine, Belarus and Leningrad by ESA forces. However, the
ESA wasn’t the only power intervening in the former USSR: Chinese forces entered the
Uighur SSR and were preparing an offensive into the Kazakh SSR when a Siberian
Army stopped them near the Ulungur River. Turkish forces entered the Caucasus, where they erected a puppet
confederation (the Trans-Caucasian Federated Republics), while Imperial Iranian
forces occupied the Uzbek SSR. Even Finnish and Norwegian troops, acting under
the authority of the Nordic Council, created their own petty
Soviet successor states in the Kola Peninsula and Karelia and around Leningrad as buffers against the chaos
in the rest of European Russia.
The Second Civil War, enormously complicated and exacerbated by the
intervention of foreign powers, created havoc in a Soviet Union already suffering greatly from the instability of the fifteen years
between the First and Second Civil Wars. Transportation and communication,
except for the necessities of the competing factions, altogether ceased. The
military actions, the uprooting of people, the destruction of livestock, the
destruction of the industrial base, the necessary consumption of seed reserves,
and then the great devastation brought by the use of NBC weapons; all
practically destroyed the Soviet society. In the famine of 2013 alone,
estimates are that some seven million people perished. Most authorities place
the total loss of Soviet life for the years 2010 to 2014, the period of civil
war, foreign intervention, disease and famine at 34 million.
Northeast Asia, 2012: A new morning calm –the
Korean Revolution.
Even when Korean enjoyed the benefits from
a growing industrial base and its integration into the Soviet economic sphere,
since the 1990s the net economic growth of Korean stagnated due to the long
agony of the USSR, the terrible industrial and agricultural policies followed
by Seoul, whose conservatism and territorial revanchism isolated the country
from their wealthy neighbours, and finally, the “defection” of Manzhouguo to
the ‘capitalist camp’ with the consequent extinction of the erstwhile economic
solidarity with Korea, were forced that strained to the limit the shaky legitimacy
of the Communist government, and in May 1, 2012, Kim Jong Il was deposed, and
in his place a military Junta took control of the country.
As the world's only remaining centrally
planned Communist economy without an injection of market economy principles,
the future of the troubled Korean People’s Republic looked bleak. After
vigorous debate within the Junta, they agreed to look after more economic
integration into the world’s economy. Even when during its first decade in
power the Junta wasn’t trusted by the regional powers, the ongoing economic
integration seemed to solve problems for both Korea and its neighbours, especially
Japan.
Korea needed an economic lifeline
to replace the one the USSR no longer provided and Manchuria was no longer willing to
provide. Without such a lifeline, starvation among the populace and industrial
stagnation could threaten the existence of the new Korean elite, no matter how
much support could muster from the military. Japan committed the sin of allowing
unions to raise wages above what they should be given Japanese competitiveness
and productivity, with a resulting sudden decline in growth rates.
Hammered by cheap Chinese and Southeast
Asian wages, Japan exporters like Hitachi and Fujitsu had built
factories in Korea by 2015, where they found
cheap, docile Korean labour. The economic, political and social problems of Korea were huge, given the
disparities in population, technology, income and productivity with its neighbours,
but its economic integration triggered an immense amount of foreign investment.
Slowly but surely, Korea was being carried from the
1960s into the XXI century and linked to the world.
Europe, 2016: The end of an era –the
dissolution of the ESA.
Since the long gone days of the
Soviet-German War, Europe was divided in two competing military
blocs: the Europäische Sicherheit Abkommen (ESA), lead by Germany; and the Franco-Soviet
alliance. Other European powers kept themselves outside the alliance system
(like Britain) while some other leaned
towards the two great blocs.
But the end of the Soviet Union had enormous consequences in
the constitution of these military alliances: first France saw itself without its most
powerful ally, and started a frantic search for allies, mainly in the Mediterranean. But its fears were
unfounded: first Poland, then Lithuania, considering that their
alliance with Germany was no longer one of their
priorities (after all, the treat to Polish and Lithuanian independence posed by
the Soviet
Union
had disappeared), announced their intention to abandon the ESA. The clumsy and
futile German manoeuvres to keep these countries within the alliance only
generated more resentment in Warsaw and Vilnius, who mustered the support of
the other Eastern European ESA members, and by August 2016, the ESA was
disbanded in a modest ceremony in Berlin. Suddenly, the old, powerful,
monolithic ESA was no more.
The disbandment of the ESA didn’t mean the
end of German power: Germany was still the more powerful European country, with
the biggest and more modern Army and Air Force, but the lost of its direct
influence over much of Europe generated a confidence crisis: the German
government fell and the new government lead the country into an isolationist
stance.
The death of the USSR and the dissolution of the
ESA generated a Europe-wide ‘domino effect’: in effect, the still junior
partners of Germany and France look for a more independent
policy, generating an atmosphere of uncertainty that culminated, fifteen years
later, in the rise of the UEO.
Southern Asia, 2018: Dead of the giants –the Sino-Indian War.
The conflict between China and India can be traced to a
series of mutual provocations beginning in 1970 after the Sino-Tibetan war:
China occupied and annexed the Tibetan province of Kham, and since then, China
and India (who negotiated with Lhasa an Indian protectorate over Tibet) had saw
a increasing tension in bilateral relations.
An India
increasingly aggressive and nationalistic as a reaction to domestic pressures;
a period of remarkable sustained economic growth in China that understandably,
if unhappily, had India more than a little insecure in its security policy in
the Sino-Tibetan border; the anxieties raised by the power-vacuum generated
after the implosion of the USSR; the cultural-ideological clashes fuelled by
chauvinistic ideologues; the promotion in public perception of their military
power, far ahead of military reality in both nations; and finally the Chinese
visions of national greatness; turned a simple diplomatic dispute regarding the
construction of a bridge crossing the Salween river into a international crisis
of first order.
From patrol clashes in Muztag Mountain in northern Tibet, to brigade-sized battles in
the Lancang/Mekong River border in north-eastern Myanmar, to coercive missile
diplomacy over and into the Tibetan international borders, tensions raised,
reaching a maximus in August 4, 2018, when India declared war after China
violated Myanmar’s “neutrality”. Offers of
mediation by the League of Nations and the EACO were rejected
by both sides, who had already mobilized more than a million troops along the
Sino-Tibetan and Sino-Myanmarese borders. India, the official aggressor,
talked about a limited "bloody nose" air campaign, with “surgical
strikes” intended to shut Chinese bases in Sichuan and Yunnan, but the hostilities
escalated rapidly: opposing forces exchange heavy fire along the border from
southern Uighuristan to Thailand. Both sides mobilized
reserves, and launched air and missile attacks on one another's forward air
bases and supply depots.
