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Water on Mars?

Thread - Water on Mars
IncludesHoagland's
"Monuments Of Mars" and the Electric Sun theory.

On  17/2/2003, Paul Williams wrote:

The good news is that there is an amazing amount of water ice on Mars.
The bad news is that the amount of C02 is apparently much too low for a 'terraforming' greenhouse effect to be initiated using this.

"At any rate, Ingersoll and Byrne say that finding the missing carbon dioxide, or accounting for its absence, is now a major goal of Mars research."*

NASA and The European Space Agency are at the moment preparing to launch Mars landers later this year. - Should be interesting.


Charles de G posted:

I've been reading "Monuments Of Mars" by Richard C Hoagland, quite interesting  and certainly NON von Daniken material.  Hoagland claims that there was a  "Flood" on Mars during the planet's past and some of the features of the Mars-scape are evidence of this "Flood"  .But one thing I have concerns about is his  identification of some "Fossils" as being 3km in length.  Now, on this planet  there is NOTHING of that size, not even Baluchitherium or Sivatherium.  Nor even a Giant Squid [well not yet anyway]. And he does provide photographic evidence from Viking and Mars Explorer of his claims.


Paul Williams replied:

I guess that all I can say is that _disinformation_ is available at a price:
http://www.ufoaudio.com/authors/hoagland.html

The so-called 'Face' on Mars has been clearly shown by NASA to be an illusion.
http://www.msss.com/mars_images/moc/extended_may2001/face/

Hoagland still shows the original 1976 Viking photo without showing the clear newer images.
http://www.enterprisemission.com/dayIR.htm

As gently as I can: I feel that Hoagland is at best 'mistaken' in his claimed beliefs...

Peter Macinnis responded

At 12:28 17/02/03 +1000, you wrote:
>The good news is that there is an amazing amount of water ice on Mars.
>The bad news is that the amount of C02 is apparently much too low for a
>'terraforming' greenhouse effect to be initiated using this.

It is more important to have enough of each so that fuel synthesis can be carried out on the surface of Mars, enough to get an expedition back into orbit -- that is the long-range NASA planning.  They are looking at beaming energy down from space to 'rectennas' made of surface iron in a robot plant.
Paul Williams replied:

I will look this up - but if you have links to the relevent information, I would be pleased to follow them.
I think I understand the need for carbon, oxygen and hydrogen for fuel synthesis...
The robot iron foundry I know nothing about...
Obviously, a microwave receiver would be necessary...
More information please...


Peter  replied:

There will be something on the NASA site -- I gave the word rectenna as a useful search word.

See http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/msad03mar99_1.htmfor starters.

For more, subscribe to a good Australian encyclopedia :-)

Paul responded:

Elegant proposals. I hope that these come to pass before I shuffle off this mortal coil.  My mind is transported back to the writings of O'Neil, Dyson and Clarke.  I want to shout out "Let's do it".:-)

Hopefully an international effort will be made to see that these (practical) dreams come true


Ray added:

The way things are going, with so much resource devoted presently to domestic and international police actions, and the greatest endeavours in research being those of the biological sciences (either to heal or kill), by the time Martian research really takes off, we'll be able to tow in carbonaceous and hydrous asteroids and probably won't need to terraform in any way we might now anticipate.

Something for our children's children's children to be involved in.

Paul replied:

I prefer to take a more positive view than this. Although the circumstances are different, the Vietnam War was in full swing when Armstrong first stepped on the moon. One thing that appears to happen is that military spending has technological spinoffs which directly advantage space exploration.

Long term view:
In about a billion years, insolation is predicted to increase by about 10%.
The Earth will become uncomfortably hot. Mars may then come into her own.

Jim Edwards wrote:

'The new findings further pose the question of how Mars could have been warm and wet to begin with. Working backward, one would assume that there was once a sufficient amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to trap enough solar energy to warm the planet, but there's simply not enough carbon dioxide for this to clearly have been the case.

