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The American Worry on Nigeria

Howard Jeter, out-going American Ambassador to Nigeria must have struck popular chord when he trod on a vexed issue: American worry on Nigeria. As we sat on the same table to devour the food and drinks provided by organisers of Leon Sullivan Summit at a reception at the Sheraton Hotel and Towers, Abuja, Jeter appeared ensnared in his great worry even as he acknowledged cheers from the guests. At a recent parley with media executives, Jeter had conveyed the widely held deep disappointment back home in America. Why Nigeria, the big giant of Africa, has refused to rise up and live up to its billing in spite of the human and material resources that abound almost everywhere you turn

in the country is still an enigma. This remains a sore point to be resolved even by her citizens, many groaning from the weight of a poorly managed economy, abrasive corruption, collapse of social welfare programmes and a dilapidated social infrastructure. Growing inter and intra-ethnic skirmishes with 500,000 dying in the process, according to Vice President Atiku Abubakar, is threatening to put the nation asunder while another 400,000 Nigerians are estimated to have died from the scourge of malaria last year alone. America had conceived of a stabilising role for Nigeria in the West African sub-region perceived as the most dangerous region in the world because of the prevalence of more than eight million small arms in the hands of outlaws. After the debacle in Somalia when America lost 18 soldiers, it has looked up to countries like Nigeria taking up the responsibility of military intervention for peace keeping roles in Africa while limiting its support to financial and other technical assistance. With rebel activities engulfing most part of a continent where one in every five is said to live in a conflict laden area, a strong and ebullient Nigeria should be in a position to provide succour and olive branch to the motley of guerrilla movements and other armed gangs threatening many Africans with AK-47, Kalashnikov and other deadly weapons.

Enmeshed in a rage on account of the intensification of conflicts, it is feared that guns may likely be cheaper than food in the continent where small arms may soon out-number the people. But the tragedy is that much of the population of this largest black nation in the world form the bulk of the 220 Africans said to be living below one dollar a day. The recently released United Nations Development Report ranks Nigeria 152 in terms of access to education, healthcare, housing, life expectancy and other things that guarantee good life. Its citizens live in a state where governance has virtually disappeared in the lives of its people. It is almost back to Hobbesian state of nature where life was brutish, solitary and short. Gangsterism and armed violence have been elevated to state policy as its citizens grope under the air of insecurity. The reasons why Nigeria, the sixth largest oil producing country in the world, almost provides no shield for her people and its just big for nothing may not be farfetched. Only a pitiable fraction of the monies claimed to have been spent by government annually in supporting poverty eradication, education, health care, electricity, housing, roads and other social infrastructure actually trickle down to the people.

The larger fraction end up as pay off, over invoicing and other under hand business in a well neat corrupt network that guarantees sop for the highly parasitic ruling elite. The audit report recently released by the former acting Auditor General, Vincent Azie revealed that more than N23 billion was lost in 10 ministries in 2001, casting a slur on the anti-corruption stance of the regime of President Olusegun Obasanjo. The amount represents financial frauds ranging from embezzlement, payment for jobs not done, over invoicing, double debiting, inflation of contract figures to release of money without the consent of the approving authority. This is said to be the biggest reap off in the nation’s history. This Day of February 10, 2001 had earlier reported that Nigeria loses N8.379billion to corruption in six months. Nigeria is also said to have lost $42billion to capital flight between 1971 to 2001 according to The Punch of February 19, 2003. The information is contained in a comprehensive study on Capital Flight and Macroeconomic Growth in Four African Countries-Nigeria, Cote D’Ivoire, Morocco and Ghana by the Debt Management Office. According to the report, the highest level of capital flight occurred in 2000 when $11.84billion was repatriated from the country. The highest level of average capital flight of $4.663billion also took place under the Obasanjo regime between 1999 to 2001. The General Ibrahim Babangida period of 1985 to 1993 recorded $2.287billion, that of General Muhammed Buhari who was in charge between 1984 to 1985 was $1.978billion while Obasanjo’s first coming as a military leader, between 1976 to 1979 recorded the least amount of capital flight-$926million.

Reeling through these figures in a paper delivered at a training workshop organised by the Centre for Constitutionalism and Demilitarisation (CENCOD) in Port Harcourt last February, this writer concluded that if this process of corruption is unchecked, the country may soon go to the dogs and acquire the status of a banana island. For instance how can we honestly claim to have spent N1,02 trillion on poverty eradication programmes in the last four years when poverty still walks tall on the streets of many of our cities and villages? How can we claim to have genuinely signed a N350 billion road contract with craters all over the place? Almost everywhere you turn in the country, the road is impassable. We have spent N220 billion on NEPA without any regular electricity, a thing that the tiniest of our neighbours in Africa has long taken for granted. We have spent $700 million (N94.5 billion) on repairing the refineries in the last four years which have refused to work, leading us to shamelessly import fuel. A sum of N30 billion is also said to have been spent by the NDDC, which is yet to put youth restiveness in the Niger Delta in abeyance. So we all tend to ask like the Yankees are doing: What went wrong?

One seems to take solace in the optimism shared by of one of my friends and respected colleague, Edwin Baiye who recently got elevated to the enviable position of managing director of the Daily Times, the country’s oldest newspaper. At a recent AIT’s Kakaaki programme that featured both of us, he said Nigeria in spite of its problems would not go to shreds like many countries in Africa torn apart by civil strife but would arise from its doldrums and match to greatness. But time will tell.

First published the Sunday Punch on July 20, 2003.

 


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