At 0540hrs of October 14, Chinese air defence radars
reported a wave of Indian missiles heading for China's main nuclear complex
near Yichang (Hubei province), and main air and
missile bases in Yunnan and western Guangxi. The
Chinese president ordered an immediate nuclear riposte. From there, nuclear
escalation of the conflict continued until most major cities in northern India and central China were
incinerated. By November 1, when both governments declared an armistice, the
death toll had reached the 340 million mark and was steadily growing; and both
nations saw themselves under a vast cloud of deadly radioactive dust.
India didn’t survive the war: two
months after the strategic nuclear exchange the government disappeared and the
subcontinent was engulfed by chaos; and its satellites (Myanmar and Baluchistan) knew the same calamities. China, with its huge and prosperous
coastal cities intact (thanks to the short range of the Indian missiles)
continued as a united nation nine more years.
Europe, 2023: The Future of Warfare
–the North Sea War.
Germany’s period of self-imposed isolation
ended quickly: a new nationalistic government, elected by a people used to
global influence and scared by the Fatherland’s “siege” by non-friendly neighbours
(France, Poland) and restive and unreliable allies (Slovakia, Hungary), sought
relief in an aggressive and exceedingly dynamic foreign policy, which included
the pressing of territorial claims in the Baltic and North Seas, specially
against Denmark, Norway, and Britain, accused by Germany of “seeking the elimination
of Germany’s security space”; after these three countries seek to diminish,
mainly through diplomatic means, the German military presence in the
aforementioned waters.
Berlin interpreted such measures as
a menace to its economic security, because much of Germany’s prosperity rested upon the
military security of the sea lanes to and from the rest of the world.
Notwithstanding the scale of its domestic market, Germany’s substantially
geostrategically continental character made it extremely vulnerable to pressure
on its maritime trade routes and more at risk to hostile maritime action.
At the same time that the crisis in Europe
growth, Germany sought to find “breathing space” in other continents: the Boer
Republic and Argentina became close German allies: the Boers due to its own preoccupations
regarding its isolation in the southern tip of Africa, and Buenos Aires sought
a powerful ally against the British, who still occupied the Malvinas islands.
British misinterpretations of the
essential ambiguity of German behaviour and defence efforts, generated by the
struggle among competing factions in the German government; and a widespread
and understandable Scandinavian reluctance to believe, if not the worst, at
least bad things about Germany as an aggressive neighbouring power lead to “Entfernt
Donner”: the German invasion of Denmark and Southern Norway, while
simultaneously the Hochseeflotte executed a naval offensive against British
civilian and military facilities in the North Sea.
The Northern Sea War signalled the
beginning of a new style of warfare: unlike the wars of the previous century or
even the Sino-Indian War, the combatants used high-tech high-cost hardware that
reduced the war to an intense but short conflict: four weeks after the beginnings
of hostilities, the Germans ceased entirely their offensive operations.
Among the most remarkable features of the
war was the apparition of the first troops wearing Kraftrüstung (power armour),
used by the German Special Forces in operations against Norwegian and British
naval bases. Even when the power armour proved itself more a nuisance that an
advantage at the time, future avatars of the Kraftrüstung designed for small
elite elements among the armed forces of the wealthy nations became virtual
mechanical exoskeletons which increased the speed, strength, and endurance of
soldiers in combat environments.
The second revolution in military affairs
was the apparition of crude but effective AI-guided anti-air laser artillery
(AIGAALA), best known as Feuerfuchs. The Feuerfuchs was able to clean
the battlefield skies of British Warspite fighter-bombers and Norwegian Viggen
attack aircraft. This technology was also copied by other powers, and by 2035
the military aviation was rendered useless by this intelligent lighspeed
weapons: the air forces of the world were reduced to reconnaissance and
trasnport drones, and the future battlefields were again an exclusive affairs
of the armies and navies.
The last innovation was the apparition of
the Orca supercavitating torpedoes. These extremely fast devices, resembling
more a missile than a torpedo, were the perdition of the Hochseeflotte.
Unfortunately, its numbers and its reliability were not the adequate, and the
Hochseeflotte was able to occupy the Oslofjorden, while the Argentine Navy,
with some German submarine help, was able to invade the Malvinas. But the
political fallout after the German failure to force Norway and Britain to recognize their “security
space”, the crushing trade embargos enacted by most European countries, and
internal opposition to an increasingly authoritarian government were too much
for Germany: a year after their defeat, the
German started to fight among themselves in the German Civil War.
South America, 2023: Guerrillas, paras and
warlords –The fall of Colombia.
When in the 1940s a Marxist guerrilla
movement started a rebellion against Bogotá, Colombia started its long road to
decomposition and warlordism. Adding to the horrors of civil war, the drug
trafficking bands, at first mere common criminals, grow in strength to become
real threats to Colombia’s national security: the “drug lords” were able to
recruit vast armies of street thugs, former Marxist guerrillas, ‘sicarios’
(hitmen) and terrorists, trained by Chinese and Indian mercenaries; and they
didn’t hesitate to use them: judges, policemen, soldiers, politicians and rival
gang leaders were their main victims.
The chaos –until then contained to rural
guerrilla and urban terrorism- was aggravated by the counterproductive policies
followed by the U.S., which declared “war on drugs” as early as the 1970s, and
conducted their own negotiations and even armed actions against the “drug
lords”, frequently without the consent or even the knowledge of the Colombian
government. The bitter fruit of these intervention were the ‘paramilitares’:
private armies raised and financed by U.S.-backed Colombian landlords and U.S.
and British companies, usually trained by ex-members of the USMC or the Royal
Marines turned mercenaries. Originally the ‘paras’ fought against the
Marxist-Leninist and Mariateguist guerrillas, but later fought against the
Colombian government when it tried to slow down the proliferation of the
‘paras’ armed bands.
The “straw that broke the camel’s back”
was the U.S. sanctioned intervention of
Ecuadorian troops in southeast Colombia in 2022, in order to stop
guerrilla activity in the border zones. This “police action” was rightfully
interpreted by Bogotá as an illegal invasion of Colombian territory, and
declared war on Ecuador. But the beleaguered
Colombian Army was unable to evict the Ecuadorian forces -numerically inferior,
but armed with up to date U.S. weapons and counting with U.S. intelligence and air support.
