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Asheville Weather Reports

severe weather may 2

METAR KAVL 021854Z 34006KT 10SM FEW050 24/13 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP092 T02440128
SPECI KAVL 021928Z 29023G39KT 260V330 1 1/4SM -RA FEW011 BKN050 OVC060 17/14 A3001 RMK AO2 PK WND 31039/1926 RAB21 PRESRR P0013
SPECI KAVL 021932Z 30019G39KT 1/2SM +GSRA SCT007 BKN050 OVC060 13/11 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 31039/1926 RAB21GSB32 P0047
SPECI KAVL 021934Z 32011G39KT 290V010 1/2SM +GSRA BKN005 BKN039 OVC060 12/10 A2999 RMK AO2 PK WND 31039/1926 RAB21GSB32 P0064
SPECI KAVL 021943Z 33009G17KT 310V020 2SM +RA BR BKN014 BKN039 OVC050 13/11 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 31039/1926 RAB21GSB32E43 P0081
METAR KAVL 021954Z 31010G14KT 2SM RA OVC026 14/11 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 31039/1926 RAB21GSB32E43 SLP144 P0085 T01390111
SPECI KAVL 022003Z 31013G27KT 2SM TSRA OVC026 14/11 A2999 RMK AO2 PK WND 29027/1958 TSB03 P0003
SPECI KAVL 022018Z 05006KT 7SM RA OVC037 14/12 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 29027/1958 TSB03E12 PRESFR P0007
METAR KAVL 022054Z 23007KT 7SM SCT100 14/13 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND 29027/1958 TSB03E12RAE36 PRESRR SLP109 P0007 60092 T01390128 58002

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
341 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS... 
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

335 PM     ASHEVILLE                 NC   WIND DAMAGE
05/02/03   BUNCOMBE                       COUNTY REPORTS 6 TREES
                                          DOWN ON SOUTH SIDE OF
                                          ASHEVILLE.

322 PM     HENDERSONVILLE            NC   .88 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   HENDERSON                      SPOTTER REPORTS NICKEL
                                          SIZE HAIL.

336 PM     COUNTYWIDE                NC   WIND DAMAGE
05/02/03   BUNCOMBE                       COUNTY EOC REPORTS TREES
                                          DOWN COUNTYWIDE.

april 10 snowstorm

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC

SNOWFALL REPORTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN 
NORTH CAROLINA...FROM SPOTTERS...COUNTY COMMUNICATION 
CENTERS...AND POLICE DEPARTMENTS.

YANCEY COUNTY...ABOUT 6 INCHES REPORTED EARLIER IN BURNSVILLE. 
GENERALLY 3 TO 4 INCHES AROUND THE COUNTY...WITH MORE IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. POWER WAS OUT IN MANY AREAS. NOW DRIZZLE AND 35 DEGREES.

MITCHELL...4 TO 8 INCHES AROUND THE COUNTY TODAY.  NOW DRIZZLE AND 
35 DEGREES.

MADISON...UP TO 6 INCHES IN THE SPRING CREEK AREA AND ALONG HIGHWAYS 
19/23.  NO SNOW IN HOT SPRINGS OR MARSHALL.  SOME HIGH ELEVATIONS 
LIKELY HAD MORE.

BUNCOMBE...WIDEPSREAD POWER OUTAGES.  WEAVERVILLE AREA HAD 8 
INCHES.  ASHEVILLE ABOUT 4 INCHES AS DID LECEISTER.  SWANNANOA HAD 6 
TO 7 INCHES.  NOW DRIZZLE.

HAYWOOD...NOW RAIN AND FLURRY MIX IN WAYNESVILLE.  GENERALLY AROUND 
3 INCHES IN THE COUNTY WITH MORE AT HIGH ELEVATIONS.

JACKSON...2 TO 3 INCHES BALSAM AND OTHER HIGH ELEVATIONS.  NOT MUCH 
IN VALLEYS.  NOW DRIZZLE.

GRAHAM COUNTY...NO SNOW IN ROBBINSVILLE.  UP TO 6 INCHES AT 1 PM IN 
HIGH ELEVATIONS BETWEEN NANTAHALA AND STECOAH AND STILL SNOWING 
HEAVILY AT THAT TIME.

SWAIN COUNTY...NO SNOW IN BRYSON CITY.  HAD NOT HEARD FROM HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS.  NO SNOW IN FONTANA ALONG THE SWAIN/GRAHAM LINE.  LIKELY 
SNOW IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS ALONG THE STATE LINE BUT NO REPORTS.

TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY...2 TO 3 INCHES CEDAR MOUNTAIN.  1 TO 2 INCHES 
IN BREVARD WHERE IT LARGELY HAS ALREADY MELTED.

HENDERSON COUNTY...LIGHT RAIN NOW IN HENDERSONVILLE.  ABOUT 2 INCHES 
IN TOWN.  WIDEPSREAD POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE COUNTY FROM DOWNED 
TREES AND POWER LINES.

AVERY COUNTY...4 INCHES IN NEWLAND WHICH HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 
TWO HOURS. SNOWING HARD WITH SEVERAL MINOR ACCIDENTS.

SWAIN...RAIN IN BRYSON CITY.  NO SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS REPORTED.

HAYWOOD...2 INCHES IN WAYNESVILLE AND SNOWING VERY HARD. WRECKS ALL 
OVER THE COUNTY. MORE SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS BUT NOT SURE HOW 
MUCH.

MACON...MOSTLY RAIN IN THE LOW ELEVATIONS. SNOWING HARD AT 
HIGHLANDS...BUT SNOW IS JUST COVERING THE GRASS.

TRANSYLVANIA...HEAVY SNOW IN BREVARD WITH NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS...SOME 
MAJOR...ACROSS THE COUNTY. NO CHANCE YET TO GET ACCUMULATIONS.

MCDOWELL COUNTY...OLD FORT MOUNTAIN GETTING SLICK. GATEWAY MOUNTAIN 
AREA ON BAT CAVE ROAD HAS 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AT AN ELEVATION OF 
3800 FEET. MOST LOWER ELEVATIONS ON THE ESCARPMENT ARE JUST 
SLUSHY...BUT GETTING SLICK.

POLK COUNTY...ACCIDENT EVERYWHERE. I-26 FROM EXIT 36 WEST IS AT A 
DEAD STOP. SNOWING HARD IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY BUT NOT 
SURE OF AMOUNTS.

MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WERE REPORTED IN THE LANDRUM AREA OF 
SPARTANBURG COUNTY...WITH NO PROBLEMS REPORTED BY THE GREENVILLE 
COUNTY DISPATCH.
...WATAUGA...
BEECH MOUNTAIN                   11"     308 PM       HEAVY SNOW 
FLAT TOP MOUNTAIN 14.7" IN BUNCOMBE COUNTY 

the 4 inches of snow thursday was a record snow for the date. the previous record was a trace set in 1989. this will go down as the 2nd snowiest april day in asheville history. the slow movement of the cut off upper low allowed a considerable amount of moisture inflow from the atlantic to enter the mountains. with the cold air aloft in place we saw heavy snow and at times thundersnow around midday. snowfall rates exceeded 1-4 inches per hour at times in some spots during the afternoon. as warmer air entrained into the system, snow became mixed with rain this evening. with 1.49 inches of water equivalent, this was a record for the date and the first time since january 2, 1999 that we had a record daily snow and record daily precipitation set. the last time it happened in april was april 12, 1988.
models of choice: ruc/eta flood watch tonight and thursday. light to moderate to sometimes heavy rain was developing in the piedmont and getting into the foothills this evening. the activity was moving north-northwest and should effect the northern tier of the area for tonight. scattered showers here but as daybreak approaches, rain chances will increase as the upper low moves to our south and we get right into the strong lift and dynamics associated. so the rain area should fill in south. temperatures tonight will be steady in the low 40s. so the potential is there for heavy rain with the strong lift from the upper level system combined with a good, deep feed of moisture from the east off the atlantic. helping matters will be a low forming off the carolina coast that should pivot inland during the day. so expect heavy rain, cold and breezy through the early afternoon. winter storm watch for tomorrow afternoon through friday morning. some areas especially at 4 and 5,000 feet will start seeing snow by tomorrow morning. as the cold air moves east wrapping around the upper low, those snow levels will lower through the day. now with heavier falls of precipitation, that'll help drive the colder air aloft down to the surface and dynamically cool the atmosphere. so by afternoon, expect rain changing to a rain/snow mix and then to snow by evening in the asheville area. this is more likely from the city on north and westward. precipitation will be heavy at times, especially tomorrow evening. that will be the best time for accumulating snows here in asheville. heavy snow all day long in the higher elevations. temperatures will be dropping in the afternoon into the mid 30s as the cold air aloft comes down in. the wind will have a bite to it out of the north and northeast between 10 and 20 mph. so for thursday night, plan on rain and snow showers across the area. again, mainly all snow from asheville north. looking at accumulations of snow here in the city of up to 4 inches at this time with locally higher and lower amounts depending on where the heavy snow band sets up. higher elevations, expecting 6 to 12 to perhaps more than that inches. and remember with warm ground and temperatures that should remain above freezing, snow that does stick will likely do that in heavy snow bursts but once that stops, the snow will likely melt. roads could be treacherous in the higher elevations but only temporarily so here in asheville. temperatures will hold steady or rise through the mid 30s. friday morning, the chance for rain or snow showers exists, especially north and east as the upper low and surface low should start moving northeast. could end the snow as some light rain here as warm air advects in behind the upper low. still mostly cloudy all day with temperatures struggling to make 50 and there could be a shower in the afternoon. all this mess moves out and the weekend appears to be nice with partly cloudy skies and highs back into the 60s and 70s. but for thursday, best time for snow into asheville looks to be during the afternoon, especially late and then during the evening hours. stay tuned here for updates on possible warnings as they become available.
METAR KAVL 101454Z 34012KT 2SM +RA BR BKN011 BKN016 OVC021 04/03 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP065 P0020 60030 T00390028 58009
SPECI KAVL 101501Z 35010KT 2SM +RA BR BKN006 BKN010 OVC016 03/02 A2972 RMK AO2 P0005
SPECI KAVL 101517Z 36008KT 1SM SN BKN006 OVC012 01/01 A2974 RMK AO2 RAE10SNB10 P0015
SPECI KAVL 101546Z 33007KT 1/2SM +TSSN BKN006 OVC012 00/00 A2973 RMK AO2 TSB40RAE10SNB10 P0028
METAR KAVL 101554Z 34008KT 1/2SM +TSSN BKN006 OVC012 00/00 A2973 RMK AO2 TSB40RAE10SNB10 SLP072 P0031 T00000000
SPECI KAVL 101628Z 35006KT 1/4SM +TSSN VV004 01/00 A2972 RMK AO2 P0013
METAR KAVL 101654Z 36006KT 1/4SM +TSSN VV004 01/00 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP066 P0039 T00060000
SPECI KAVL 101713Z 35008KT 3/4SM +TSSN BKN007 BKN014 OVC023 01/01 A2970
SPECI KAVL 101724Z 34009KT 3/4SM +TSSN FEW006 BKN013 OVC023 01/01 A2969 RMK AO2 P0011
SPECI KAVL 101730Z 35008KT 5SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN023 OVC028 01/01 A2969
SPECI KAVL 101738Z 35007KT 1SM -SN BR OVC024 01/01 A2969 RMK AO2 TSE30 P0011
METAR KAVL 101754Z 35008KT 2SM UP BR OVC024 01/01 A2969 RMK AO2 TSE30UPB49SNE49 SLP055 P0012 60112 T00110006 10056 20000 58011
SPECI KAVL 101801Z 34009KT 3SM -RA BR OVC024 01/01 A2968 RMK AO2 UPE1757RAB00 P0000
SPECI KAVL 101813Z 34010KT 2SM -SN BR OVC004 01/01 A2968 RMK AO2 UPE1757RAB00E07SNB07 P0000
METAR KAVL 101854Z 35009G16KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN009 OVC028 02/01 A2969 RMK AO2 UPE1757RAB00E07B50SNB07E50 SLP057 P0002 T00170011
METAR KAVL 101954Z 34011KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN022 OVC029 02/01 A2969 RMK AO2 SLP055 P0005 T00170011

