'Serious' Test for Olympic Contenders
To the ancient Greeks, Hephaestus was a lame god,
ruling fire and the forge. To the Equinics
competitors, the Hephaestus is a horse race, quite
possibly the most expensive ungraded stakes ever run.
The Hephaestus Olympic Stakes, to be exact, a
nine-furlong turf race for fillies and mares at least
three years old. Twelve competitors from twelve
different places will enter the starting gate on
Saturday. All have survived the trial by fire that is
top-flight racing. All have proven themselves iron
horses, strong and swift and fearless. And in the
Olympic Stakes, the last race on an all-star Equinics
card, as they race for the $1,000,000 offered by the
sponsoring Player Bios, they’ll treat the crowd to a
race as great as any ever run.
It may be fitting
that California comes first in our listing; I’ll run
alphabetically through the tracks, but this team
brings us the highest-ranked mare in her class,
sipe stable’s magnificent Seriously
Double. A five-year-old daughter of Gone West,
out of a Nodouble mare, this powerful dark bay has won
nineteen of her thirty-eight starts and over $3.5
million. She has proven herself in short races and
long, on the grass and the main track. ‘Double enters
the Hephaestus on a two-race winning streak, easy
victories in a pair of graded stakes. She can run any
which way, sitting several lengths off the lead and
striking in the stretch or galloping right to the
front and never looking back. Her last race, the
Grade II Princess Di Cap two weeks ago, returned an
impressive 115 speed rating, and should she avoid a
bounce off that effort, this mare is very much one to
be reckoned with.
From Delaware and the stables of
novanora comes another five-year-old, a
Dynaformer x Mt. Livermore chestnut by the name of
Dynaform Theater. She may well enter the race
as a longshot, having won only three races and
$41,000, but a 104 speed rating earned in a smashing
allowance victory showed that this mare has more than
a little talent. She runs as a stalker, resting just
far enough off the pace to stay clear of trouble and
turning on a powerful closing kick in the stretch.
Recent form may be a concern, as her speed ratings
have been dropping alarmingly. ‘Theater will be
cutting back in distance here from a pair of
ten-furlong races and will seek to gain an edge over
her competitors because of that extra bit of
stamina.
Goingtowin’s Gin Under Slobs
is a top-thirty mare by Summer Squall and out of a
Bellypha daughter, a pedigree rich with stamina and
grass. She seems to be having a bit of trouble
breaking through lately – her last victory came over
six months ago – but has only failed to hit the board
twice in thirteen starts and consistently turns in
100+ speed ratings. What makes this record even more
impressive? Gin Under Slobs very often races against
the boys, and very talented boys at that. Like
‘Theater, this leggy chestnut galloped ten furlongs in
her last start, losing some ground in the stretch, but
the lesson should serve her well. Prior to that, she
ran two solid races and produced a strong close both
times. She is a deep closer with lots of consistency
and enters the race relaxed and rested Owner-trainer
goingtowin has an unusual method of improving his
mare’s stamina; it seems he is riding her the whole
way from Iowa to Vermont.
Our next contender came a
long way to be here. She is A.P. Swamp, a
bright bay four-year-old by A.P. Indy, with an I.M.
Phil mare for her dam. She’s presented owner-trainer
stickup with six victories and $55,000 in
seventeen starts and incredibly enough, once ran for a
$15,000 claiming tag. Recent good-but-not-great
efforts may push this filly’s odds up, but the wise
race fan will take note of the fact that those runs
were all on the main track. In five grass starts,
this girl has never finished worse than second. Her
last race is a prime example; A.P. Swamp rated kindly
just off the leader in a Utah stakes race, then took
hold and rolled out to an easy two-length score.
Along with ‘Slobs, ‘Swamp hasn’t started since week
760. She seemed entirely unconcerned by the flight
over and figures to get an edge from her
owner-trainer’s special feeding plans.
It seems that
owner-trainer cool has gone all-out to get his
Seattle From Ports prepped to go the distance –
all five of her most recent races were over distances
greater than the Hephaestus, including two twelve
furlong events, one against open company. The down
side? Her speed ratings in these efforts have been
nothing close to what she’ll need to contend with this
crowd. It’s very possible that her sharp workouts and
the cutback in distance will give ‘Ports the extra zip
to fit in here; she’s overdue for a big race. The one
thing that’s certain is that, turning for home, this
is one mare who will still have something left in the
tank.
Whoever dropped sterlingra’s big bay
Rahy daughter in a $13,500 claiming race must be
kicking themselves now. Her name is June Crab
and she arrives in Vermont to represent Nebraska. I
don’t know how she ended up running for that tag, but
I do know that snatching her up at the price was a
brilliant move. The easy victor in two of her last
three starts, this filly has earned over $76,000 in
twenty-two starts, and though she’s hit the board in
all sorts of races, has proven herself especially good
over a route of ground on the green stuff.
Encouraging with the slight chance of an off-track is
the fact that she romped at ten furlongs on a turf
course labeled “good.” Like Seattle From Ports, her
speed ratings make her look overmatched in this field,
but there’s no doubt that this is a nice filly.
For
those who like the up-and-coming sorts, Five Star
Bungee presents a very attractive option.