The defeat of the Colombian I Army Group
in the outskirts of the city of Pasto at the hands of one Ecuadorian division
represented the lost of the remaining legitimacy of the Colombian central
government: Brazilian and Venezuelan troops moved to avoid the spilling of
armed conflict into their respective territories, and the guerrillas, paras and
the shattered remnants of the Colombian Army moved to occupy cities and towns,
and imposed “law and order” accordingly to their own ideologies and interests.
Since then, quarrelling warlords dominates
the corpse of Colombia. Oddly enough, the
balkanization of Colombia didn’t mean the paralization of economical
activities: on the contrary, Colombia is today one of the focus of foreign investment,
specially by pharmaceutical companies which erect laboratories in the coastal
cities, specially in the coastal cities of Barranquilla, Cartagena and
Buenaventura, where they can conduct experiments that would be illegal anywhere
else. Colombia is also the field where the
main South American powers fight through their proxies: Barranquilla and Cartagena are supported by Brazil, while Buenaventura is under Argentinean
protection.
Oceania, 2025: The Franco-Australian
War.
After the Australian “defeat”
in the Pacific War (2005), Canberra sought to former closer ties with its neighbours: New Zealand and Papua New Guinea acceded to federation with Australia in 2017. Though independent in spirit, they realized
that they were too weak to go by themselves, and the South Pacific Coalition
was created.
To even out the power base
between the economically stronger and more populous Australia and the weaker New Zealand and Papuan sides, Auckland became the new nation's capital. The SPC maintained
the democratic system of its component nations, but reorganized itself as a
Republic superimposed over the national and local authorities, with an elected
President and a 150 members legislature. The exploitation of its vast oceanic
resources brought immense prosperity for the SPC nations, which per capita
incomes rapidly became the biggest in the world.
After its formation the SPC
sought to entice its independent neighbours to join the Coalition: early
successes with the former European colonies in Oceania (Nauru, Kiribati,
Vanuatu, the Solomon Islands, Niue, Samoa and Fidji) helped to cement and gain
credibility for the Coalition, and the only remaining powers in the area were
the U.S. and France, through their colonies in Samoa, and Polynesia and New
Caledonia respectively.
The SPC’s government system
was the perfect instrument to pool resources and start the development of the
oceanic resources in the vast oceanic territories of the Coalition, but in
order to defend such resources, it was necessary to strengthen the military
forces available to Auckland, and a military built-up followed, mainly through
purchased of British and Italian war materiel.
But when commercial disputed
with the French in the oceanic border were followed by the French President
announcement of France's intentions to renew “special weapon platforms” (HAARP)
testing at the Mururoa Atoll in French Polynesia, after the fears generated by
German actions in the North Sea War. The immediate uproar to the decision was
monumental. Protests organized by pressure groups sprung up at the French
embassy in Auckland. The SPC government issued firm warnings to the
French, threatening economic sanctions. A France determined to hold its ground refused to back away
from its decision to continue with the testing, and launch its first set of
HAARP experiments.
The experiments created a
series of strange weather patterns in the South Pacific, producing storms that
caused tremendous damages to several members of the SPC. Rescue raids conducted
by the SPC military clashed with French forces in the waters around the Cook Islands. Subsequent French reinforcement of its military forces in
the region is followed by a SCP deployment of its naval forces in the area. The
member nations of the SPC became terrified: they tried to use the League of Nations to try to defuse tensions with their French neighbours for
almost two years, but its political isolation made this increasingly
irrelevant. Support from the U.S. was meagre, due to its preoccupation with the political
evolution of Latinoamérica, and Britain was too busy dealing with the political fallout of
the Northern Sea War to be of any help. The SPC was forced to fend for itself.
Forced to do something
drastic, the SPC political leadership decided to act before the French became
too strong, and thus, on December 27, 2025, the Franco-Australia war begun, with a massive invasion of
the French Pacific colonies: Nouméa and Papeete fell rapidly, and the newly born SPC Navy submarine
fleet easily intercepted the extremely long French logistical lines. To the
chagrin of Paris, the French Navy was unable to accomplish the admittedly
impossible task to regain its Pacific colonies, and the war ended.
After the war, a coalition of
Australian and Papuan nationalist parties gained the Coalition election, with a
platform based in the idea of replacing the loose Coalition government for a
stronger, more assertive and more centralized federal system, and in 2029 a
narrowly won plebiscite confirmed the dissolution of the South Pacific
Coalition and its replacement with the United Island Confederation of
Macronesia, commonly known as the Macronesian Alliance.
Europe, 2031: “...une identité de défense
européenne...” –the UEO
The period of tense calm in central and Western Europe between 1943 and 2023 was
followed by renewing tension in Europe. A restless and paranoiac
Germany was barely defeated in the Northern Sea War, with its naval forces
shattered but with its grounds forces as strong as ever, and this ground forces
virtually destroyed the country in the German Civil War (2024-2028). Britain had retreated into a not much
splendid isolation after the war, Italy remained a neutral and
magnifically armed medium power, and France saw itself humiliated and
defeated by the upstart Macronesian Alliance.
The unstable nature of the post-civil war
German government, the uniformly bad relations between Spain and Morocco in one
side, and between Italy and the People’s Arab Republic in the other; and the
multilateral disputes over the Mediterranean waters lead to a series of
informal conferences that took place in Lisbon between ten countries in or near
the western European and Mediterranean area. The Foreign Ministers of Italy,
France, Spain, Portugal, Croatia, Luxembourg, Belgium, Morocco, Algeria and
Tunisia reunited with the idea to relaunch the dialogue which was begun with
the Declaration of Barcelona, 2025, in which vague agreements were made about
future common policies.
A second series of conferences was
celebrated in Paris, but this time only France, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg, Belgium and Portugal participated. A month after
the end of the conferences, the Treaty of Sant Yves confirmed the creation of
the West European Union, as an organization of intergovernmental cooperation in
common defence of their European and overseas territories in the northern
Atlantic, South America, Africa and the Indian Ocean.
The Pacific, 2035: Dragons
and Eagles at Sea –the Second Pacific War
The Second Pacific War was fought between an
assertive Macronesia and a reluctant Japan in one side, and an
increasingly paranoiac U.S. in the other, allied to the
Argentineans and the Peruvians. This was another example of the modern wars: a
brief and intense conflict with relatively low civilian casualties. The opposition
of the U.S. to Chile’s voluntary admission into
the Macronesian Alliance is the alleged cassus belli, although the
causes can be traced to the First Pacific War (2005), and the formation of the
Macronesian Alliance and its meteoric ascendance to Great Power status.
