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ON GUARD – Fraud Spotter #18:
Chain letters

by Laura Quarantiello
© 2004 Tiare Publications Group


Chain letters will always be with us. Even though it is well known that these are outright frauds, the reluctance to break the chain and bring bad luck or miss out on a sure-fire opportunity drives folks into participating who should know better. Chain letters ask that you invest a small amount in order to gain a larger "guaranteed" amount. You don't need to be a mathematician to understand that chain letters simply cannot work. The first investor, who is usually the scam artist, may end up making some money, but everyone else is doomed to failure. Typically, you are asked to mail a copy of the chain letter along with money to up to six more people who, in turn, are asked to mail letters to six other people and so on. If you add it up you will see that chain letters never pay off.

Number of mailings Number of participants

1 6
2 36
3 216
4 1,296
5 7,776
6 46,656
7 279,936
8 1,679,616
9 10,077,696
10 60,466,176
11 362,797,056
12 2,176,782,336
13 13,060,694,016

Census Bureau estimates put the population of the United States at around 270 million people and the world population at over six billion. You can see from the chart that in order for a chain letter to work we would need to find a few billion more people to participate! Smart consumers know that getting even a thousand people involved in such a chain would be a feat of magic. Break the chain and stop the fraud.




Laura Quarantiello hates criminals and the crimes they commit. Her book "On Guard" can help you minimize the risk you family faces from criminal elements. Get more information at: www.tiare.com/onguard.htm

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