If the premise of this thesis is correct, the recent (and ongoing)
Conflict in Kosovo will be the pivital and deciding
trigger determining the key players of this new 21st century
paradigm.
U.S. military might has thus far remained unchallenged in the
decade-long void left by the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Under the guise of the UN and NATO, it has engaged
itself in two unsolvable wars simultaneously (Iraq, Kosovo) with
no clear-cut goal or plan. The resulting backlash of
such imperialist action (as foreigners perceive it) is evident
as shown by mass protests, hostile rhetoric and fierce
political condemnation by both Russia and China in response
to the onslaught in Yugoslavia. China has halted all diplomatic relations in reponse to the bombing of its embassy in Belgrade. It is clear from this situation of arrogance
that America is setting itself up for this this conflict of the millennium, its own demise and
ushering in a "new world order."
With the collapse of the Russian economy and seeing how it is
following the same path as pre-Nazi Germany, it is not unreasonable
to expect an anti-Western nationalist dictator to
emerge out of the present meltdown. Russia, with the resignation of Boris Yeltsin immediately before the millennium has announced a new national security doctrine emerged with a new aggressive nuclear stance early January 2000, under the new president Vladimir Putin, indicating their willingness to challenge the U.S. and this imperialism. Putin is doing more than rattling sabers. It was intended to stun a number of audiences into
realizing that the post-Cold War world is gone, and is hinting at the potential of
confrontation with the West, and the
Putin government appears to believe that Russia can no longer
remain in its intolerable economic and political limbo. Instead, it
is striking out on tried-and-true methods of global engagement that
worked for the Soviet Union for a half century. Ivanov's trips to
North Korea and Vietnam are but the opening steps. Russia's ally will be India and the other up-and-coming
global power of the 2000's, Red China.
A unifying force against their common foe--the U.S.--appears to be in the cards
as a deterrent, or as shown below, a direct military challenge.
Somewhere in biblical prophecy there talked of a 200 million
manned army from the "Kings of the east." This is not only
literally possible, but a frightening reality.
Some 20 years
ago China adopted a
One Child Policy restricting births that many
researchers indicate led to most Chinese couples
to abort female fetuses and try for a boy. The result was confirmed
by officials; for every female live birth for every
9 males. There now is a massive sexual imbalance in the world's most populace
nation of 1.2 billion.
The social, political and military ramifications of the
currently estimated 125 million excess young boys and (soon-to-become ) men without hope
of ever being married and finding stability give rise to frightening
possibilities considering China already has the world's largest
army and navy in the world.
The obvious strategic event discussed here will be determinant in how these relationships evolve (or devolve)
is the arrival of the up-coming economic collapse.
.
Global Instability
The short history of U.S. based global laissez-faire, aka The American Business Empire , is an economic system based on thev capitalist utopia of the free-hand market that is, like its cousin--communism, not only destined to fail, but is incompatible with global stability. While this will not be recognized and accepted by the Washington Consensus until after global trade collapses after 2000/2001, it will be shown that unregulated global markets beget stability only by destroying itself in an economic collapse or the fires of total war. It is from these tensions a new, all-encompassing series of world crises will arise.
If such a global war must occur to achieve these aims of stability, the U.S. must be eliminated or at least drastically weakened as a viable military threat. The preferred strategy is a limited surprise nuclear exchange targeting most key nuclear launch sites and other significant concentrations of military force. A near immediate retaliatory volley of remaining warheads would in turn destroy much--but not all--of Russia's atomic armament. Civilian casualties (including fallout) could amount to up to 40% of population in America and 20%
in Russia in a worst-case scenario. This being that Russia would already have pre-planed the civilian evacuation to shelters before it launches its first strike. It seems more likely for a limited war destroying only major targets, resulting in less than a 5% kill rate. Contrary to old Cold War dogma, the earth would not become an uninhabitable wasteland after such a limited exchange as bombs today are much cleaner than they were only ten years ago.
This pre-empitive action would then set the stage for the Sino-Russian alliance to invade by land, through Europe and
the Middle East. The outcome would most likely turn in America's favor in the end as it reaches climax, resulting in victorious resolution no later than 2020.
The issues raised here, including other broad
social and natural forces governing the destiny
of the human race such as the
economic impact of y2k, Kondratieff wave, Fourth Turning, and the ascending solar cycle indicate an era of severe geo-political crises lies ahead. It will inevitably be followed by an era of calm and order, however, as demonstrated by the never-ending rhythms of human history.
We are witnessing the birth pangs of a realignment
of strategic power in the global arena intended to limit
or even eliminate the current imbalanced, over-reaching
geo-political structure dominated by the U.S. The over-all aim of
this strategy is to renew a multi-polar and therefore balanced
world. While ideally it is preferable to accomplish this through peaceful means, it may be necessary to endure World War Three in the process.
Supporting the military-industrial complex. U.S. military superiority ultimately hinges on vast resources procured from high levels of wealth creation. In a severe, protracted economic depression, or the inability to collect taxes to pay soldiers, etc. would jeopardize the effective operation of government, and ultimately the nation-state it serves to protect.
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