In Japan this conflict is known as Kaitei
Daisenso (the Great Undersea War), and it regarded elsewhere as a purely
naval war, fought primarily around the Marshall Islands, Hawai’i and the
Chilean coast; while the land theatres, as the conquest of the Marshall Islands
by the Imperial Japanese Naval Infantry, or the border wars fought between the
Chileans and the Argentineans and Peruvians are frequently overlooked.
The already ubiquitous Kraftrüstung exoskeletons
and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) with autonomous AIs in attack and air
superiority roles were of special importance in the battles for the Marshall
Islands and Pearl Harbour, but the decisive factor was the composition of the
fleets: while the Japanese and Macronesian navies were composed mainly by
submarines, the U.S. Navy -the biggest in the world- was still composed mostly
by surface vessels: enormous stealth carriers able to launch a large number of
UAVs to swarm their targets were the core of its battle groups: the fatal
mistake made by the U.S. Navy was to underestimate the importance of the
submarine fighters.
Even when the Abigor-class
sub-fighter carriers were the largest vessels in the world (before the arrival
of the IJN Ryuho-class),
their enormous costs and the fortune already invested in the surface carriers
made impossible to convert the U.S. Navy into an all-submarine force nor built Abigor-class
carriers in enough numbers. When the Abigor were destroyed by the MAN Athena-class
heavy cruisers and Wellesley-class carriers, the U.S. Navy was doomed.
The surface carriers weren’t unable to resist the combined attack of the MAN
and the IJN, and the fall of Oahu represented the defeat of the
U.S.
The war was also conducted in space: in
spite of international treaties, the U.S. maintained space-mounted
artillery (kinetic-kill) satellites that proved themselves unable to influence
naval actions: the satellites quickly ran out of ammunition and become useless,
and the most important assets -the sub-carriers- were impossible to find unless
they emerged, something that rarely happened. These kinetic-kill satellites
were instead used to attack the scarce surface assets used during the war.
More important were the anti-satellites
weapons deployed by both sides: powerful charged-particle beams and laser
cannons were used to destroy spy satellites as soon as these were put into
orbit. In order to escape from the U.S. anti-satellite cannons, the
IJN used High Altitude Vigilance Drones (HAVD), extremely light and small
unmanned aerial vehicles designed to fly to high altitude and support, and in
most cases replace, the satellites downed by the enemy.
Operations to clear the skies of all enemy
satellites continued until the end of the war: civilian orbital operations
became hazardous due to the large amount of orbital debris left by the war, and
several nations and corporations demanded Japan, the U.S. and Macronesia to clean the
LEO of junk to allow further orbital operations.
The victorious Japanese recovered the Marshall Islands, conquered by the U.S. in the First Pacific War, and
Chile was admitted into the
Macronesian Alliance. But this victory cost them dearly: most of the civilians
killed in the conflict were Japanese, while the Macronesian Alliance lost an excessive
number of vessels, and most important, its crews; and its economy suffered
under the heavy cost of the war. The defeat only increased the paranoia in Washington, which began a military build-up
while at the same time look for reassuring its alliance with Britain, in detriment of its
relations with the rest of Europe, an action that directly led
to the Atlantic Wars.
Asia, 2055: All under the Sky –The War
of Chinese Unification
The years between 2035 and 2055 are
known as “The Peaceful Years”. This doesn’t mean that there were no conflicts:
the volatile Muslim states in Central Asia and the weak states of Sub-Saharian
Africa knew their share of tensions, conflicts and obscure, undeclared war, but
none of these conflicts hit the frontpage of the Great Powers’ Minitels.
Everything started to change in 2049 when
the territory of certain Chinese warlord, Jiang Xiaxia, centred around the
ruined city of Chongqing in Sichuan province, was conquered and
annexed by the Republic of China. This marked the first time the territories of
the Chaodai Confederation and the Republic of China shared a land border and
the subsequent military clashes only worsened the already bad relations between
China, which claimed sovereignty over all China’s historic territory, and the
Indonesia-backed Chaodai. From this moment the only thing between Beijing and control over all China was the independent
city-states and petty agrarian republics in the former Fujian, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Hubei and Anhui provinces (which were mere
Taiwanese protectorates) and Chaodai.
These “splittists” -as Beijing named them- were too weak to
resist an invasion from the north and asked their traditional allies (Taiwan, Japan and Indonesia) for help. But even when Taiwan and Japan could arrange a common policy
against China, the Indonesians refused to
cooperate with the Japanese until their demands (cession of Mindanao to Indonesian control and the
neutralization of the rump Philippines) were satisfied. This was of
course unacceptable, and Indonesia limited to reaffirm its
alliance with the Chaodai Confederation.
After years of increasing tensions among
the Chinese states, assassinations of key politicians and military leaders,
economic warfare, and the apparition in the Taiwan’s mainland protectorates and
in Chaodai of the terrorist organization Kaili Dehua (“Triumphant
Strength of Virtuous China”), one of the more extreme groups founded by
Beijing: terrorist attacks against pro-independence parties and organizations
became common, sowing confusion and conflict in the targeted territories; while
at the same time the Kaili Dehua recruited people there who have never given up
the dream of a pan-Chinese nation.
In October
6, 2055,
Beijing announced the beginning of a
massive three-day exercise involving nearly all operational military bases in
the country, from Sichuan to the Yellow Sea coast. While simulated
Chinese Navy submarine mass attacks against Japan and Taiwan (including nuclear
strikes) took place, distracting the defence forces of these countries, the
Chinese Army started a large scale offensive due south the next day. Beijing
sent its special forces into many areas of the southern territories: many of
these units, composed by genetically enhanced soldiers, infiltrated far from
the front lines, arriving via boats, submarines and light planes; or introduced
to the Taiwanese protectorates weeks or even months before the offensive: these
special forces attacked the defenders’ command posts, communications centres,
and supply depots, destroying and damaging military equipment and creating
general chaos.
While the Special Forces were
launching their attacks, the Chinese Army’s vast armoured armies of AI tanks
opened up their own offensive. The armoured multi-pronged offensives were
targeted against the cities of Shanghai, Hangzhou, Wuhan, and Guiyang as primary targets. Masses of Chinese
tanks (and hovertrucks transporting the armoured infantry) poured across the
borders, overwhelming the very intricate defences built in the years before the
war. Anti-tank ditches, composite carbon walls and other barriers caused heavy
Chinese losses, but in the end the defenders were defeated through sheer weight
of numbers.