march 30 snowstorm
If you were up this morning, you no doubt saw the beauty that only nature can provide in late March, a spring snowstorm. Big fat, wet snowflakes cascading from the clouds coming down at times at a pretty good clip of 1 to 2 inches per hour in some spots. Quite a widespread across the Asheville area with some spots to the south and east of the city only picking up three quarters of an inch to some picking up close to 10 inches in the far northern part of Buncombe County. What a difference a day makes. We had a high Saturday of 67 degrees, today subtract 26 degrees and we only made it to 41 degrees for the high. That's March's coldest maximum temperature this year and our coldest high temperature since February 27 when we reached 40. The low today was 32 degrees, the coldest temperature here since March 12 when we were at 29 degrees. Those two average 13 degrees below normal and marks the first time in 20 days that we had below normal temperatures. Officially at the airport, 0.57 inch of rain/sleet/snow fell today and we picked up 2 inches of snow which was a record for the date. The previous record was a trace set in 1988. This is the most snow in March since March 20, 2001 during that epic snowstorm. Again, a lot of areas especially north and west of the airport got a lot more snow than that and most of the accumulating snow happened within a relatively short window of about 4 or 5 hours this morning. So let's take a look at today's weather in the captures with this regional IR satellite capture from 6:31am and the thickest cloud shield was off to the east of the Asheville area but you notice some lower clouds right over the mountains. That was associated with some jet energy riding up and over the cold air in place. It helped produce a lot of lift and that seemingly menaceless cloud band produced prodigious snowfall totals in a very short period of time. All of this activity was well behind the cold front which passed through yesterday. You can see the upper winds in this 300mb capture from 7am, and a highly amplified, positively tilted trough existed over the Midwest. Great position with the upper winds strongest right on top of the mountains to help produce the heavy snow. Also had phasing of the two jet streams on top of us with the cold Polar branch bringing down the colder air and the Subtropical jet bringing in the moisture from the south. They lined up just right and usually behind a front, we'd dry out and clear out. Not the case with this Subtropical jet nosing in from the south. This evening in the mid and upper levels with this water vapor capture from 6:45pm, the deepest moisture connection had propogated well to the east during the day. Thus our burst of snow was shortlived this morning. We had a bit of a break around late morning/midday and into the early afternoon before a shortwave trough pushed in and you can see the little swirl in the water vapor over northern Alabama and middle Tennessee, well that helped induce more snow showers. Just take a look at this 500mb capture from 7am, and notice those temperatures in the upper levels how they quickly cool off as you get into the trough. When you see temperatures this time of the year especially down to -28 to -35 degrees C, that is ridiculous. Because temperatures at the surface were nowhere near as cold and usually aren't this time the year. The steep temperature gradient, or lapse rate, from the surface to about 18,000 feet created a lot of instability and the snow showers we saw this afternoon on radar were widely scattered and driven mainly by the temperature contrasts almost like what you'd see in the summer with afternoon thunderstorms popping up. Well it wasn't warm today so it was in the form of snow and in fact, some areas did have some thunder and lightning because the atmosphere was so unstable. Here's a depiction of the scattered nature of the snow showers in this Morristown NWS Doppler Radar capture from 7:15pm, and you see the speckly elements on the radar. That's typical when you have a cold upper low overriding relatively mild air, even though it was quite cold just not as cold aloft, at the surface. And as the sun dies down, a lot of the activity will go down in their ferocity. Under one of the snow showers or snow squalls, significant falls of snow in a short period of time would be expected. As well as a big drop in temperature as those snowflakes fall heavily and bring down that cold air to the surface. The snow showers and squalls were moving southeast from the northwest and were enhanced by the cold, moist northwest flow as you see in this 850mb capture from 7am, showing the conditions at 5,000 feet. It was a cold day, but the coldest of air still was to the west. So continued cold air advection allowed our precipitation to stay snow all day. A bit of a front at this level in connection with an 850 low helped enhance snowfall this morning but that gradient moved east during the day. Here's a look at the weather in this surface map capture from 6pm, and the airport reported light snow with a lot of areas around the region reporting the same. Temperature was 34 degrees. Breaks of sun this afternoon warmed us up to that 41 but all that did was help destablize things and when the snow fell those temperatures quickly dropped into the 30s. Winds were quite strong today gusting as high as 33 mph out of the northwest. Even had some thundersnow in Beckley, WV, just an indication of how unstable the atmosphere was. Wet snow today due because temperatures weren't very cold. Had a lot of water content in them. As temperatures cool off this evening, the water content will lessen and the flakes have been getting smaller than the half dollar ones experienced earlier this morning. Snow that did fall this morning melted away due to warm ground and above freezing surface temperatures. In this case, the snowfall was much greater than the snow depth.
Mesoscale Climate Today
Southern Mountains: Rain started the day during the pre dawn hours, especially in valley locations. Higher elevations started with rain or a mix. Then that translated to a mix or snow while valley locations saw either rain or a mix. But as the deep cold air kept penetrating in, even into the valley the precipitation began falling as snow. A general 1-3 inches fell across the area, with less than an inch in valley spots. Little to nothing accumulated in Murphy. Light to moderate rain fell there then tapered off before some instability showers redeveloped in the afternoon and those changed to some light snow showers around 6pm. The high reached 41 degrees in Murphy after a low of 34 degrees. Temps were falling this evening.
Southern Foothills: Not much in the way of snow fell in this region with Rutherfordton not recording any through press time today. They did get a lot of rain which was heavy at times early this morning. The cold air advection finally made it into the area by late in the day as winds turned out of the northwest after sunset gusting over 20 mph in Rutherfordton. They saw a high of 55 degrees which occured just after midnight. Temperatures most of the day stayed in the 40s. The low today was 39 degrees which occured this evening as temperatures drop.
Eastern Foothills/Piedmont: The closer to the mountains, the more snow this region saw in the foothills. Although, there was snow across the area at some point during the day. Up to 2 inches of snow fell in some of the higher locales. Morganton saw some rain, sleet, and snow and it started after midnight. Precipitation types varied there throughout the morning before eventually turning to all rain by 8:45am and they haven't seen snow since. They had nearly a half inch of water equivalent, most of that falling before sunrise. In Hickory, they had close to an inch of rain today, mostly before sunrise. They too saw a rain/snow/sleet mix from 8:30am to noon off and on. Then mostly cloudy with light rain at times after that. The high reached 48 degrees in Hickory and that occured after midnight with a low of 33 degrees that occured this morning. In Morganton, the high reached 52 degrees right after midnight with a low of 34 degrees. Sleet started falling through with a temperature of 45 degrees at 12:45am.
Northern Mountains: The snowiest region of western North Carolina where snowfall totals ranged from 2 to 12 inches across the area. Jefferson was the big winner with 12 inches of snow. The day began with rain, except some mixed snow in the highest elevations and that quickly became the predominate precipitation type shortly after midnight across much of the area. The heaviest snow came in a burst between 3 and 10am. Then a break with just some light snow before the instability snow showers and snow squalls came in during the afternoon. Before the snow, both Jefferson and Boone picked up about a tenth of an inch of rain. It was quite windy in this region too with those northwest winds gusting as high as 32 mph in Boone and 33 mph in Jefferson. The high was 39 degrees in Jefferson which occured at midnight and the low went down to 31 degrees this evening. In Boone, the high reached 37 degrees at midnight with a low as the temperature at press time of 31 degrees.

heres the forecast from thursday before the sunday snow for sunday...

sunday will be quite interesting. we'll have the jet stream running south to north over western north carolina aloft. at the same time, deep cold, moist advection at the low levels out of the northwest will increase all day and combined with that a cold pool aloft associated with the upper low will move over the area and help destablize our atmosphere. the end result, mostly cloudy skies and the chance for rain showers that will mix with and change to snow as sunday afternoon rolls on. with the instabilty in place as highs reach around 50, we could see heavy falls of precipitation at times and that'll help translate even colder air down toward the surface. it'll be windy too with winds out of the northwest from 15 to 25 mph. after the sun goes down, precipitation to primarily to be snow with a strong northwest flow event setting up sunday night. very cold temperatures at 5,000 feet cutting across a great angle for snow showers into the asheville area. any chance of accumulation looks to be from the city on north and westward toward the tennessee border. due to warm ground, accumulations will be limited however in heavier snowfalls, snow will stick for a time. this will increase as the upper low moves east sunday evening. temperatures drop into the low 30s monday morning and it'll be quite windy as well. a morning snow shower monday otherwise variable clouds and temperatures into the mid 50s.

