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Since Sunday, January
16th, there had been talk of snow on
Thursday, the 20th. It didn't look like
much, until Wednesday, the 19th. I
thought 2-4 inches.
This is what
the NWS had to say Wednesday
afternoon.
WEATHER MAP DISCUSSION FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... NORTHEASTERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 408
PM EST WED JAN 19 2000
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THURSDAY
FOR SUFFOLK COUNTY NEW YORK...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND JUMP TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST TO THE GULF OF MAINE BY
FRIDAY MORNING.
WITH A VERY COLD AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION...ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW.
LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK
THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY WITH
THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN
LONG ISLAND.
BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY...THE WEATHER
STORY WILL SHIFT FROM SNOW TO WIND AND
COLD. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL RETURN TO
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
BEHIND THE STORM ON A VERY GUSTY
NORTHWEST WIND. WIND CHILLS ON FRIDAY
WILL DROP TO AT LEAST THE 10 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO RANGE...AND WILL LIKELY GO EVEN
LOWER FRIDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP
TO THE TEENS AND SINGLE NUMBERS.
I wasn't too sure of
this, but did raise my estimate for
amounts. Now I said 2-4 Nassau, 3-6
Suffolk. Mistake. Should have stayed
with what I had said.
Later that evening the
NWS was saying the
following...
WEATHER MAP DISCUSSION FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1015 PM EST WED JAN 19 2000
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING
FOR SUFFOLK COUNTY LONG ISLAND AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CONNECTICUT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR SNOW HAS BEEN POSTED FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE TRI-STATE
REGION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS EVENING
WILL BASICALLY JUMP TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY VERY RAPIDLY
INTO A MAJOR WINTER STORM AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST TO THE GULF OF MAINE BY
FRIDAY MORNING.
WITH A VERY COLD AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION...ALL OF
THE PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES SHOULD
DEVELOP ACROSS OUR REGION TOWARD
DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SOME HEAVY SNOW AT
TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
WARNED AREA.
THE SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
BETWEEN 6 AND 8 INCHES IN THE
WARNED AREA AND BETWEEN 3 AND 5
ELSEWHERE....
Things were looking
worse, so I kicked my estimates up
again: Nassau 3-5; Western Suffolk 4-6;
Eastern Suffolk 6-8 & maybe more. Should
have stayed with what I had said earlier
in the day, 2-4 inches.
Pictures and more comments are on
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