Taiwan, Chaodai and Indonesia declared war on China three days after the
invasion, but while Taiwanese and Chaodai forces rapidly reached the front, the
Indonesians were forced to recall theirs due to a sudden Macronesian invasion
of Irian Jaya. Japan found itself in a very awkward
situation: it was bonded by a mutual defence treaty with Taiwan (which had just declared war
against China, situation no contemplated in
the treaty) and at the same time it maintained a non-aggression treaty with
Macronesia, who was attacking the loathed Indonesians, turning the Macronesians
in de facto Chinese allies. Tokyo decided to send “security
forces” to Taiwan, the Philippines and Siberia, and declare their neutrality
in this affair, but also announced its determination to “maintain a strong
defensive force in the Chinese waters to protect itself and its allies from
foreign aggression.”
After three months of hellish combat, the
Chinese Army, seeing its main offensive in Hubei stopped at the Chiang Jiang
river valley (in spite of their formidable river crossing units), launched two
simultaneous offensives in order to divide the opposite forces and regain the initiative:
the first offensive included an armoured thrust from Sichuan towards Changsha
in Hunan, and the second was a daring amphibious attack against Fujian, seeking
to stop the flow of Taiwanese troops and materiel reaching the front. The
latter resulted in disaster: the Taiwanese Navy savaged their Chinese
counterparts while the latter tried to defend the troops transport vessels. The
few troops that reached the Fujianese coast were wiped out by the determined
Fujianese and Taiwanese coastal forces. But the Chinese defeat in Fujian was compensate by their
success in the offensive against Changsha, reached and occupied in
December, after an attack with old-fashioned chemical weapons.
The conquest of central Hunan was a devastating moral blow
for the Chaodai people and their Taiwanese allies. A Chinese offer to Chaodai
for “peaceful reunification” was immediately rejected, but the rejection was
followed by a series of pro-peace demonstrations, strikes and even a few poison
gas attacks, provoked and directed by the Kaili Dehua agents. Meanwhile, the
Macronesians effectively had blockaded Indonesia, and a ground war of
attrition in Irian Jaya kept both sides with their hands full.
In spite of Chaodai and Taiwanese temporal
naval superiority over China, the almost autarkic Chinese
industrial base didn’t suffer any shortage, and Beijing launched a definitive
offensive against Fujian in January 2056.
Technologically equal to the defenders and enjoying superior firepower, the
Chinese Army decimated Taiwanese and Chaodai ground units. In the end a combined
naval and ground offensive, which consumed the entire Chinese stock of unmanned
naval vehicles (UNV) and most of its navy, accomplished the destruction of a
large part of the Taiwanese Navy near Xiaomen, and the Chinese troops
transports reached the Fujianese coast, from where the Chinese marines advanced
towards Changping in central Fujian, where they linked with the Chinese Army
troops invading from the East. The war was over.
The Colombo Treaties finished the
political part of the war: China accepted the Chaodai
surrender and accepted its solicitude of inclusion into the Chinese state, but China was forced to recognize Taiwan’s independence, something
they had refused to do since 1960. Indonesia was forced to cede Irian Jaya
to Macronesia and to reduce significatively its armed forces. However, Chaodai
and Indonesians guerrillas appeared immediately, forcing the victors (China and Macronesia) to launch
anti-partisan campaigns for years to come. Also, the heavy cost of the war and
the collapse of the Hong Kong, Taipei and Jakarta stock markets provoked a
regional economic crisis, which rapidly spread around the world, eventually
leading to the Atlantic War.
* * *
Not
this August, nor this September; you have this year to do what you like.
Not next August, nor next
September; that is still too soon...
But the year after that or
the year after that they fight.
—
Ernest Hemingway, Notes on the Next War
The World, 2105: Dead and
Resurrection –The Atlantic War and its Aftermath.
The final account of the Atlantic
War was dreadful. In total, 600 millions of African, Europeans and Americans
perished during the war, vast swathes of territory were devastated by nuclear,
biological, and –by the end of the war- anti-matter weapons.
The social order of the combatants
and the world economic network collapse. In the zones devastated by the war,
millions of survivors died of starvation due to insufficient agricultural
production and an inability to distribute what little was harvested. Plagues of
all kinds, virus and nanomachines, swept the world, killing many others.
Millions were forced to flee to unscathed zones, where the already outstretched
services were unable to cope with the disaster, and were confined in abject
shantytowns, where still more were killed as starvation led to despair and
violence. All together, an estimated two billion people die between 2098 and
2104.
The demographic, political and
economical vacuum left after the destruction of the Guinean Confederation, the
European Alliance, the North Atlantic Confederation, Brazil, the South African
Confederation and the Alianza del Río de La Plata is being diminished by the
reconstruction efforts conducted by the United Russian Republic, Japan, Korea,
China, the Macronesian Alliance and some minor powers, due to the robustness of
their post-industrial economies and their alimentary self-sufficiency.
Sadly, this autarchy has retarded
the reconstruction efforts, and it was the sheer necessity to reactivate their
economies what forced the remaining powers to take some action. Japan had put under its protection the Hawaiian Islands, while Korea and the Philippines have established a joint colony in Vancouver Island and Chinese prospectors had
disembarked in the coasts of the former Mexican state of Guerrero. To the
south, Macronesia is launching expeditions into Patagonia and had already
occupied the Malvinas islands.
But the great Asiatic powers are not
the only ones who are expanding. Paraguay, with its core in the ancient city
of Asunción, and counting with a relatively
intact industrial base and military, has imposed its rule over the devastated
Argentine littoral provinces and western Uruguay. The Scandinavian Union, neutral
but hit hard by the climatic changes provoked by the vast amounts of smoke and
ash into the air, has started to expand towards the northern half of old
Germany, devastated by NAC anti-matter devices, and the old Canadian Maritime
provinces and northern New England, razed by German asteroids launched from orbit.
Azania has occupied the southern tip of Africa, after the destruction of its
old Boer enemies; Egypt has conquered Libya from the surviving Italians; the
Maghrebi Confederation has annexed Andalucía, Murcia, Sicily and Sardinia;
Ireland has fullfilled its old dream of unifying the island and has established
several enclaves in Wales and Scotland, and Russia has claimed and occupied
Alaska.