***heavy, wet snowfall in western north carolina today***
heavy snow developed around midnight in portions of the mountains, especially in higher elevations. some locations at lower elevations saw a mix of rain and snow with some sleet at times. by daybreak, most all areas in the mountains went over to snow as deep, strong cold air advection behind the cold front that moved through saturday poured in and continues moving in. at the same time, we had warm, moist air is overriding the layer and providing the heavy, wet snow across the area. here are local snowfall totals through 10am courtesy of the national weather service:

AVERY COUNTY...3 TO 4 INCHES WITH ROADS SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

MITCHELL...BAKERSVILLE 2 1/2 INCHES.  COOP OBSERVER AT SPRUCE PINE 
REPORTED 4 INCHES.

YANCEY...2 TO 3 INCHES IN BURNSVILLE WITH 4 INCHES SOUTH END OF 
COUNTY.

MADISON...5 INCHES FROM SPOTTER AT PETERSBURG.  7 INCHES AT SPRING 
CREEK.  5 INCHES AT MARSHALL AND MARS HILL.

SWAIN...BRYSON CITY 1 INCH.  OCONALUFTEE STATION 3 INCHES.

GRAHAM...2 INCHES AT ROBBINSVILLE AND MELTING.  NO SNOW ACCUMULATED 
AT FONTANA.

HAYWOOD...7 INCHES AT WAYNESVILLE.

JACKSON...2 TO 3 INCHES AT SYLVA AND CASHIERS.  6 INCHES BALSAM.

MACON...1 1/2 INCH FRANKLIN.  2 TO 3 INCHES HIGHLANDS.  4 INCHES 
SOUTH OF FRANKLIN.

BUNCOMBE...ASHEVILLE 1 1/2 INCH.  WEAVERVILLE 8 INCHES.  BLACK 
MOUNTAIN 0.

HENDERSON COUNTY...1 TO 2 INCHES ON GRASSY SURFACES.

TRANSYLVANIA...1 TO 2 INCHES ON GRASSY SURFACES.

BURKE COUNTY...2 INCHES AT JONAS RIDGE.

RABUN COUNTY GEORGIA...AN INCH OF SNOW IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

A TRACE OF SNOW WAS REPORTED FROM GLASSY MOUNTAIN IN GREENVILLE 
COUNTY SOUTH CAROLINA...AROUND SALUDA NORTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH OF 
HIGHWAY 11 IN PICKENS COUNTY SOUTH CAROLINA.


the 2 inches at the asheville airport was a record snowfall for the date. although around the asheville area, snowfall totals ranged from 1.5 to 10 inches, basically from north to south and heavier west. snow was melting due to conduction from the ground below and warming surface temperatures above freezing. scattered snow showers are expected to last through the day as an upper level trough is moving in, increasing instability and with any sunshine, the possibility exists for there to be some scattered thundersnow showers that could drop locally heavy snow totals. in heavier snow bursts, snow could cause travel problems for a brief time although that is more likely in the higher elevations. over much of the area, this snow should collect only on grassy and cold surfaces. watch those bridges and overpasses. this evening, snow showers courtesy of a moist, cold northwest flow should commence mainly from the city of asheville on north and west toward the tennessee border allowing for possibly light accumulations especially away from asheville.

METAR KAVL 300854Z AUTO 33019KT 7SM RA BKN043 OVC050 02/01 A2991 RMK AO2 PK WND 33026/0830 SLP126 P0005 60034 T00170006 58032
METAR KAVL 300954Z AUTO 33023G28KT 10SM UP BKN047 OVC060 02/00 A2986 RMK AO2 PK WND 33031/0934 RAE25UPB42 SLP108 P0002 T00170000
SPECI KAVL 301045Z AUTO 32017G28KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR SCT012 OVC045 01/M01 A2992 RMK AO2 PK WND 33030/1002 UPE11RAB03E35SNB35 P0002
METAR KAVL 301054Z AUTO 33018G23KT 1SM -SN BR BKN010 OVC045 01/M01 A2991 RMK AO2 PK WND 33030/1002 UPE11RAB03E35SNB35 SLP129 P0003 T00061006
SPECI KAVL 301101Z AUTO 33018KT 3/4SM -SN BR BKN008 BKN015 OVC045 00/M01 A2992 RMK AO2 P0000
METAR KAVL 301154Z 32014KT 3/4SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC012 00/M01 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP147 P0005 60044 70053 T00001006 10033 20000 53014
SPECI KAVL 301158Z 32015KT 1/4SM +SN FG VV004 00/M01 A2996 RMK AO2 P0000
SPECI KAVL 301214Z 32014KT 1/2SM SN FG VV005 00/M01 A2996 RMK AO2 P0002
METAR KAVL 301254Z 33015KT 1/2SM SN FG BKN007 OVC015 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP143 P0004 T00001006
SPECI KAVL 301312Z 33012KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR SCT009 OVC015 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 P0000
SPECI KAVL 301329Z 33012G20KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT007 OVC015 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 P0001
SPECI KAVL 301340Z 32014G20KT 1/2SM SN FG BKN007 OVC015 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 P0001
METAR KAVL 301354Z 33015G20KT 1/2SM SN FG BKN007 OVC013 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP140 P0001 T00001006
SPECI KAVL 301410Z 32014G19KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC009 00/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 P0000
SPECI KAVL 301417Z 32016G23KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN009 OVC016 01/M01 A2995 RMK AO2 P0000
SPECI KAVL 301420Z 33012G23KT 2SM -SN BR OVC011 01/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 P0001
METAR KAVL 301454Z 33012KT 4SM -SN BR BKN009 OVC020 01/M01 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP147 P0001 60006 T00061011 55001
METAR KAVL 301554Z 34015G22KT 10SM OVC065 02/M01 A2996 RMK AO2 SNE11 SLP148 P0000 T00171011
METAR KAVL 301654Z 33021G29KT 10SM SCT022 BKN060 BKN080 03/M01 A2995 RMK AO2 PK WND 32029/1649 SLP145 T00331006
METAR KAVL 301754Z 35014G20KT 10SM SCT017 BKN033 OVC039 04/00 A2995 RMK AO2 PK WND 33027/1656 SLP145 60006 T00390000 10039 20000 58002
SPECI KAVL 301805Z 33021G25KT 10SM SCT017 BKN023 BKN041 04/01 A2995 RMK AO2
METAR KAVL 301854Z 34016KT 10SM SCT021 BKN028 OVC050 03/M01 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP146 T00331011
METAR KAVL 301954Z 35013G19KT 10SM BKN021 BKN047 OVC055 03/M02 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP144 T00331022
SPECI KAVL 302001Z 34013KT 10SM FEW028 OVC038 03/M03 A2994 RMK AO2
SPECI KAVL 302008Z AUTO 33015KT 7SM BKN028 OVC038 03/M02 A2994 RMK AO2 TSNO
METAR KAVL 302054Z 34008KT 6SM -SN BKN024 BKN033 OVC049 03/M01 A2994 RMK AO2 SNB51 SLP144 P0000 60000 T00281011 58003
METAR KAVL 302154Z 34015G19KT 9SM BKN031 BKN047 OVC065 03/M03 A2994 RMK AO2 SNE52 SLP145 P0000 T00331028
METAR KAVL 302254Z 34016G25KT 5SM -SN FEW015 BKN042 OVC070 01/M02 A2997 RMK AO2 SNB41 SLP156 P0000 T00111017
METAR KAVL 302354Z 34009KT 3SM -SN FEW035 SCT043 BKN080 01/M02 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP165 P0000 60000 T00061022 10050 20006 53017
SPECI KAVL 310012Z 33011G18KT 2SM -SN BR SCT008 BKN040 BKN050 00/M01 A3000 RMK AO2 P0000
SPECI KAVL 310030Z 33010KT 9SM FEW014 BKN050 OVC080 01/M02 A3001 RMK AO2 SNE28 P0000
METAR KAVL 310054Z 34015G24KT 8SM -SN SCT043 OVC060 00/M03 A3003 RMK AO2 SNE28B47 SLP178 P0000 T00001028