'"There could be other explanations," Byrne says. "It could be that Mars was a cold, wet planet; or it could be that the subterranean plumbing would allow for liquid water to be sealed off underneath the surface."'

Or it could be that Mars was once in an orbit closer to the Sun and thus warm enough to have liquid water on the surface, or is that too heretical an idea?
Paul Williams posted:

Perhaps millions of years ago, not a few thousand.

I believe that violent collisions or near collisions would have erased the ancient surface features that are clearly shown in the more recent photographs.  We probably don't need this anyway - it's still very early days in Mars exploration.

I do not know the theory which predicts certain levels of CO2 for Mars.  It is said to be in error - or perhaps the martian ferric oxides also hide ferric carbonates which together lock up most of the predicted oxygen and carbon?

Perhaps the carbon is hidden within the Martian crust?
The Earth has been shown to have microbes thriving deep within the crust.  A possible subterranean micobial population may still be thriving on Mars?
"At low pH in the presence of oxygen, the chemical oxidation of ferrous iron (Fe2+) is very slow. Under these conditions acidophilic iron-oxidizing bacteria catalyze the oxidation of ferrous iron. The best known representative is Thiobacillus
ferrooxidans.  Iron-oxidizing bacteria use ferrous iron (Fe2+) as their sole energy source."

http://mcb.berkeley.edu/labs/kustu/mcb112/nov13.htm

Perhaps the chemists on the list can say if I'm on the wrong track here?

Ray posted:

Jim, there is more evidence, I believe, that Mars has had some major impacts in its history and IMO, these are a more likely cause for atmospheric loss and temperature reduction than a change in Solar proximity.

Ian Musgrave wrote:

At 09:21  19/02/03 +1000, Paul wrote:

> > At 07:39  18/02/03 +1100, Jim wrote:
> > >'The new findings further pose the question of how Mars could have been warm
> > >and wet to begin with. Working backward, one would assume that there was
> > >once a sufficient amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to trap enough
> > >solar energy to warm the planet, but there's simply not enough carbon
> > >dioxide for this to clearly have been the case.
[snip]

> > Overpressure CO2 atmospheres were always a problem, instead of causing a
> > greenhouse, they form high altitude dry ice clouds and lead to global
> > cooling. It is more likely that Mars had much less CO2 and trace methane as
> > the greenhouse gas, producing a cool, wet Mars. (See my upcoming paper to
> > be published by the NSCE for more details, publication details soon))
>
>I looked up Overpressure: - "The amount of pressure above the desired
>pressure setting necessary to relieve full flow capacity."
>Ummm...Sadly I'm none the wiser...
>I look forward to expunging some of my ignorance by reading your
>upcoming paper.

Typical "CO2 only" greenhouses have early Earth and Mars with atmospheric pressures 10 to 20 times higher than that of modern earth, composed mostly of CO2. As mentioned above Mars with 10 atmospheres of CO2 has CO2 ice clouds, which negates the greenhouse and plunges into Fimbuwinter.

> > Another (but disappointing) possibility is that the "water" features on
> > Mars are due to superfluid CO2 and Mars was never wet.
><snip>
>
>I understand by 'superfluid' you mean the volatile/'explosive' nature of
>liquid/frozen CO2 when heated as compared to heating water/ice?

I actually meant supercritical, and that the "water" features were carved by "pyroclastic" flows of dust and CO2 resulting from "melting" dry-ice.

See "White Mars" (a bit, ahhhh, strident)
    <http://www.earthsci.unimelb.edu.au/mars/Enter.html>
Mars climate
http://www.earthsci.unimelb.edu.au/mars/Climate.html
CO2 avalanches
http://www.earthsci.unimelb.edu.au/mars/Outburst.html

A water based account of the gullies,
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2003/19feb_snow.htm?list110923

>I believe that the recent hydrogen findings indicate a much shallower
>depth for H2O ice than this 2001 article postulates:
>http://www.spacedaily.com/news/mars-water-science-01o.html
>
>I'm not arguing any point, I'm simply interested.