The rest of the world, principally
the former U.S. and Canada, large track of Africa, Western and Mediterranean Europe,
Brazil and central Argentina, is now in chaos. Freak weather patterns, the
cesation of all commerce, the exhaustion of their food reserves, the
destruction of their energy sources, and the utter destruction of the urban
centres has forced the once proud citizens of the old Atlantic confederations
to fall back into primitive farming societies or pure savagery, and even those
areas which have retained some semblance of civilization are divided into
numerous statelets fighting for food, territory and scattered scraps of
technology. Several generations will pass until civilization once again reaches
these unfortunate peoples.
Chronology
2005-2055
2005: First Pacific War. Extensive
use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) to spot enemy positions, coordinate
aerial attacks, and some experimental UAV were armed with antiship missiles.
Deployment and use of Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) weapons against Guam and the Philippines.
2005: Perú accuses Ecuador of supporting the Partido Comunista
del Perú-Sendero Luminoso (Peruvian Communist Party-Shining Path) guerrillas
with weapons and training camps in the Ecuadorian selvatic province of Napo-Pastaza. A new series of border clashes
begins.
2006: Major stock market drop in the Paris
bourse. Worldwide financial panic.
2006: Manifestations in support for
democratic reforms in Albania are crushed by the Army.
International condemnation and economic sanctions are imposed after negotiation
in the League
of Nations.
2007: A team of Canadian, British and
Italian anthropologists determine that Neanderthal and modern man descended
from separate lineages.
2007: After years of bloody border clashes
with Egyptian troops, and the destruction of an important oil refinery in
Cirenaica by Libyan terrorists backed by Egypt; Italy declares war on Egypt.
The Italian forces quickly destroys the Libyan training camps in western Egypt
and the Egyptian navy, but the Egyptian SAMs and relatively modern aircraft constitute
a real problem for the Italians. The combination of an Italian blockade, the
severe damage on the Egyptian oil reserves, and the costly ground invasion of
Egypt convince both side to negotiate: Italy would retire its troops from
Egyptian soil in exchange of the expulsion of Libyan terrorist from Egypt.
2008: Formation of the “Concert of Asia”.
2008: The Mariateguist guerrillas of the
Shining Path violate and occupy the Japanese Embassy in Lima. Two days later, Japanese Special
Forces, with support from the Peruvian army and police, storm the place, and in
twenty minutes the Embassy is in Japanese hands and secure.
2008: Counting with Ecuadorian support,
the Shining Path guerrillas launch a devastating campaign of urban guerrilla
attacks while elite Ecuadorian troops infiltrate in the disputed border zones:
the Shining Path attacks incapacitate the Peruvian Army command and control
capacity while the sabotage of the military border bases allows an Ecuadorian
invasion in force. The Japanese troops still in Lima help to garrison the capitol
while the beleaguered Peruvian Army faces the guerrillas and the Ecuadorians.
2009: Discovery of a very large
trans-Neptunian object arise speculations about a “tenth planet”. Subsequent
investigations determine it is a very large asteroid.
2009: After stopping the Ecuadorian
offensive, Perú secures Argentinean and Japanese support. And the end of the
year, the Ecuadorians are repelled, not without tremendous Peruvian losses in
men and material.
2010: The U.S. Secret Service’s
International Affairs Directorate initiates the recruitment and training of
“paramilitares” fighters in the Colombian countryside.
2010: Ebola virus outbreak in Congo.
2010: Final collapse of the Soviet Union: after four years of war, six
major and a myriad of minor successor states appear.
2010: China initiates a “One Child
Policy” in an intent to control its population growth. Tax cuts to couples and
families already with one child and a vast pro-abortion campaign are part of
the policy.
2011: Pieter Vorster, last Prime Minister
of South Africa, dies in his home in Niew Pietermaritzburg, Boer Republic. The homage dedicated to his
memory by the Boer republic government causes a crisis with Azania and international condemnation.
2011: Germany’s military intelligence (the
Abwehr) discovers an already inactive Soviet spy ring. This organization,
dubbed by the German press “The Red Orchestra” happened to be an incredibly extended
and disciplined spy ring, which managed to infiltrate key positions within the
government and the Abwehr after the Soviet-German War, and smuggled out of the
country huge amounts of intelligence, military and scientific information from
several German ministries and laboratories. According with the Abwehr, these
stolen secrets helped the Soviet Union to catch up to Germany until the final collapse of
the USSR: many of the Soviet
technological achievements (fission bombs, missile and space technology, etc.)
were stolen from the Germans. The uncovering of the Red Orchestra was achieved
after the Abwehr captured in Poland a ranking agent in the NKVD
trying to space to Canada. The subsequent scandal
provoked a purge where many ranking government officials and Abwehr officers
were condemned to the death and imprisonment, and the fall of the government.
2012: An earthquake devastates the Chilean
heartland, including the port of Valparaíso: it’s the worst natural
disaster in the history of America.
2012: Military coup in Korea: Kim Jong Il is deposed by
the Korean People’s Army. Economic reform and opening to the outer world. Kim
is exiled to Myanmar, where he dedicates the rest
of his life to compose operas.
2013: A new set of Dead Sea Scrolls is
located.
2013: A deadly flu-like virus appears in Central Asia, and rapidly becomes a pandemic.
The “Turkmen Influenza” kills nearly twenty six million people worldwide. Brief
outbreaks of the Turkmen Influenza occur in later years in Guangzhou and Ethiopia.
2013: A Mariateguist rebel group named
Amanecer Rojo (Red Dawn) appears in the Mexican state of Guerrero.
2013: Discovery of first room temperature
superconductor. In spite of its ceramic nature it begins a revolution,
especially in computer sciences.
2014: Deregulation of the banking system
in the U.S. causes a tremendous economic
upheaval. At the end of the crisis four major banks monopolize the U.S. market.
2014: Formation of the New Russian Unity
as the main Soviet successor state in European Russia.
2014: Korea and China sign a series of economic
treaties. China help Korean with heavy
investments (which opaque the Japanese ones) and ship large quantities of grain
and other foodstuff on credit. Sino-Japanese relations sour.
2015: After years of naval clashes with
the IJN, Korea uses Chinese credits to start
a naval build-up: acquires a good number of old Soviet vessels (submarines,
destroyers and a cruiser) from Ukraine. Relations with Japan sour, but investment in the booming
Korean industries don’t decrease.