the president's day weekend storm of 2003 made its impact here in western north carolina. here's some of the area reports from the national weather service from how the ice impacted the area from asheville on eastward:

BUNCOMBE COUNTY...ICY ROADS...MAINLY BRIDGES AND ON TREES WITH FEW 
TREES DOWN REPORTED.

HENDERSON AND POLK COUNTIES...FEW ACCIDENTS REPORTED EARLIER...SLICK ROADS 
AND BRIDGES.

TRANSYLVANIA...ICE ON TREES WITH TREE DOWN IN BREVARD.  SLICK ROADS.

NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...
YANCEY...MITCHELL...AND AVERY COUNTY...
ROADS COVERED WITH HALF TO ONE INCH OF ICE.  NO SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS 
DUE TO TREES OR POWERLINES.

NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS...INCLUDING
ALEXANDER...CATAWBA...CALDWELL...BURKE...LINCOLN...MCDOWELL... 
RUTHERFORD...AND GASTON COUNTY...
SLICK TO TREACHEROUS ROADS WITH 3/4 TO ONE INCH OF SLEET AND ICE ON 
ROADS.  NO PROBLEMS REPORTED DUE TO TREES OR POWERLINES. 

PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING 
IREDELL...DAVIE...ROWAN...CABARRUS...MECKLENBURG...AND UNION COUNTY.
ICY ROADS WITH ACCUMULATION OF SLEET AND ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN.  
MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL.  

NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...
ASHE COUNTY...1/2 INCH OF SLEET IN JEFFERSON
ALLEGENY COUNTY...UP TO 5 INCHES OF SLEET
WATAGUA COUNTY...1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF SLEET IN BOONE

february 6-7 snowstorm

this was a quite a winter storm for the month of february. this is the most snow we've seen in at least 10 years in the month of february and based on daily records the most snow we've seen in the month of february since february 10, 1983. on thursday, officially asheville airport picked up 3.5 inches. and in the early hours on friday, we added 2 inches more which was a record for the date and brought a storm total snowfall in asheville of 5.5 inches which is the most snow from a total storm since march 2001. here's some of the snowfall totals through the end of the event courtesy of the NWS:

MCDOWELL COUNTY...AT LEAST 4 INCHES ACCUMULATION IN MARION.

BURKE COUNTY...SEVERAL REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL AROUND 
MORGANTON.

CALDWELL COUNTY...4 INCHES ACCUMULATION IN LENOIR.

DAVIE COUNTY...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL...HEAVIEST IN THE WEST AND 
NORTH.

ROWAN COUNTY...JUST RAIN WITH SOME SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS IN THE 
NORTHWESTERN PART.

CATAWBA COUNTY...NOT MUCH ACCUMULATION GENERALLY.

ALEXANDER COUNTY...4 TO 5 INCHES ACCUMULATION.

IREDELL COUNTY...ROADS SLICK NORTHERN SECTIONS.

RUTHERFORD AND POLK COUNTIES...SOME SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS.

SWAIN COUNTY...AT LEAST 6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL.

GRAHAM COUNTY...5 INCHES ACCUMULATION REPORTED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

MACON COUNTY...5 TO 6 INCHES REPORTED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

JACKSON COUNTY...4 TO 6 INCHES.

TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY...4 TO 5 INCHES BREVARD...6 TO 8 INCHES LAKE 
TOXAWAY.

HAYWOOD COUNTY...AROUND 6 INCHES WAYNESVILLE.

HENDERSON COUNTY...4 TO 5 INCHES.

BUNCOMBE COUNTY...3 TO 4 INCHES...WITH SOME REPORTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES 
IN THE COUNTY.

MADISON COUNTY...4 TO 5 INCHES IN MARSHALL.

YANCEY COUNTY...3 TO 8 INCHES AROUND THE COUNTY. 6 INCHES 
AVERAGE...STILL SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

MITCHELL COUNTY...4 TO 5 INCHES BAKERSVILLE WITH 7 TO 8 INCHES NORTH 
END.

AVERY COUNTY...4 TO 6 INCHES NEWLAND AREA...7 TO 8 INCHS IN NEWLAND

Now here's my forecast discussion from Wednesday evening and the philosophy behind it was the same since Sunday with me saying all snow throughout...
even more chaos tonight with the forecast models. interestingly enough, the only model to catch the precipitation that's ongoing this evening over the south central area was the avn but i don't think even that one showed it happening at this time from yesterdays model runs. so the models are all over the place, my forecast is a blend of some of their details plus mainly some nowcasting and intuition. what that tells me is that snow is a liklihood tomorrow. unless all of the precipitation just evaporates, its going to snow across all of the area at some point on thursday. starting tonight. we have high and mid level clouds streaming over the area in a fast jet stream flow that is also helping to strengthen the surface high that is propogating slowly east. the dry, cold air already firmly entrenched as temperatures have dropped rapidly after sunset. in fact, we'll go down to the low 20s by sunrise tomorrow and it should stay dry through sunrise thursday. there will be radar echos, in fact they were as close as northern georgia this evening but what was reaching the ground was as close as central mississippi. with virga occuring on thursday as the extremely dry air will take some time to moisten, don't expect snowflakes to fall in the asheville area till about the noon hour. when they fall, it should be light initially and then increase as the day goes on. so snow develops, staying cold too with temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s during the day. not a real organized surface low in the gulf in this whole event, this is mainly some overruning moisture from the gulf coming northward into a dry, cold wedge of air courtesy of that high pressure system to the north. thursday night, snow continues. could be mixed with sleet at times here in asheville and more likely some sleet and snow south of interstate 40. transition zone between rain and snow will be over the southern mountains but creeping its way north through the night. mainly keeping it a frozen precip event for areas from the city of asheville on north through the system. this is a very marginal situation though. temperatures hold in the low 30s. we're looking at snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches here in the asheville area. less amounts the further south you go when im expecting snow mixing with rain as a bit of warm air encroaches from the south, though the thing about that is, we're not talking about a well developed storm system and with the dominate surface high, the cold, dry air at the surface will keep getting replenished. so that rain/snow mix scenario doesn't appear likely for asheville but again its a marginal event. the snow and possibly sleet taper off toward daybreak friday but the clouds remain as moisture is still trapped at low levels. cold air advection comes on the heels of the storm which should start wrapping up off the north carolina coast into a good surface low pressure area. strong jet dynamics though also will be a key. you know, one can make the argument that with such a strong jet over top of us, that will enhance the lift and bring even more precipitation. we'll have to wait and see how that plays out but during the afternoon, a strongly positive tilt upper trough approaches from the west and with the cold, moist air in place, we introduce the chance for snow, mainly coming in the form of snow showers by the afternoon on friday with temperatures staying in the low to mid 30s. it'll turn windy too. we dry out for saturday and sunday but stay cold with highs only around 40. then await another quick moving cold front from the northwest with a chance for some northwest flow snow showers sunday night into monday. so its going to be interesting how the next 24-36 hours plays out here in asheville and i'll have updates on any possible winter advisories as they become available.

