Japan and the Newly Industrialized Countries (NICs) nearby, such as Korea,
did not develop with neo policy. Even though neoism has made itself felt it is
not entrenched: in a poll conducted by management consultant AT Kearney, 80% of
top Asian business executives said IMF solutions for the Asian financial crisis
have failed.
In April 1997, barely two months before the beginning of the Asian currency
crisis, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), a Washington based
think-tank representing the interests of some 290 global banks had "urged
authorities in emerging markets to counter upward exchange rate pressures where
needed...".
Indonesia was ordered by the IMF to unpeg its currency barely three months
before its currency collapsed. Even US billionaire Steve Forbes had to ask:
"Did the IMF help precipitate the crisis? This agency advocates openness and
transparency for national economies, yet it rivals the CIA in cloaking its own
operations. Did it, for instance, have secret conversations with Thailand,
advocating the devaluation that instantly set off the catastrophic chain of
events?" (...) Did IMF prescriptions exacerbate the illness? These countries'
moneys were knocked down to absurdly low levels".
Japan
When the US military occupiers of Japan introduced democracy, American
investors opposed.
"You can imagine what would happen in a family of children of ten years or
less if they were suddenly told...that they could run the house and their own
lives as they pleased" wrote business lobbyist James Lee Kauffman in 1947.
They also opposed raising labor standards:
"If you have ever seen an American Indian spending his money shortly after
oil has been discovered on his property you will have some idea of how the
Japanese worker is using the Labor Law."
The US business community predicted that Japan would be destroyed as workers
went "hog wild" . In 1947 business did not have the power it has today,
and they were ignored.
( John Roberts,
"The `Japan Crowd' and the Zaibatsu Restoration," The Japan Interpreter, 12,
Summer 1979.)
In a major study, 24 leading Japanese economists reviewed the Ministry of
International Trade and Industry (MITI) and their decision to choose "a
system that is rather similar to the organisation of the industrial bureaucracy
in socialist countries."
Heavy protection, subsidies and tax concessions, financial controls, and
other big government interventions were used.
MITI determined that "long-term self-reliance for Japan would be delayed
or even undermined by following its apparent comparative advantage into labour
intensive sectors." In short, they decided not to take advantage of low pay.
This is how Japan was turned from ashes and bomb craters to a wealthy nation
- literally rags to riches.
Fitzgerald, Between, citing Ryutaro Komiya, et al., Industry
Policy of Japan (Tokyo, 1984; Academic press, 1988). Johnson, National Interest,
Fall 1989.
According to economist Michael Hudson, the destruction of Korea during the
Asian economic crisis was a "dress rehearsal" for the take over of Japan's
financial sector by a few rich Western banks. US politicians including Secretary
of State Madeleine Albright even pressured Japan to rewrite its constitution so
that Americans would be able to own Japanese banks and industries, just like in
Russia.
Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and Japanese Foreign
Minister Keizo Obuchi, Joint Press Conference, Ikura House, Tokyo, July 4, 1998
contained in Official Press Release, US Department of State, Washington, 7 July,
l998.
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IndonesiaSouth Korea
Alice Amsden pointed out that by American standards land distribution and
wages were very equal.
The government works to "get prices `wrong' in order to stimulate
investment and trade," and even uses "price ceilings, controls on capital
flight, and incentives that made diversification into new industries contingent
on performing well in old ones."
Economist Stephen Smith showed that the NICs used "activist trade and
industrial policies" that distort the market, prefering "long-run
development goals over short-run comparative advantage."
Now compare Brazil and the East Asian NICs.
Until 1980, they both developed, both using "active industrial and export
policies" - government intervention.
But when Brazil listened to the IMF-World Bank, choosing "trade
liberalization over domestic growth objectives" and turning to the export of
cheap goods and raw materials, the result was disaster.
Amsden, "Diffusion of Development: the Late-Industrializing
Model and Greater East Asia," AEA Papers and Proceedings, 81.2, May 1991. See
particularly her Asia's Next Giant. Smith, Industrial Policy; citing Hollis
Chenery, Sherman Robinson, and Moises Syrquin, Industrialization and Growth: A
Comparative Study (Oxford, 1986). Brazil, see ch. 7. Comparisons, see DD, ch.
7.7.
In December 1997 the IMF introduced a "rescue operation"- including having
Korean banks "made more attractive" with government handouts to western bankers
- funded by borrowing from the same westtern bankers
4,000 workers became unemployed every day in this tiny country. Unemployment
increased from 2.6% to 7.7% in 1998.