2015: The Aegean War: a petty border
dispute in the Cypriot border degenerated in open warfare. A Turkish invasion
of Greece executed simultaneously with
a sneak attack on Greek naval bases in Greece and in Cyprus succeeds in pushing the
Greeks back but stalls due to heavy Greek resistance in Thrace, ins spite of being
outnumbered by the Turks 3 to 1. However, the naval surprise attack fails and
the attackers are mostly destroyed enroute. In the Aegean sea, the superior Greek navy
captured Turkish islands and launched air and missile attacks on Istanbul, and occupied the Turkish
half of Cyprus; but the Turks redoubled
their ground offensive and pushed further into Greece and threatened Salonika.
The Serbs chose this moment to mobilize
and declare their support to the Greeks: Serbian troops pour into Greece creating a second front, and
at the same time Bulgaria started to mobilize in
support of Turkey. Seeing the potential for a
new Balkan war (which could potentially escalate to engulf the rest of the
Balkans and force an Italian intervention), Germany and France pressured both sides to
negotiate for a truce which comes to effect. In the peace treaty Turkey is forced to cede its half of
Cyprus to Greece and the Turkish Cypriots are
deported to Turkey, while Greece is forced to reduce its military
strength.
2016: The Turkic peoples of the former
Soviet Central Asian republics are united under the banner of the Turanian Republic. The government is controlled
by an Uzbek general of the former Red Army.
2016: Brief naval war between Japan and Korea around Saichu (Cheju) island: a good number of the
new Korean units are sunk or heavily damaged, but two IJN destroyers are
damaged by Korean Kripton anti-ship missiles. Rumours of Korean saboteurs in Japan and Japanese “black-ops” in Korea are frequent.
2016: The European Security accord (ESA)
is dissolved after the definitive collapse of the Soviet Union.
2016: Thailand abolishes anti-drug laws:
first open market for psychotropic substances.
2016: U.S. Navy special forces (the “Sea
Bees”) and the Mexican Army launches a “seek and destroy” campaign against the
Amanecer Rojo guerrillas.
2017: Azanian-Boer War. The Boer Republic became an isolationist
garrison state after the South African War, with heavily defended borders,
ruled by a military Junta, and with a universal conscription system. This Spartan
nation had found in Germany a suitable ally and
commercial partner, and with its help the Boer Army rapidly became the
strongest native force in Africa. After years of constant
border clashes with Azania, the Boers conquered the Azanian province of Key, after a bloody six months
long war. Their German patrons forced the League to mediate a ceasefire and
later to recognise the Boer annexation of most of Key, including the city of East London.
2017: The "big one" hits California: an earthquake with an
intensity of 9.5 in the Richter scale with its epicentre about 30 miles south
of San Francisco. This quake and subsequent
aftershocks cause widespread damages to the Californian cities and precipitate
a humane, political and economical crisis in the U.S.
2017: Japan recognizes the Siberian Republic. Tokyo and Novosibirsk immediately sign a mutual
defence treaty.
2018: Assisted suicide becomes a lawful
choice in Sweden.
2018: Sino-Indian War.
2018: In the U.S. teenagers are forced to wear
tracking devices subcutaneously for purposes of law enforcement.
2018: The African nations of the Gulf of Guinea sign the Abidjan Treaty:
genesis of the Guinean Confederation.
2019: Air degradation causes allergic epidemics
in China and Korea.
2019: Formation of the People’s Arab Republic.
2019: A toxic spill kills off most of the
salmon population in the U.S. Pacific northwest region.
2020-2050: Huge expansion in the legal
definition of marriage between people and an increasing trend towards androgyny
in clothing and hairstyles.
2020: Third permanent space station. It is
a Franco-Italian project with a crew of twenty living and working in space,
testing zero-G industrial and medical procedures.
2020: In order to normalize bilateral
relations and defuse tensions, Korea and Japan sing an “Economic Pact”: Tokyo acceded to sell on credit old
machinery and even whole industrial plants to Korea, allowing the upstart Korean
industries to produce consumer and industrial goods. Such industries were
already outdated for the sophisticated Japanese markets, but were enough for Korea to manufacture consumer good
for Third
World
markets, with the Japanese companies helping with marketing and distribution.
Under these conditions the Koreans enjoy a steady economic growth and rising
life standards.
2020: Japan finalizes the transformation
of its railroad system to maglev trains.
2021: First orbital (LEO) private
laboratory for manufacturing exotic drugs and metal alloys for electronics.
2021: Hindu fundamentalists detonate a
nuclear device in the city of Kabul, razing most of the city and effectively
destroying the Muslim state of Pashtunistan.
2022: Canadian scientists discover the ruins
of a fairly large Norse community in Newfoundland established around 1110.
2022: Capital punishment is abolished in
the U.S. The only countries were such
punishment is still legal are the New Russian Unity, the Arabic countries and Iran.
2022: The Confederated Nations of
Azania reaches its maximum extension with the inclusion of Madagascar.
2023: Northern Sea War.
2023: Brazil launches its first nuclear
fusion-powered carriers and submarines.
2023: Collapse of the Colombian
government and balkanization of Colombia.
2023: Formation of the Río de la
Plata Confederation.
2023: “Indonesian Betrayal”:
Indonesian forces failed in an attempt to conquer Japanese-occupied Singapore: total break between both powers.
2024: A virulent form of porcine fever
virus appears in China, killing almost 500.000
people and collapsing the country’s health care system.
2025: New technologies in electrochemical
batteries allow the local government of Tokyo, Amsterdam, Shanghai, México D.F. and many more
cities to impose bicycle-only transportation restrictions.
2025: Christianity's number of overall
adherents reaches an all-time low.
2025: Franco-Australian War.
2025-2027: German civil war.
2026: A biological warfare accident in the
Central Asian Republic of Turan kills almost 100,000
people and causes the evacuation of Samarkand.
2026: Formation of the Scandinavian
confederation.
2026: The Mecklenburg Virus causes panic
in Germany and the rest of Europe.
2027: Saudi Arabia annexes the small Gulf
emirates after their societies collapsed with the end of the oil era.
2027: The southernmost Chinese provinces
form the Chaodai Confederation.
2027: The neo-Luddite terrorist
organization “The Children of Gaia” claim responsibility over a series of
bombings: airports, petrochemical plants, mine companies, and aquaculture
facilities are among the main targets.
2027: First aerospace plane flight between
Berlin and Sydney. The speed and safety of air
travel increase dramatically.
2028: Riots in Mindanao degenerate in a Muslim
uprising. Indonesian support to the rebels is evident, when the Filipino
defence forces capture an Indonesian minisubmarine with special forces
operatives near the Filipino coasts.