january 23 snow event

12 inches in Morganton
9 inches in Mount Mitchell
9 inches in Shelby
8 inches in Beech Mountain
7-8 inches in southern McDowell County
7-8 inches in eastern Rutherford County
7.3 inches in Sparta
7 inches in Avery County
6 inches in Marion
5.5 inches in Lenoir
6 inches in Boone
5 inches in Newland
4 inches in Jefferson
3 iinches in Marshall
3 inches in Bakersville
3 inches in Flat Top Mountain
2-3 inches in Burnsville
2-3 inches in Graham County
2 inches in Waynesville
2 inches in Spruce Pine
1-2 inches in Asheville
1.5 inches in eastern Henderson County
1.5 inches in Marshall
1 inch in Hendersonville
1 inch in Brevard
0.5-2 inches in Cherokee County
Dusting-1 inch in Clay County

january 16 snow event

COUNTY REPORT ALEXANDER 2 INCHES IN TAYLORSVILLE AVERY 3 TO 4 INCHES AT BANNER ELK 3 TO 4 INCHES AT NEWLAND BUNCOMBE 4 INCHES ON FLAT TOP MOUNTAIN NEAR SWANNANOA 3.2 INCHES AT THE ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT 3 INCHES IN DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE BURKE 4.25 INCHES IN MORGANTON 4 INCHES 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON CABARRUS 2 INCHES IN CONCORD CALDWELL 4 INCHES IN LENOIR 3 INCHES IN GRANITE FALLS CATAWBA 2.5 TO 3 INCHES NEAR HICKORY 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HICKORY AIRPORT CLEVELAND 1.75 INCHES IN BOILING SPRINGS 0.50 INCHES IN SHELBY DAVIE 3 INCHES IN NORTHWEST PART OF COUNTY NEAR IREDELL COUNTY LINE 1.75 INCHES WEST OF MOCKSVILLE IN TURKEY FOOT AREA GASTON 1.5 INCHES IN CHERRYVILLE 0.5 INCHES IN DALLAS GRAHAM 4 TO 6 INCHES AT ROBBINSVILLE HENDERSON 3 INCHES AT HENDERSONVILLE HAYWOOD 3 TO 4 INCHES IN WAYNESVILLE IREDELL 1 INCH AT STATESVILLE JACKSON 3 INCHES IN CULLOWHEE 2 TO 3 INCHES AT SYLVA AND CASHIERS LINCOLN 0.5 TO 1 INCH AT LINCOLNTON NEARLY 3 INCHES WESTERN END TO DUSTING EASTERN END MACON 3 TO 4 INCHES COUNTYWIDE MADISON 3 INCHES AT HOT SPRINGS 2 INCHES 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSHALL 1.5 INCHES IN MARSHALL MCDOWELL 2.5 INCHES AT MARION MECKLENBURG 1 INCH AT CHARLOTTE/DOUGLAS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT A SNOW AND RAIN MIX AT PINEVILLE MITCHELL 3 INCHES IN SPRUCE PINE POLK 2 INCHES JUST SOUTH OF TRYON ROWAN 2 INCHES IN SALISBURY RUTHERFORD 1.5 TO 2 INCHES AT FOREST CITY SWAIN 3 TO 4 INCHES COUNTYWIDE TRANSYLVANIA 5 TO 6 INCHES AT BALSAM GROVE 3 TO 4 INCHES AT BREVARD UNION 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN MONROE AND INDIAN TRAIL YANCEY 2.5 TO 3 INCHES IN BURNSVILLE

courtesy of the national weather service office in greenville/spartanburg

weathertorial: 2002-03 winter forecast

The buzz word of the winter, El Nino, returned this spring so what kind of implications does it have on the winter in Western North Carolina? To understand that is to understand what El Nino is. It's a phenomena out in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean where sea surface temperatures have a warm anomaly. The opposite to that is La Nina, the pattern we were in the last few winters. With that, we saw warmer than normal winters with a continuing of the drought and drier than normal winters. So that means with El Nino we're going to change, right? As you may know, the last El Nino occured during the winter of 1997-98 and was the strongest on record. Some notable events that happened in Asheville that winter were the following:

Below normal temperatures in December
Much above normal snowfall in December
Slightly below normal precipitation in December
Much above normal temperatures in January
A record precipitation for the month of January including the most precipitation in one day for the month record
Much above normal snowfall in January with one storm bringing 11.9 inches in a day.
Above normal temperatures in February
Above normal precipitation in February
Much below normal snowfall in Feburary.

Weather patterns in the Southeast during El Nino usually consists of a strong subtropical jet running across the South, with a strong polar jet staying bottled up in Canada. With the subtropical jet, you bring in more storms from the Southwest U.S. into the region which implies more precipitation. With infrequent shots of cold air due to less of an influence of the Polar jet, temperatures don't get too cold too often. And that was the case in 1997-98...but that was the strongest El Nino on record. This year's El Nino is suppose to peak in the moderate category and weak to moderate El Nino's bring multifaceted types of weather to Asheville. It's best to use an analog before making a forecast to the conditions that have been occuring in years past with a similar pattern. Similiar El Nino's to the one we're experiencing now occured in 1994-95, 1986-87, and 1968-69. Some notable stats from 1968-69:

A maximum snow depth of 15 inches which is a record for the month of February.
The all time record for snow in the month of November with 9.6 inches and the all time record for snow in any month occuring in February with 25.5 inches.
A maximum 24 hour snowfall for the month of November of 5.7 inches and in the month of February with 11.7 inches.

That 1968-69 winter suggests to me that we had incredible phasing of the subtropical and polar jet streams which occured early and during the middle of winter to bring us probably our snowiest winter ever. And that was a weak El Nino. So let's take a look at some highlights from 1986-87:

The highest temperature ever recorded in October was set with 86 degrees.
Set the snowfall record for the month of April and the record 24 hour snow for the month with 11.5 inches.
Set the snow depth record for the month of April with 12 inches.
The lowest temperature ever recorded in April was set with 22 degrees.

