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Groundhog's Forecast
Groundhog's Forecast
The groundhog's seasonal forecasting accuracy is somewhat low.
Phil's Winter prognostications have been correct only 39% of the time.
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1887
Shadow
first official trip to Gobbler's Knob.
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1890
No Shadow
The groundhog's seasonal forecasting accuracy is somewhat low.
Phil's Winter prognostications have been correct only 39% of the time.
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1887
Shadow
first official trip to Gobbler's Knob.
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1890
No Shadow
(early Spring!)
[Birthdate: Charles Correll ("Andy" on radio's Amos & Andy)]
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1891
not record
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1892
not record
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1893
not record
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1894
not record
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1895
not record
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1896
not record
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1897
not record
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1898
Shadow
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1899
not record
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1900
Shadow
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1901
Shadow
[Birthdate: Jascha Heifetz, violinist]
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1902
NOt Shadow
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1903
Shadow
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1904
Shadow
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1905
Shadow
[Birthdate: Ayn Rand, novelist-philosopher]
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1906
Shadow
[Birthdate: Gale Gordon, actor]
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1907
Shadow
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1908
Shadow
[Birthdate: Clarence "Buster" Crabbe, Olympic
swimmer/actor]
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1909
Shadow
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1910
Shadow
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1911
Shadow
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1912
Shadow
[Birthdate: Burton Lane, Broadway composer]
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1913
Shadow at 8:08 am
First newspaper photo of Groundhog Day by John Frampton.
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1914
Shadow at 9:34 am
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1915
Shadow at 11:45 am
Named Wiley William Woodchuck!
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1916
Shadow at 9:07 am
First movie film of Groundhog Day ceremony (17.5mm Birtac).
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1917
Shadow
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1918
Shadow
18 degrees below zero.
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1919
Shadow
[Birthdate: Forrest Tucker, actor]
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1920
Shadow
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1921
Shadow at 7:17 am
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1922
Shadow at 7:11 am
Groundhog Holiday Dance.
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1923
Shadow
[Birthdate: Liz Smith, gossip columnist]
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1924
Shadow at 7:13 am
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1925
Shadow at 8:13 am
[Birthdate: Elaine Stritch, actress]
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1926
Shadow at 9:17 am
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1927
Shadow at 8:35 am
[Birthdate: Stan Getz, jazz saxophonist]
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1928
Shadow at 10:00 am
Program with Punx'y Rotary Club on KDKA Radio.
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1929
Shadow
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1930
Shadow at 7:11 am
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1931
Shadow at 12:27 pm
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1932
Shadow at 9:11 am
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1933
Shadow
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1934
No Shadow.
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1935
Shadow at 9:11 am
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1936
Shadow at 10:27 am
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1937
Shadow at 9:09 am
Early morning encounter with a skunk!
[Birthdate: Tom Smothers, comedian]
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1938
Shadow at 9:05 am
"Darkest shadow in history"
(The Spirit, Feb. 2, 1938)
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1939
Shadow at 9:10 am
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1940
Shadow at 9:00 am
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1941
Shadow at 4:25 pm
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1942
Partial Shadow at 7:40 am
"War clouds have blacked out parts of the shadow."
(The Spirit, Feb. 2, 1942) [Birthdate: Graham Nash, guitarist, singer]
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1943
No Shadow
Groundhog did not appear; relied on Quarryville's prediction
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1944
Shadow at 9:10 am
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1945
Shadow at 9:00 am
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1946
Shadow at 7:52 am
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1947
Shadow at 7:37 am
First newspaper photo of Groundhog Club at Gobbler's Knob
[Birthdate: Farrah Fawcett, actress, model]
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1948
Shadow at 8:46 am
[Birthdate: Jessica Savitch, NBC news anchor]
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1949
Shadow at 7:32 am
[Birthdate: Brent Spiner, actor]
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1950
No Shadow
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1951
Shadow at 8:41 am
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1952
Shadow at 7:52 am
On NBC's Today Show on Monday, February 4
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1953
Shadow at 7:38 am
[Birthdate: Penny Pulz, LPGA golfer]
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1954
Shadow at 8:03 am
[Birthdate: Christie Brinkley, Cover Girl model]
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1955
Shadow at 8:51 am
4" of snow on Groundhog Day;
[Birthdate: Kim Zimmer, soap opera actress]
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1956
Shadow at 8:33 am
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1957
Shadow at 7:47 am
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1958
Shadow at 8:27 am
[Birthdate: Holly Hunter, actress]
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1959
Shadow at 8:23 am
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1960
Shadow at 7:33 am
Forecasts extremely bad weather on the Today show.