More stuff on water on Mars.
"Catastrophic Flooding on Mars" from "Science fronties online"
<http://www.science-frontiers.com/sf076/sf076a04.htm>

  "Evidence found of lake, catastrophic flood on Mars"
<http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0206/23marslake/>


Jim Edwards wrote in reply to Ian Musgrave:

>At 07:39  18/02/03 +1100, Jim wrote:
<snip>>
>>Or it could be that Mars was once in an orbit closer to the Sun and thus
>>warm enough to have liquid water on the surface, or is that too heretical
>>an
>>idea?

>No, it is a dynamically unsupportable idea, as I mentioned to you a few
>years back, one cannot arbitrarily move planets orbits around. If Mars was
>closer to the sun, orbital resonances would have either resulted in Mars
>being ejected from the solar system, or Earth and Mars colliding in a
>terminal fashion.
>
>Cheers! Ian
>
So you say, and no doubt you can back up this opinion with some impeccable sources, but I have read the opinions of others, such as Ralph E. Juergens, who consider that conventional theories of planetary dynamics are insufficient to explain all the observed phenomena in the solar system.

I am in no position to say which paradigm is the correct one, but I have observed that once a particular paradigm is accepted by the scientific establishment and is printed in all the text books, it is very difficult to overturn it even with irrefutable evidence that it is wrong.  There are too many reputations at risk to allow that to happen.

I was once asked, "As an impartial outside observer, what do you think of the human race?"  Well, as an IOO, I consider that the so-called 'electro-gravitic' theory of interplanetary and interstellar dynamics has a lot going for it and should be given more serious consideration, even if it does challenge the hegemonic paradigm.

Ian Musgrave responded:

>So you say, and no doubt you can back up this opinion with some impeccable
>sources, but I have read the opinions of others, such as Ralph E. Juergens,
>who consider that conventional theories of planetary dynamics are
>insufficient to explain all the observed phenomena in the solar system.

And? Even if their opinions are correct (and opinions butter no parsnips), the proffered theories make things WORSE. No matter what planetary dynamic paradigm you use, if you move Mars inwards to warm it up, you will significantly disturb the Earth/Moon balance, with ejection of Mars or collision of  Earth or Mars. Not only that there is no way to form/maintain the Aten asteroids (asteroids that orbit between Earth and Mars) if you move Mars in, let alone keep the Martian Trojans (How far you have to move Mars in depends on how much CO2 atmosphere you assume Mars has, a CO2 only atmosphere at 1 earth atmosphere has to be very close in, near Earth orbit,  to maintain liquid water [add in trace methane and such and the problem goes away]).
>I am in no position to say which paradigm is the correct one, but I have
>observed that once a particular paradigm is accepted by the scientific
>establishment and is printed in all the text books, it is very difficult to
>overturn it even with irrefutable evidence that it is wrong.  There are too
>many reputations at risk to allow that to happen.

This is just simply incorrect, replacement of textbook material is based solely on evidence (and rates of Textbook edition production, unusually on a five year time scale), not reputations.
>I was once asked, "As an impartial outside observer, what do you think of
>the human race?"  Well, as an IOO, I consider that the so-called
>'electro-gravitic' theory of interplanetary and interstellar dynamics has a
>lot going for it

Except any evidence.
>and should be given more serious consideration, even if it
>does challenge the hegemonic paradigm.

Or would, if it had any actual evidence.

Jim Edwards posted:

The following article looks pretty convincing to me, but I am not an expert:

http://www.electric-cosmos.org/sun.htm

Ian Musgrave responded:

Oh lord, not the Electric Sun again. Look, it's not convincing even to non-experts, you just have to have a basic understanding of science (and to have followed some of the topics in Science Matters, like the solar neutrino threads) to realise that it's nonsense (why do most of the references come from 1986, pre-SOHO, when solar research has been forging ahead in leaps and bounds, the Sudbury results are dismissed out of hand etc.).

Rather than go through this point by point, I will point you to Tim Thompson's excellent article on this.

http://www.tim-thompson.com/electric-sun.html