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Dangling of the final eclipse

Thanks to the views of erudite law professor, Itse Sagay published in The Punch penultimate Saturday, the news of our drift to shreds would have been lost in the cacophony of a grinding strike. Nigerians still reeling under the weight of an excruciating fuel price hike would have missed what is likely to become the final eclipse of their country. Unknown to them, what started as some upturn of the popular struggles against the Anglo/Nigeria Defence Pact in the 60s by this regime may be consummated in a foreign military take over of the largest black nation in the world. If the government of President Olusegun Obasanjo endorses the move already in the works as reported by The Guardian of London on June 17, to deploy United States troops to the troubled Niger Delta region, the country may be on the threshold of a banana island. It may just be time to bid bye, bye to the Nigerian state, once it is okayed by Obasanjo and President George W. Bush who is expected in the country this week. No doubt the Niger Delta region has been restive because of the escalation of youth agitation against despoliation and neglect of the oil producing areas. Both the government and the oil companies are culpable for making mincemeat of the demands of the people and dishing mere tokenism.

The area has lately witnessed heightened backlashes involving the Ijaw, the majority group in the area and the Itsekiri for control of territory, leading to the periodic suspension of oil exploration by several oil companies including Chevron/Texaco and Mobil, both American owned. Even the business of the oil service companies including that of Haliburton, formerly headed by the US Vice President Dick Cheney is said to have suffered greatly from the persistent closure. The deployment of Nigerian soldiers and Naval forces to the area has not yielded worthwhile dividend in halting the skirmishes. And that’s why there’s a new thinking that America needs to militarily secure the area to protect its investments. Judging from the renewed move by the US to explore oil markets beyond the volatile Middle East region, it was just a matter of time for it to bare its fangs against restive youths in the Niger Delta, whose activities are inimical to the sustenance what is perceived as America’s global oily business. Chevron/Texaco for instance produces about 450, 000 barrels per day from its tank farm in the Itsekiri homestead of Ugborodo, located in the Escravos River. While it is not too clear whether the US will be deploying its service troops or contracting the services of one of the Private Military Companies PMCs which are now active in several flash points in Africa, it is necessary to say that any form of foreign intervention in the Niger Delta will compound the crises in the area.

It is even feared that the Americans who have 230,000 troops in Iraq and another 10,000 soldiers in Afghanistan, may get bogged down by the internal politics of the country. I support the view by Sagay that the political control of the country is likely to shift to whosoever is the commander of the US troops particularly with the scorn by President Bush for international law and norms. It is likely to move us closer to the kind of lawlessness, disorder and anarchy, which has engulfed Iraq since the ending of Gulf War 11 on May 1. Over $500 million deposits is reported to have been looted from Iraqi banks while 16 American and six British soldiers have been killed in ambushes and sniper attacks by armed groups in a reign of terror. Neither the former US Administrator, General Jay Garner or his successor, Paul Bremer, seem to have an answer to checking the outlaws who are said to be highly resentful of the continued American control of their country. American paranoid on expunging any trait of the Baath party, which previously controlled Iraq, does not seem any significant antidote as the country daily veers away from the conduct of any normal life.

It is certainly not a wish for Nigeria’s Niger Delta. The Americans have shown that they meant business in seeking new oil trading partners when last year they brokered the surprising end of the Angolan Civil War, which has raged since the country’s independence in 1975 by what is perceived as the contrived ‘wasting’ of former UNITA leader, Jonas Savimbi. This was plausible because of the need to maintain a foothold on the Angolan oil located in Cabinda region. The US also played a significant role in setting the stage for the truce between the Sudanese government of President Al Bashir and the John Garang-led Sudan Peoples Liberation Army SPLA which controls the southern part of the country as part of the grand plan to be the major player in the oil industry there. In spite of the claim that the war in Iraq was conducted to rid the country of Weapons of Mass Destruction WMD, cut off its links with Al-Qeada and overthrow President Saddam Hussein, events thereafter has revealed that the Americans were propelled more by the urge to get cheap oil for their citizens at home.

And that was why the torrents of bombs it rained on Iraq during the last Gulf War deliberately avoided hurting the oil ministry in Baghdad or the oil industry located in Basra, Monsul and Kirkuk. In a piece titled No Tears at Malu’s Golgotha, wrtten in the National Interest shortly after former Chief of Army Staff, General Victor Malu was removed from office, because of his disagreement with the Obasanjo government over the training of the Nigerian Army by MPRI, an American based PMC, I had argued that we may have returned the Anglo/Nigeria Defence pact through the back door. Those who paid scant attention to the grumbling by Malu can now see that it appears this government is bent on frittering away the country’s independence for a bowl of akara.

First published in the Sunday Punch on July 6, 2003..

 


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