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1961
Shadow at 7:41 am
25 below zero.
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1962
Shadow at 7:29 am
[Birthdate: Garth Brooks, singer]
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1963
Shadow at 7:41 am
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1964
Shadow at 7:35 am
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1965
Shadow at 7:58 am
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1966
Shadow at 7:21 am
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1967
Shadow at 7:25 am
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1968
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1969
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1970
No Shadow
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1971
Shadow at 7:29 am
14 below zero.
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1972
Shadow at 7:30 am
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1973
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1974
Shadow at 7:28 am
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1975
No Shadow
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1976
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1977
Shadow at 7:27 am
In midst of the energy crisis. [Birthdate: Shakira, singer]
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1978
Shadow at 7:28 am
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1979
Shadow at 7:28 am
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1980
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1981
Shadow at 7:27 am
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1982
Shadow at 7:26 am
Coldest January this Century.
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1983
No Shadow
Predicted an early Spring after a mild El Nino Winter.
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1984
Shadow at 7:04 am
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1985
Shadow at 7:28 am
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1986
No Shadow
Visited President Reagan at the White House in March.
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1987
Shadow at 7:29 am
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1988
No Shadow
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1989
Shadow
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1990
No Shadow
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1991
Shadow
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1992
Shadow
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1993
Shadow
The movie Groundhog Day with Bill Murray is released.
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1994
Shadow at 7:28 am
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1995
No Shadow
Afternoon guest on the "Oprah Winfrey" TV Show.
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1996
Shadow at 7:21 am
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1997
No Shadow
35,000 watched at Gobbler's Knob
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1998
Shadow at 7:20 am
Predicting six more weeks of a mild El Nino Winter!
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1999
No Shadow at 7:23 am
37º rain
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2000
Shadow at 7:28 am
12º Overcast skies with flurries
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2001
Shadow at 7:27 am
28º Cloudy skies with light snow
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2002
Shadow at 7:25 am
19º Mist with a record 38,000 visitors driven
to Gobbler's Knob by
bus for security.
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2003
Shadow at 7:27 am
30º Overcast skies with PA Governor Ed Rendell attending the ceremony.
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2004
Shadow at 7:27 am
17º Clear skies with snow on the ground, crowd boos the forecast!
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2005
Shadow at 7:31 am
14º Clear skies with a wind chill of 3ºF.
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2006
Shadow at 7:23 am
36º Overcast skies with the crowd cheering the Steelers in Super Bowl XL.
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2007
No Shadow at 7:28 a.m.
26º Overcast skies with light snow and mist under a Full Moon.
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2008
Shadow at 7:27 am
28º Fog and mist with the crowd booing six more weeks of Winter.
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2009
Shadow at 7:30 am
29º Overcast skies as the crowd cheers the Steelers' Super Bowl XLIII victory.
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2010
Shadow at 7:23 a.m.
15º Hazy sun and a visit from actor Stephen Tobolowsky (Ned Ryerson).
Animal rights group PETA demands Punxsy Phil be replaced by a robot. LOL!
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2011
No Shadow
the unspellable Punxsutawney Phil (and Staten Island Chuck) have both
peered from their holes and concurred: no shadow, no more winter!
Blizzard and ice storm warning on Groundhog Day
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2012
Will he or will he not see his Shadow
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99 Shadow
16 NO Shadow
9 NO Recording
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