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The modern economy is based on oil, first exploited by the Anglo-Iranian oil company (now renamed BP) but much of the oil industry was destroyed during the war with Iraq. Abadan was said to have been the world's largest oil refinery. Much has been rebuilt since. The traditional agricultural economy has suffered from the imbalance caused by the oil industry and was neglected during the time of the Shah. The huge expenditure on rearming following the war with Iraq, and the legacy of that war itself, cripple the economy and prevent investment in civilian needs. There is high inflation and despite the claims of the ruling clergy a widening of the gulf between rich and poor. This may well be the failure which will cause the regime to collapse. Subsidies for the poor cannot be maintained if oil revenues fall. However, as the world nears the point of Peak Oil, revenues are likely to increase, especially with China's increasing demand. The price spike in mid-2008 increased revenue, but the subsequent fall in prices disappointed those who had gained. Thomas Friedman observes that "petro-states" become more democratic when the oil price goes down. See Democracy. |
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Bad civil rights. The Clergy don't recognize western civil rights. Executions according to strict Koranic rules are common as well as torture, cutting off of hands, whipping for what in western countries are regarded as minor offenses. Many of these punishments are imposed after either no trial or a cursory trial without defense. Amnesty International says 2010 official executions were 252+ It estimates at least 300 other executions, besides those officially acknowledged. Only China executes more people. The situation of women which had been improving during the time of the Shah is not as bad as many other states in the Islamic world (laws about women are not actually Koranic, but a later development). There are many jobs barred to them. However, a majority of university students are women and women are influential in many non-governmental positions. Sheer necessity to use their skills may force change on the clerical establishment. Very young soldiers were used in the war with Iraq and told that martyrdom was the highest good (higher than training). Believers in other religions are persecuted, especially Baha'is who have been executed as recently as 1993. Since the coming to power of Rafsanjani and Khatami there were some improvements, but Iran cannot yet be regarded as a state of law in the western and UN sense. Sporadic random arrests for errors in women's clothing continue. These amount to a classic reign of terror of typical totalitarian style. Despite Mohammad's advocacy of toleration for Christians and Jews, non-Muslims are persecuted, especially former Muslims who converted to other religions. With the election of Ahmedinejad the human rights situation worsened again. |
Maziar
Bahari - Then they came for me Then They Came for Me: A story of injustice and survival in Iran's most notorious prison A Newsweek journalist's experiences in Evin prison. |
An already arid country may get even less rain. |
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