Irish Bring Spark for Equinics Flame
You can't start a fire without a spark... But
a spark, indeed, is what the Emerald Isle is bringing
to the third race of the Inaugural Equinics. You can
bet your last beer that team IRELAND is hoping
Lever Sparky will set off a blazing bonfire
leading to a series of medals to take back across the
pond. The G2 Apollo Special, run for a cool
Half Mill on 6-1/2 furlongs of fast dirt, has
attracted some of the best sprinters in the world.
However, none are as accomplished as the 1999 Sprint
Champion, Lever Sparky - the seasoned veteran has set
fire to a track or two - and he's favored at 7/2 to
bring home Equinic Gold.
An exceptionally well-matched field will file into the
gate, and they won't let Lever Sparky run off with the
torch unchallenged. I believe the strongest
contenders will hail from NEVADA, NEBRASKA, MINNESOTA,
and NORTH CAROLINA. Realistically, any one of the
twelve tracks could take it - every entrant is deep in
talent and anything can happen in that mad dash to the
turn. From the rail:
1) Representing California - cheeks's
Gordon Road (9/1):
This son of Broad Brush was the very impressive Cold
And Cloudy Handicap winner, run at this distance,
earning a 113 speed figure. He had another nice
win last out, scoring a 111... he may bounce
off that effort, and has not shown much in efforts
outside of his home state.
2) Iowa - james22's Cuvee Beau
(14/1):
It's been a while since he's had a stakes win, and he
might be a touch inconsistent. He's scored some very
nice figures in allowance victories at 6-1/2 furlongs,
including a 113, and won his last race by 3-1/2
lengths. He'll get the acid test here, might be up to
the task if he runs to his best effort.
3) Vermont - greentreef's Alyoro
(8/1):
Hometeam hero is lightly raced with only twelve
starts, but clearly loves this track - three recent
starts in Vermont have resulted in two wins and a
second. He rarely misses the board, and has a pair of
112 figures as a testament to his quality.
4) Delaware - morriseey's Stormy the
Stormy (13/1):
Couldn't hold off Alyoro in his last race, a VT
allowance at this distance. His three recent stakes
attempts haven't yielded favorable results, and
probably needs a career-best effort to get a medal.
However, this guy is sired by Storm Cat, has top jock
F.Gossett in the irons, and must be respected.
5) Longchamp - dkyoung2's Notion
Teddy (36/1):
Turfstar's hope would be a bit of a surprise as the
longest shot on the board. He's light on experience
(six starts, and no stakes races), but does come in
sporting three consecutive wins. Promising colt has a
very bright future... it's just a bit too early to
take on these seasoned speedballs.
6) Sweden - priest1's Billy
Cayenne (7/1):
This colt runs like he's got wolves chasing him, and
will likely go straight to the lead and try to steal
all the glory for the Vikings. He is the only
one coming into the race off a graded-stakes win, a
115 figure as he wired the field in the G3
Capital Spring Sprint. The main question mark - his
last seven races were on turf. Has a solid dirt
record, but how will he take to it again after the
long hiatus?
7) Minnesota - minx's West the
Star (6/1):
WOW! That 120 figure last out was
incredible. Flying from wayyyy back to run off with
the Buckpasser Stakes. Did he just relish the slop?
Consistent figures over 100, including a 110
earlier on a fast track supports his overall
brilliance. He clearly loves the distance, and at long
as he doesn't bounce to the moon, he's in contention
for Gold.
8) New York - makestakes's Necessary
Deed (31/1 ):
Lone three-year-old in the field, he hasn't been let
out to play with his elders till now. He finished up
the track last out, but should come back strong and is
capable of firing a triple digit. Would be a shocker,
but he's a street-smart New York city kid, gotta give
him some respect.
9) Nevada - adamson's Ninety Two
Sea (6/1):
Admittedly, I'm biased because of course Team
Nevada is going to win every single gold medal.... but
I don't have to stretch my imagination to picture this
classy guy in the winners' circle. He rarely runs a
bad race, and when he does, still manages figures in
the high nineties. Prime example, his last race -
toss it out... it was a tune-up for this one. He
earned a 113 figure in the Clavier Handicap
before that, and is a recent G3 winner.
10) Nebraska - greg's Aegon's
Deposits (7/1):
Mr. Consistency has hit the board in twenty of
twenty-three sprint races, with only one sub-100
figure on his record. He's light on stakes experience,
but has a recent 110 figure, and was second in
a VT stakes at this distance. He's a guaranteed
run-true-to-himself horse... will it be enough to win?
If the speed-freaks falter slightly, he'll be right
there.
11) Ireland - cencall's Lever
Sparky (7/2):
Granted, the champ didn't seem like his old self in
his last two, finishing behind Gordon Road and Alyoro.
However, he beat both of them soundly in the Bad Tie
Affair Sprint, and prior to that, a holy-terror.
Multiple graded stakes winner, earnings of over $2.6
million dollars, ranked #9 in the sim, a string of
five consecutive stakes wins earlier in the year, and
frequent speed figures at or near 120... a
grave mistake to think he's done. Most likely, cencall
has just been tightening the screws to peak just in
time for a gold medal leading into a defense of his
title in the Breeders' Bowl Sprint.
12) North Carolina - tidy2's Grim
Dancer (6/1):
Another who hasn't been as brilliant recently after
posting some sensational speed figures earlier. He
owns a 118 and 119 at the distance, and
a 116 in a 6 furlong G3 runner-up effort.
Perhaps that allowance win last out was what he needed
to get his killer attitude back, and he's a live
threat.
My prediction for the medals presentation:
GOLD: Lever Sparky, with the luck of the
Irish
SILVER: Ninety Two Sea, Nevada high-roller
could surprise
BRONZE: Aegon's Deposits, Nebraska farmboy
offers much value
Best wishes for Equinics Glory, and safe trips to all!
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