A late heavy snow for that winter after probably a warm beginning. The winter of 1994-95 did not offer any real extremes but featured the shortest amount of freezing days with a long streak of freezing or below freezing days in February. Here's some normals for Asheville during the winter (December-January-February)

5.1 days with highs below 32 degrees
65.4 days with lows below 32 degrees
0.6 day with lows below 0 degrees
10.68 inches of precipitation
12.2 inches of snow
3.4 days with snow 1 inch or more
A daily average high of 48.9 degrees
A daily average low of 26.9 degrees.

So the forecast! Well, this El Nino which is not forecasted to be strong has given a rather bland forecast for us from the Climate Prediction Center. They're saying near normal temperatures, with above normal temperatures over the Great Lakes, and near normal precipitation, with above normal precipitation from the Southeast into the Deep South and below normal precipitation just across the border in Tennessee and into the Midwest. I believe that our El Nino will be a modified version of 1968-69. The pattern as we enter meteorological winter is very similiar to those El Nino years that I presented with a digging trough bringing cold air south into our region and an unphased subtropical jet stream. I would go on to say that the cold will continue funneling down in December so I'll call for a below normal temperature scheme in December with below normal precipitation as that subtropical jet, will stay to our south and it'll be hard for those systems to the north to draw in any moisture. Now, as January comes I see things changing. The cold will retreat some to the north. Not to say that it won't get cold, but the Polar branch will retreat north and as a feedback to the maximum of the El Nino effect now, storm systems will start breaking down the ridge in the west and affect California drawing up the subtropical jet stream and bringing a return to slightly above normal precipitation with near normal temperatures. I see the subtropical jet stream continuing to play a role as those Equatorial Pacific waters cool so I'll continue that slightly above normal precipitation here with near to slightly above normal temperatures. And as a feedback to the cooling waters, I believe that subtropical jet will relax in February but it'll still be unsettled in the Southeast. Near to above normal precipitation with more shots of cold air as the strong Polar jet responds to the teleconnections so below normal temperatures which would lead to me saying that this winter will be slightly wetter than normal with near to slightly below normal temperatures. I'll say above normal snowfall as well as systems in the northern stream will be strong early on, with more Gulf storms as we enter January and later on in the winter.

western nc effects: first nor'easter of the season

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1010 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2002


THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF STORM-TOTAL RAINFALL FROM MONDAY EVENING 
OCTOBER 14 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OCTOBER 16 ACROSS THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. 

NORTH CAROLINA

...MOUNTAINS

MOUNT MITCHELL...................2.74
BREVARD..........................2.65
LAKE TOXAWAY.....................2.88
ROSMAN...........................2.59
FLAT TOP MOUNTAIN................2.40
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT.......2.15
BLACK MOUNTAIN...................2.10
BEECH MOUNTAIN...................1.63
CULLOWHEE........................1.06
GUION FARMS......................2.92
HENDERSONVILLE...................2.30
SPRUCE PINE......................2.61
TUXEDO HYDRO.....................4.00

...FOOTHILLS

TRYON............................4.67
COLUMBUS.........................3.83
HICKORY AIRPORT..................3.09
OLD FORT.........................2.71
MORGANTON........................2.19
FOREST CITY......................3.17
LENOIR...........................1.99
PATTERSON........................2.62

wnc rainfall totals: remenants of isidore

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 PM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

...RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE...

THE FOLLOWING IS A LIST OF STORM-TOTAL RAINFALL FROM WEDNESDAY 
SEPTEMBER 25 THROUGH FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 27 ACROSS THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. 

NORTH CAROLINA

...MOUNTAINS

SPRUCE PINE....................5.02 INCHES
BREVARD........................4.56
EAST FLAT ROCK.................4.08
GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN...........3.99
BLACK MOUNTAIN.................3.20
MOUNT MITCHELL.................2.78
FLAT TOP MOUNTAIN..............2.72
CULLOWHEE......................2.16
ROBBINSVILLE...................2.01
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT.....1.98
MARSHALL.......................1.22

...FOOTHILLS

PATTERSON......................4.71
OLD FORT.......................4.50
MORGANTON......................3.29
TRYON..........................2.92
BRIDGEWATER....................2.91
FOREST CITY....................2.90
RHODISS........................2.76
HICKORY........................2.51


From the last poll
What's The Most Important Thing For A TV Weather Personality?

33% Competent Storm Coverage
33% Engaging, Fun Personality
22$ Accurate Forecasts
11% Looking Good

Plus these comments: To be Marcus and you the man


storm totals from hanna: western north carolina

The remenants of Hanna brought us much needed rain yet it made a bigger dent in the drought to our neighbors in the Upstate of SC. Still any rain is needed and as usual, the distribution of rain varied greatly across the mountains. Everyone got over an inch of rain but some got nearly 5 inches! Here's some storm-total rainfall amounts from western North Carolina from Friday through Sunday compliments of the National Weather Service Office in Greenville/Spartanburg:

ASHEVILLE (DOWNTOWN)............1.61 (BUNCOMBE)
ASHEVILLE.......................1.76 (BUNCOMBE)
ASHEVILLE 5 SW..................2.60 (BUNCOMBE)
ASHEVILLE AIRPORT 3 W...........3.08 (HENDERSON)
ASHEVILLE AIRPORT 3 SE..........2.94 (HENDERSON)
BAT CAVE........................1.76 (HENDERSON)
NEWLAND.........................1.96 (AVERY)
BLANTYRE........................1.68 (TRANSYLVANIA)
BLACK MTN GAP...................1.92 (BUNCOMBE)
BREVARD.........................2.31 (TRANSYLVANIA)
CANDLER.........................1.34 (BUNCOMBE)
COLUMBUS 2 NE...................3.09 (POLK)
CONNESTEE FALLS.................2.76 (TRANSYLVANIA) 
EAST FLAT ROCK..................4.20 (HENDERSON)
FAIRVIEW........................1.75 (BUNCOMBE)
FLETCHER........................2.25 (BUNCOMBE)
FOREST CITY.....................2.66 (RUTHERFORD)
HENDERSONVILLE 4 SW.............3.25 (HENDERSON)
HIGHLANDS.......................3.98 (MACON)
LAKE LURE.......................2.55 (RUTHERFORD)
LAKE TOXAWAY....................4.30 (TRANSYLVANIA)
LINCOLNTON 2 E..................2.50 (LINCOLN)
MORGANTON.......................2.96 (BURKE)
RAMSEY..........................2.50 (BURKE)
ROSMAN..........................2.82 (TRANSYLVANIA)
TRYON...........................2.91 (POLK)
SHELBY..........................2.37 (CLEVELAND)
SE POLK COUNTY..................4.70 (POLK)
RUTHERFORDTON 13 NE.............2.29 (RUTHERFORD)
WEAVERVILLE 3 ESE...............1.12 (BUNCOMBE)
WEBSTER.........................1.50 (JACKSON)
WHITE OAK MOUNTAIN..............3.75 (POLK)
WOODFIN.........................1.29 (BUNCOMBE)

From Our Last Poll
Who Do You Turn To For Asheville Weather?