2028: First cloned tissues used successfully
in transplants.
2029: Manzhouguo absorbers Hebei, Shandong, Shanxi, Henan and Jiangsu: New Republic of China.
2029: Formation of the Macronesian Alliance.
2029: Merger of the Accord Européen de Libre-Échange and the Europäische
Zollamt Vereinigung: the European Economic Union encompasses a common
European market and custom union. Some members of the old organizations walk
out of the new EEU, including Macronesia, Turkey and the New Russian Unity.
2030: Political unrest in Eastern Europe due to
the rising unemployment: delayed economic reforms are the main cause. Both Brazil and Macronesia become the destiny of a new wave of
European migrants.
2031: World population stabilizes at about 7 billions.
2031: Formation of the UEO.
2031: Japan gains nearly alimentary
self-sufficiency through a combination of traditional aquaculture and
genetically modified kelp farms.
2031: “Second Great Reform” in Japan: the governmental system is
reformed to transfer several of the former prerogatives of the Diet to the
Kampaku, transforming the national government along semi-democratic lines.
2032: Overpopulation, famine and disease
provokes the gradual disintegration of the social and economic systems of most
Indian successor states.
2033: Formation of the Indian Ocean Coalition.
2033: Two of the bigger Minitel networks (U.S. and Germany) collapse due to the
inability of the current phone lines to handle the growing traffic.
2034: End of the “Drug War”: the drugs
won. The U.S. legalizes marijuana and hemp,
although the distribution of cocaine and synthetic drugs is heavily regulated.
2035: Second Pacific War. The “Twenty
Years of Peace”.
2036: Large reforesting efforts launched
in South
America.
2036: The Korean People’s Republic changes
its name to “Korean Republic”.
2037: Formation of the Confederation of
the Antilles.
2037: Greenhouse effects begin to level
off due to the decreasing use of fossil fuels and increasing reforestation
projects.
2038: After several failed experiments, non-addictive
booster drugs become common in the militaries around the world. These drugs are
used to suppress sleep, boost agility, strength and endurance. Heavily
regulated and illegal outside military use, the Colombian states and several
African nations, among them Ethiopia, become the main producers of
cheap and dangerous variants of these drugs.
2038: Japan enacts the strongest
environmental laws in the world. Economic growth slows down, but the measures
are very accepted among the population.
2039: Japan finalizes the transformation
of the entirety of its mass transit systems to maglev trains and derivate
technologies. Automobile private ownership is severely restricted.
2040: The U.S., Canada and Britain adopt a common currency.
2040: The Indonesian industrial
conglomerate Meekhatarra Electric perfects a cheap method of
desalinization of sea water.
2041: A mutant Mecklenburg virus strain, much more
virulent than the original virus, sweeps through Northern Africa, Italy, Greece and Turkey, killing nearly 2 million
people.
2042: Genetic engineering advances allow a
revolution in cosmetic surgery: some people start to change their own DNA code
using viral tools to change their appearance. Major genetic modifications are
forbidden, though.
2043: A huge revival in traditional
religions. It is specially felt in Japan, Eastern Europe, Iran and the U.S.
2043: First “designer pets” are
commercially available. Several nations introduce legal measures against this
and other commercial genetic practices that could lead to the cloning and
“tailoring” of human beings.
2045: The Philippine government abolishes
the “perpetual neutrality” article from its constitution, and signs a mutual
defence alliance with Taiwan and Japan.
2045: The largest cities of the world are
coastal-submarine complexes. The increasingly sophistication of the aquaculture
techniques allow many of these cities to met a good share of their alimentary
needs without necessity land bound agriculture or commerce.
2046: Algeria, Morocco and Tunis united after a pan-Maghrebi Islamist
party wins the elections in all three nations: formation of the Maghrebi
Confederation.
2049: The Toyo No Riso (Ideal of
the East) Buddhist sect, led by Matsuda Satoshi, launches a devastating
terrorist attack near Tokyo. Matsuda and his followers,
convinced that he was the reincarnation of Buddha and eager to pursuit a campaign
‘for ultimate and universal love’, stole a set of experimental micromachines
from an Army arsenal and released them in the nuclear fusion plant in Kisarazu,
in the side of Tokyo bay opposite to the Japanese capitol. The micromachines
provoke a severe malfunction in the fusion core, releasing to the atmosphere
the plasma contained in the magnetic bottle of the reactor. A few dozen people
-mostly plant employees and Kisarazu locals- were killed, but the terrorists
gang was captured, including Masuda, when they was trying to release another
micromachine plague in the Imperial Palace in Tokyo. After a highly publicised
trial, Masuda and his followers are sentenced to 50 years in an orbital penal
facility.
2050: First “Lunar war”: a
Franco-Brazilian dispute around a He3 deposit in Oceanus Procellarum
degenerates in violence and “security forces” from both nations are hastily sent.
After some clashes, both parties accept Azanian arbitration.
2050: 72% of the world’s population lives
in urban centres.
2050: A major earthquake strikes Taiwan, and the resulting tidal wave
wreaks havoc in Luzon, the Ryukyu and Fujian.
2051: Radio signals from a solar system
located 75 light-years from Earth become the first evidence of the existence of
extraterrestrial intelligence. However, the message is never deciphered.
2051: Great Britain, increasingly isolated due to
its de facto union with the U.S., eschews close ties with
continental Europe.
2052: The New Russian Unity and Siberia unite: formation of the
United Republic of Russia. The URR maintains Siberia’s security commitments with Japan.
2052: “Fast-growing” trees are used to
reforest vast territories in southern México, Siberia, Karafuto, Italy, Spain and Scotland.
2053: Formation of the Islamic Sphere
(better known as the “Second Caliphate”): economic union between Turkey, the Trans-Caucasian Federated Republics, the People’s Arab Republic, the Empire of Iran, Turan
and the myriad of Muslim states in former India and Soviet Central Asia. Indonesia refuses to join.
2053: The Indian Ocean Coalition becomes
the world’s largest exporters of aquaculture foodstuff.
2053: The Trans-Siberian railroad is
transformed into a maglev line in record time.
2054: Another “Big One” quake (magnitude
7.7) strikes southern California. Modern structures resist
without damage, but some old building collapse.
2054: The first genetically modified
"super soldiers" appears in the Chinese Army: special forces with
strength, reflexes, and endurance increased through a combination of genetic
manipulation and specially designed drugs.
2055: Germany joins the UEO. The new
confederation is named the “European Alliance”.
2055: Chinese Unification War.