Interesting, she is by Machiavellian out of a Nodouble
mare, breeding very similar to her opponent Seriously
Double. This pretty dark bay is ranked forty-seventh
in her class and has won over $218,000 while capturing
five of her eleven starts. It seems to me that
owner-trainer tycodog has gone very gently with
this little girl; she’s raced but five times in the
eighteen months, with her last start being a strong,
closing second in Longchamp where she recorded an
honest 104 speed rating. That was six weeks back and
the major concern with this filly is whether or not
she’s going to be ready to throw the effort of her
life immediately after a lay-off. ‘Star is a
hard-hitting, hard-working filly with a bright future,
and she seems to have become my sentimental favorite.
Will she win? Beats me, but I think she’ll do as well
as she can in the effort.
Fleet Discover(Ire)
hails from New York and offers a true veteran’s
experience and a stayer’s pedigree. This glossy black
daughter of Theatrical(Ire) out of a Grey Dawn II mare
boasts thirty-four starts and over $430,000 in the
bank. She’s a reliable creature, running evenly if
giving half a chance, and has made a habit of picking
up some sort of check. Unfortunately, she seems off
her game lately and that reliable speed rating and
effort falls twenty points or so shy of what it will
likely take to win this race.
The horse from North
Carolina seems to be having similar problem of form.
Jawing For Groom is a class act with the
pedigree to match, a rich bay daughter of Nureyev with
a Blushing Groom mare heading her female family.
She’s banked over half a million dollars while hitting
the board in over half of her thirty-eight races.
She’s faster than ‘Discover, recording speed ratings
as high as 103, but hasn’t managed to score in over
six months and couldn’t touch Seriously Double when
they met in the Princess Di. A top race gives her a
chance if owner-trainer win can interest her in
putting together a big effort.
The Turfstar team
from Longchamp brings us hot horse Virgin
Kelly, a sleek dark Nureyev mare owned and trained
by roelke stables. ‘Kelly is ranked
twenty-second among older mares and boasts five wins
from eighteen starts and over $570,000 in earnings.
She never fails to give a good account of herself; her
last five starts resulted in two wins, another pair of
place efforts, and a show, two of those against males.
Her top recent speed figure is a good 105 earned in
the Grade I Cedora D. She’s proven her ability to go
a route of ground, twice winning at ten furlongs and
displaying a courageous finishing kick at eleven and
twelve. Her four weeks of rest seems like enough to
let her relax and recover a bit, but not enough to let
her fall out of condition. While somewhat
inconsistent, ‘Kelly should love the distance and put
forth a strong run here.
The home team brings as
strong a mare as any in the field, fairhill’s
courageous Huge Slide(Ire). By
Theatrical(Ire), out of a Young Generation(Ire) mare,
‘Slide boats a flashy 110 speed rating earned in the
Grade II Empire State Cap. This smooth-moving dark
bay has won eight of her nineteen starts and over
$822,000, ranking her eleventh in her class. Her
Princess Di bounce let her absorb the strong win
effort two back and she should be primed to take on
the world come Saturday.
February Bone is our
final entry, racing for the Vikings of Sweden. She’s
an uncertain mare, very good on her day but not so hot
at other times. Another dark bay, ‘Bone is by Play
On, a Stop the Music son, and out of a Caerleon mare.
She’s already outrun her pedigree and $25,000 starter
tag, displaying some real talent, but is only a
maiden-breaker and looks in over her head here.
Buck’s Bets:
I usually refrain from trying to
pick a winner in the stakes I cover – my money is
safer if I’m admiring horses than gambling on them.
But in the spirit of the event – and because as of
last week, I can finally place my own bets – I’ll pick
a few for this one. No guarantees as to accuracy,
especially because of the quality of this field. This
journalist loves racing because of the horses, not
because of the money, and fast, beautiful animals make
me a bit silly. It’s the reason I had three straight
winners at Monmouth Park before losing my heart to a
fairy tale chestnut called Thistyranthasclass and a
beautiful bay answering to Milwaukee Brew. It’s why I
favored Buck’s Boy in spite of that big grey monster,
adore Mecke simply because I made one lucky guess. So
please don’t laugh when I say that I have Five Star
Bungee here as a longshot pick. She may not be the
likeliest horse in the field, but I would love to see
her do well.
More realistically? Seriously Double
is the plain top choice, a monster of a mare with a
knack for turning it on when the most is on the line.
She looks primed and ready to run, and anyone looking
to beat her here will have a job of it. If that mare
is destined to fall, it’s likely at the hands of my
home state’s Huge Slide(Ire), as gifted and brave a
runner as they come who seems to turn in subpar races
only as she preps for something bigger and better.
‘Slide will be coming on very gamely in the stretch,
and anyone in front of her will need to find a new
gear or get out of the way. In my imaginary race,
third money goes to the Turfstar entry Virgin Kelly, a
long-distance specialist who can not only run with the
big boys but regularly beats them. ‘Kelly may find
herself close to the pace or resting well back from
it; either way, she promises to make the job of
winning just a little bit harder. So there’s my
picks, perhaps a bit boring, but the way I’ll call it.
Seriously Double, Huge Slide(Ire), and Virgin Kelly,
with Five Star Bungee getting the outside chance, my
sentimental favorite.
Let the games begin!
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