38% John Cessarich of WYFF-TV Greenville
24% Jack Roper of WSPA-TV Spartanburg
22% Marcus Smith of Asheville Weather Report
10% Mike Bettes of WLOS-TV Asheville
4% Mike Harvey of WHNS-TV Greenville

Sad but true, those polled don't overwhelmingly pick me as their choice for Asheville Weather. Awwwww, I'll get over it :) Anyway, Cessarich wins and he certainly is not a bad choice at all. I admit, I watch him too but I watch them all just to see what they're take is on the weather in the Carolinas. He certainly is one of the best in the Southeast and has Emmy's to prove that. Jack Roper was to be ousted from Newschannel 7 but saved his job to stay on to do the news on that station and contribute to the news on WASV. He's not a meteorologist unlike Bettes and Cessarich but he's certainly a fan favorite. Extra kudos to him because not only does he have the Upstate forecast but also the mountain forecast. Me, well you know me. I'm not on TV yet but in over a year look out. I try my best with the weather here but it's certainly quite the challenge. More so than Atlanta where I am from. Mike Bettes on 'LOS admits that he doesn't know the weather in Asheville that well and you voters have spoken with just 10% of the vote for him. But he's not awful and I must say, he has some of the best graphics in local TV weather considering the company that owns the station has been having financial problems as of late. Finally, Mike Harvey at FOX 21 picks up the rear. I'm not too fond of his on air delivery but he seems to know his stuff at least for the upstate. But given the choice of all those above, people seem to look for Asheville, NC weather in Greenville, SC.


A Previous Poll...
La Nina's Over So How Will Asheville's Winter Compare To Last Year?

47% Colder With More Wintry Precip
22% Warmer And Drier
20% Colder And Drier
8% Warmer And More Rain

Surprise! La Nina wasn't totally over this winter. It made a return appearance in January. Not as strong has previous years, but still it came back and dramatically changed winter in Asheville. First let me define winter as far as meteorological terms. Meteorological winter runs from December 1 to February 28. So if you follow me, March 1 begins meteorological spring and runs three months. It's a better approximation of seasonal aspects of weather over a location than the astronomical seasons. Anyway, interesting results. While 47% said it would be colder with more wintry precip than last winter, the second highest was 22% calling for it to be warmer and drier than winter 1999-00 in Asheville. We've been in a drought since May 1998, the latter is probably not a bad guess. Ah but I have the results!

December 2000 was one of the coldest Decembers ever in the United States. We felt the chill here in Asheville! The average temperature in December of 2000 was 32.5 degrees F, it was just 0.9 degree warmer than the coldest December ever which was set in 1987. Just 4 days in December 2000 had lows above 32 degrees and there were 4 days where the high was 32 degrees or below. The coldest temperature was 9 degrees on December 20! Quite a difference from December 1999 when the average temperature was 41.9 degrees F. In January, the longwave pattern changed and the Asheville/Western North Carolina area thawed out. But there were cold moments. And for the month, it finished a tad warmer than January 2000. If you remember that month, we started it off warm but temps crashed the middle and end of the month. The average temperature in January 2001 was 36.7 degrees F compared with 36.0 degrees F in January 2000. La Nina made it's return in January 2K1 and kept it's influence on Asheville's temperatures in the month of February 2001. The average temperature in February 2001 was 44.5 degrees F compared to February 2000's average temperature at 43.3 degrees F

So the bottom line, which winter was cooler, Winter 1999-00 or Winter 2000-01? With an average temperature of 37.9 degrees F in the winter of 2000-01 and an average temperature of 40.4 degrees F, winter 2000-01 was colder than winter 1999-00!

Now on to the precipitation. It's been quite dry since 1998 but was it more dry this winter than last? Let's see...

It was quite cold in December 2000 and we could have capitalized on that cold weather with more precipitation. That wasn't really the case. 2.37 inches of precipitation in December 2000 which was 1.15 inches below normal for the month. It was even drier in December 1999 with just 1.98 inches of precipitation. As far as snowfall, 6.1 inches of snow in December 2000 compared with just a trace of snow in December 1999. January is usually the snowiest month in Asheville. It didn't pan out that way in 2001 but did in 2000. Snowfall in January 2001 was at just a trace of snow with more snow in January 2000 with 6.2 inches of snow. More snow and more precipitation but still below normal in January 2000. 3.10 inches of precip but in January 2001 just 2.63 inches of precip. The monsoons didn't come in February of either year. February of 2000 came in with 2.33 inches of precip and 2.73 inches of precip in February 2001. As far as wintry precipitation, 0.8 inch of snow in February 2001 with a trace of snow in February 2000.

While neither season will break precipitation records, at least not most precipitation, one of them will have more precip than the other. The results: 7.41 inches of precipitation in the winter of 1999-00, 7.73 inches of precipitation in the winter of 2000-01, this winter was wetter than last winter! How about snowfall. 6.9 inches of snow in the winter of 2000-01 with just 6.2 inches of snow in the winter of 1999-00. The winter of 2000-01 was snowier than the winter of 1999-00!

So if you said that this winter would be colder with more wintry precipitation, you're correct! Here's some of your comments from the poll...

"Snow and cold, the way it should be in the mountains."
Exactly and this winter was snowier and colder than last. Still though, we finished below normal on snowfall. Normal seasonal snowfall in Asheville is 11.2 inches.

"With the mention of snow already in November looks like a nasty winter ahead."
You know, we had 2 inches of snow in the month of November. It was well above normal snowfall for the month and one of the earliest measureable snows in many years. November and December were the coldest months on record in the U.S. and we were colder than normal in both months.

First Day Of Spring Blizzard 2001

Previous Poll


Question: Where Do You Go To Get Away From Asheville?
44% Stay In Asheville
33% Myrtle Beach
11% Cherokee
11% Blue Ridge Parkway

Why leave Asheville! I agree with the 44% who stay here. A beautiful city surrounded by the mountains. Very safe, very liberal. I'm from Atlanta, coming up here to go to school is a nice change of pace from the hustle and bustle of suburban life! And if you don't like progress, Asheville is the place for you. Not my cup of tea but ya know, we can't like everything.

Weather In Asheville

Asheville is located on both banks of the French Broad River, near the center of the French Broad Basin. It is flanked by mountain ridges to the east and west whose peaks range from 2,000 to 4,400 feet above the valley floor. Asheville has a temperate but invigorating climate. The temperature can vary considerably from day to day, particularly in summer. The valley's orientation results in a year-round prevailing wind from the northwest. The mountains cause precipitation to be spread unevenly. These conditions cause floods on the French Broad River at rougly 12-year intervals.

inside weather