PREDICTION

Week 13:  "The Sole Survivor"

by
Andy Zarowny


Okay, here we go for the conclusion of "Survivor: Marquesas".  I was
hpoing Kathy would win this thing, she deserves to win most.  But my
gut tells me she won't.  The problem here is her political skills.

Remember way back when Rotu made Kathy cry?  She had found a
lot of food and asked her tribemates to fix the shelter.  They rejected
her desire to fill the role of food provider.  Kathy admitted at that time
that she knew little of her tribemates.  She didn't even know what
Paschal did in the real world. 

Kathy has been a pain to get along with and has never quite bonded
enough with anybody.  She may not know crucial details about the
others, which will be vital now, since the next Immunity Challenge will
be the 'Fallen Comrades' one.  She won't win it.  But that's not to say
she'll be voted out right away.

From last episode, we learned from Kathy that Paschal has crashed
physically and emotionally.  She said, "he's cashed out of the game".
Paschal will not win IC either and sets the stage for Vee, who proba-
bly will win the next IC, to team with Kathy to ditch Paschal.  It'll be a
tie vote at Tribal Council, and Vee will win.  Paschal will be the 13th
person to be voted off and will join the jury.

The next and final Immunity Challenge will be 'Endurance', standing
all day, holding on to a tiki statute.  Kathy said last episode when she
talked with Paschal about also getting dizzy at times when standing.
While she seems the most stubborn, I don't think Kathy will win.

Either Vee or Neleh will win the last immunity, and select Kathy to join
the jury.  Both know that Kathy would be either's toughest competitor
against the jury.  Both know each's best shot is to face the other.

So, that sets the stage for the Finale.  Vecepia versus Neleh.  Vee has
played The Game with much more skill than Neleh.  Vee's politics are
much more sophisticated.  She definitely did bond with the Core of
Four, before she stabbed them in the back.  And they probably admire
her in doing so, for they know that she knew they were going to ax
after after they did Sean.  It's playing The Game.

Neleh, on the other hand, has been riding Pappy's coattails all along.
Her one political act was the fateful one which doomed the Core of
Four.  Her whole nice-girl-act has been disgusting.  A lot of others
deserve to win more than her.  Sweet Pea is like eating a lot of jelly
beans.  After awhile, you get sick of all that sweatness. 

I suspect that Vee will win with six votes.  Neleh will only get a vote
from Paschal.  The rest will decide that Vecepia is the true Survivor
of the Final Two.

SUMMARY:

Day 37:  Vee wins IC, Paschal gets the boot.

Day 38:  I'll say Neleh wins IC, Kathy gets the boot.

Day 39:  Vee wins 6 jury votes, Neleh wins 1.

Vecepia is the Sole Survivor and wins 1 Million Dollars!

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