Resistence
Strikes and street battles have been happening regularily. October 2000 has
seen over 20,000 protest at an Asia Europe meeting.
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Hong Kong
Hong Kong has been used as an example of neo success, but according to an
expert in the Asian Tiger economies, "to conclude . . . that Hong Kong is close
to a free market economy is misleading." [Robert Wade, Governing the Market, p.
332]
In Hong Kong the government owned all the land - BEFORE it became part of
communist China!
The government went into the economy many times (for example, in the 1950s,
one of the largest public housing schemes in history was launched to house about
2 million people).
Can all of the world be like Hong Kong?
First of all, some interesting facts: Like most of the nations used as
examples of neoism, Hong Kong was never a democracy. It is also a city, and all
cities grow faster than nations, which have slow-growing rural areas.
Wade notes that "its economic growth is a function of its service role in
a wider regional economy, as entrepot trader, regional headquarters for
multinational companies, and refuge for nervous money." [Op. Cit., p. 331].
For example, it has the second largest stock market in Asia.
Translation: Hong Kong has the corporate bosses, banks and bureacrats - it is
the headquarters of Asia. To say that we can all be like Hong Kong is like
saying you can have an orcestra of conductors, or a movie filled with directors,
or an army of generals, or a lottery where everybody wins.
Even Hong Kong has been hit by the race to the bottom. By the end of the
1970s, labor costs were rising - that is, people were finally getting rewarded
for their hard work. When China was opened for investment by Deng Xiaoping in
1978 and investors moved jobs to the brutal (and profitable) Chinese
dictatorship. However, as soon as another nation can somehow make a worse
dictatorship where workers are pushed even harder, those jobs will leave China!
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Taiwan
The first extensive study of the U.S. Aid mission in Taiwan discovered that
the U.S. advisers and Chinese planners, "although versed in Anglo-American
economics," ignored them. The U.S. technical experts in Taiwan chose "to
jettison free-market nostrums from the start and collaborate with Chinese
officials" in developing a "state-centered strategy,".Taiwan decided that growth
would "depend upon the active participation of the government in the economic
activities of the island through deliberate plans and its supervision of their
execution" (K.Y. Win, 1953). Meanwhile U.S. officials were "advertising Taiwan
as a private enterprise success story".
Komiya, R. et al., (1988) Industry Policy of Japan Tokyo, 1984;
Academic press, Cullaher, N. (1996) "The U.S. and Taiwanese Industrial Policy,"
Diplomatic History 20.1, Wei-ching Wang, V. (1995-96) "Developing the
Information Industry in Taiwan," Pacific Affairs 68.4, Winter.
As late as 1987 most imports of steel into Taiwan had to be approved by the
nation's big steel maker, China Steel.
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Singapore
The government owns Singapore Airlines, shipyards, banks, and factories and
taxes heavily for the "Central Provident Fund". This favorite of right-wing
libertarians also hung two Australian teenagers caught with a gram of drugs
after their plane had an emergency landing.
What do neos think of the Asian economic
crisis
Despite the facts above, neoliberals have claimed Asia as their own.
In 1995, when the Heritage Foundation released its "index of economic
freedom" 4 of the top 7 countries were Asian, including Japan and Taiwan.
David Aikman, a journalist for Time, wrote a book about Asia, saying that
Taiwan and Hong Kong where "faithful" to "American conceptions of free
enterprise."
The Economist magazine said that the Asian nations had "the least
price-distorting regimes in the world."
The chief economist of the World Bank's East Asian desk wrote a book in 1993
claiming Asia as being neoliberal while a World Bank study concluded that
"rapid growth in each economy was primarily due to...market-friendly economic
policies." Jeffrey Sachs called the East Asian economies "highly market
oriented, with a long period of relatively free trade... and limited distortions
from government regulations".
But when the crisis hit, the neoliberals decided to rewrite history, just
like Stalin and neo-nazi revisionists.
Paul Craig Roberts of Business Week said that government "industrial
policy fostered appalling investment, banking, and monetary practices".
The Economist said that all along Korea was run by "civil servants,"
while Rudi Dornbusch said that in Korea "statism" was to blame. The op-ed
pages of the Wall Street Journal were the same. Why investors sent billions of
dollars into "appalling" situations was never explained.
At best, Neos are like a con-artist who pretends to be a friend when you are
useful, but stabs you in the back when you need help. At worst they are
Orwellians who rewrite history like Stalin and neo-nazi revisionists.
Notes:
What everyone can agree on is that The Asian Tigers have lots of women
working, and well funded education. They also have high savings rates, which we
could have if we had less advertising telling us to "buy buy buy".
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